516 Parkcliff Ave · Youngstown, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Solid 3 bedroom brick, Cape Cod features living room sunroom, dining room, kitchen and 2 bedrooms downstairs with a large bedroom upstairs. Full basement, attach garage with opener central air, and new shingles. Plenty of storage. Updated furnace, hot water tank and electrical service. Enclosed front porch and much more!
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Living room sunroom
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Brick construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Brick exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Full basement foundation
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Patio; Porch; Back yard; Front yard; City lot; Block fencing; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement; Fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.06%
- DSCR
- 3.72
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $121,512
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3414 Idlewood Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (-4%) | 5mo | $92,000 | $66 | 71 |
| 3033 Glenwood Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,554 (+6%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $42 | 71 |
| 452 W Midlothian Blvd | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,409 (-4%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $96 | 68 |
| 537 W Ravenwood Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,592 (+9%) | 11mo | $40,000 | $25 | 67 |
| 980 W Laclede Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,453 (-1%) | 2mo | $97,000 | $67 | 62 |
| 870 Canfield Rd | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,560 (+7%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $83 | 60 |
| 970 Bonnie Brae Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,409 (-4%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $114 | 59 |
| 937 W Indianola Ave | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,598 (+9%) | 2mo | $95,500 | $60 | 50 |
| 3631 Dover Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (-6%) | 12mo | $146,000 | $106 | 45 |
| 123 Prestwick Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,671 (+14%) | 8mo | $194,500 | $116 | 42 |
| 827 Winona Dr | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,606 (+10%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $87 | 40 |
| 741 Sherwood Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,646 (+12%) | 12mo | $129,000 | $78 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $33,561
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 64.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.50×
- Total profit
- $81,880
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44511
- Home prices YoY
- -12.6%
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,205 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $675/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $641
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3639 Shelby Rd Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,200 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4322 Southern Blvd Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 236 Hilton Ave Youngstown, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1488 | $1,195 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 512 E Philadelphia Ave Unit 1 Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $899 | $0.75 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 158 Beechwood Dr Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1438 | $1,100 | $0.76 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 360 Shields Rd Unit 360 Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $925 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $45,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 322-char remark
-
2026-06-17$45,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,463
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$675
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,157
- − Management
- −$1,157
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $7,419
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,781
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,913/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Youngstown City
- NCES district ID
- 3904516
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,257
- Composite
- 9.29/100
- National rank
- #9858
- State rank
- #649 of 656 in OH
Livability — Youngstown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #1506
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Youngstown, OH
- County
- Mahoning County · 84,956 people
- City population
- 28,503
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,909
- Household income
- $56,880
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 336.0
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.81%
- Current HPI
- 283.9088
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $45,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+13.9%/yrLatest (2025): $8 · -67.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…