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104 Horn St
C- Composite 53.91
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$179,900

104 Horn St · West Hazleton, PA 18202
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 741 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1904 1,430 sqft lot $243/sqft · 170% above area Est $141k · 28% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-maintained single-family home located in West Hazleton. This property features a spacious living room and dining room, 3 bedrooms, and 2 full bathrooms. Fenced-in yard offers added privacy and space for outdoor enjoyment. Great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Dining room
  • Fenced-in yard
  • Spacious living room

Tags

FENCED-IN YARDSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMDINING ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Asbestos shingle roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Baseboard heating
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (3.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.6% in West Hazleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,036 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $174,142 (3.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.73%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$140,899
List price
$179,900
Delta
27.68%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
60 Jefferson Ave 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (+8%) 9mo $60,000 $75 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.2%
Equity multiple
3.30×
Total profit
$115,916
Equity at exit
$162,068
10-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
7.49×
Total profit
$327,063
Equity at exit
$349,506

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18202

Home prices YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,741 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $896/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$366
Net cashflow
$283

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,384
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $385 -5% $334 +0% $283 +5% $232 +10% $181
Rent -10% $145 -5% $214 +0% $283 +5% $351 +10% $420
Rate -1.0pp $373 -0.5pp $328 base $283 +0.5pp $236 +1.0pp $189

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $179,900 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $179,900 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $179,900 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $179,900 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    listed $179,900 Active 307-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$896 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,869 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$973/yr (+$81/mo · 108.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,897
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$896
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,672
− Management
−$1,672
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable income
$447
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$107
After-tax cash flow
$3,285/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazleton Area SD
NCES district ID
4211700
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$42,247
Composite
20.44/100
National rank
#8582
State rank
#476 of 539 in PA

Livability — West Hazleton

Score
66/100
State rank
#1036
US rank
#11561

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Hazleton, PA
County
Luzerne County · 118,885 people
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
Population (ZIP)
13,755
Household income
$55,153
Rent vs Own
27.2% rent · 72.8% own
Severe rent burden
369.0

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 9% Black 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 22%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 26% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.19%
Current HPI
306.1029
Rent YoY
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $179,900 LCAR

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $896 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…