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646 N Plank Rd
B- Composite 68.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +1.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

646 N Plank Rd · Gulf, NC 27330
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,393 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1958 1.11 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity. This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home needs some TLC but could be a good income producer. This property is now under auction terms. All offers should be submitted through www. Auction.com. This property is subject to a 5% buyerâs premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). Please note that the commission percentages may change.

Key facts

  • 1.11 acre lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 34 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size about 1.11 acres; Living area about 1,362; Levels: One
  • HOA & community: No association; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: No open parking listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: One-story house; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Foundation: Other; Construction materials: Unknown; Built as a house
  • Exterior features: Private and public maintained road access; Zoned RA

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 36/100 on livability (#738 in NC) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #131 of 178 in NC (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Lee Middle (math 25% / reading 39%, grade F, #317 of 475 statewide, top 68%, 607 students, 70% FRL); Southern Lee High School (math 43% / reading 46%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,234 students, 61% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 526 active listings in the ZIP; 602 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $140k implies a 460% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.86%
Cash-on-cash
23.46%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$29,671
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$103,768
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27330

Home prices YoY
-19.4%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
526
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,104 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,257/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$442
Net cashflow
$766

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,135
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $139,900 Pending 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,900 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-05-19
    price $159,900
  8. 2026-05-09
    status Active
  9. 2026-04-10
    status Pending
  10. 2026-04-02
    listed $179,000 Active
  11. 2015-09-28
    soldstatus $25,000 390-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Great investment opportunity. This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home needs some TLC but could be a good income producer. This property is now under auction terms. All offers should be submitted through www. Auction.com. This property is subject to a 5% buyerâs premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). Please note that the commission percentages may change.

  12. 2015-06-25
    listed $29,900 390-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Great investment opportunity. This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home needs some TLC but could be a good income producer. This property is now under auction terms. All offers should be submitted through www. Auction.com. This property is subject to a 5% buyerâs premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). Please note that the commission percentages may change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,257 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,257 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,254
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,257
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,020
− Management
−$2,020
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$7,351
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,764
After-tax cash flow
$7,426/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee County Schools
NCES district ID
3702560
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$45,300
Composite
29.87/100
National rank
#6403
State rank
#131 of 178 in NC

Livability — Gulf

Score
36/100
State rank
#738
US rank
#27671

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lee County · 76,725 people
City population
74
Metro
Sanford, NC
Population (ZIP)
39,778
Household income
$61,300
Rent vs Own
37.4% rent · 62.6% own
Severe rent burden
928.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,008 people
By 2030
64,443 · +2.3%
By 2040
66,898 · +6.2%
By 2050
68,310 · +8.4%
By 2075
70,920 · +12.6%
By 2100
70,402 · +11.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
R (+17.5) · D 40.8% · R 58.3%
2008→2024 swing
-9.1pp toward R · 2008: -8.4pp · 2024: -17.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.5 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+13.2 2012: R+10.2 2008: R+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.62%
Current HPI
302.3589
Rent YoY
▲ 4.66%
Metro
Sanford, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+434.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $159,900 TMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted TMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $179,000 TMLS
  • 2015-09-28 Sold (MLS) $25,000 LPRMLS
  • 2015-06-25 Listed $29,900 LPRMLS

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,257 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…