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226 My St 🌊 Lakefront
B Composite 71.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

226 My St · Havana, FL 32333
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1987 3.47 ac lot Est $220k · 43% under $8/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LAKEFRONT HOME ON ALMOST 3.5 ACRES!!!! Home is in need of some repairs. .. .Wayside lake invites you to this tranquil oasis. This home is located at the end of a Cul de sac . Large spacious dock perfect for entertaining. Comes with a paddle boat and john boat for instant lake activities with lots of fishing and enjoyable weekends. The home has amazing views overlooking the lake with 2 back decks for further enjoyment. The 3 bedroom 2 bath split plan has 2 living rooms with ample room for a growing family or a perfect weekend getaway . room measurements are aprox buyer to verify

Key facts

  • Large spacious dock
  • 2 back decks
  • Almost 3.5 acres

Tags

LAKEFRONT HOMEALMOST 3.5 ACRESLARGE SPACIOUS DOCK2 BACK DECKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.1% in Havana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#272 in FL, #4,420 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gadsden (rural): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #70 of 73 in FL (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 107 units permitted in Gadsden County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gadsden County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $13k; list at $125k implies a 862% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  5. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  6. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
10.23%
Cash-on-cash
14.05%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$219,648
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
37 Our St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,378 (+10%) 20mo $200,000 $145 56
150 Gopher Aly 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,196 (-4%) 19mo $210,000 $176 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$5,817
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$38,557
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32333

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,505 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $761/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$8
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$410

Break-even live

Break-even rent $986
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$8 · $96/yr

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 7 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
  17. 2026-03-23
    price $149,000 586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (586 chars)

    LAKEFRONT HOME ON ALMOST 3.5 ACRES!!!! Home is in need of some repairs. .. .Wayside lake invites you to this tranquil oasis. This home is located at the end of a Cul de sac . Large spacious dock perfect for entertaining. Comes with a paddle boat and john boat for instant lake activities with lots of fishing and enjoyable weekends. The home has amazing views overlooking the lake with 2 back decks for further enjoyment. The 3 bedroom 2 bath split plan has 2 living rooms with ample room for a growing family or a perfect weekend getaway . room measurements are aprox buyer to verify

  18. 2026-01-05
    price $165,000
  19. 2026-01-04
    listed $165,000 Active 586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (586 chars)

    LAKEFRONT HOME ON ALMOST 3.5 ACRES!!!! Home is in need of some repairs. .. .Wayside lake invites you to this tranquil oasis. This home is located at the end of a Cul de sac . Large spacious dock perfect for entertaining. Comes with a paddle boat and john boat for instant lake activities with lots of fishing and enjoyable weekends. The home has amazing views overlooking the lake with 2 back decks for further enjoyment. The 3 bedroom 2 bath split plan has 2 living rooms with ample room for a growing family or a perfect weekend getaway . room measurements are aprox buyer to verify

  20. 2026-01-02
    historical
  21. 2025-10-22
    historical
  22. 2025-10-21
    listed $175,000 Active
  23. 2025-09-12
    price $184,900
  24. 2025-09-11
    historical
  25. 2025-09-07
    price $189,000
  26. 2025-09-05
    listed $189,000 Active
  27. 2025-08-06
    historical
  28. 2025-08-01
    listed $189,900 Active
  29. 2025-06-06
    price $199,900
  30. 2025-06-06
    historical
  31. 2025-06-01
    listed $199,900 Active
  32. 2025-05-22
    listed $225,000 Active
  33. 1988-05-25
    soldstatus $13,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$761 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,038 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$277/yr (+$23/mo · 36.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,058
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$761
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,445
− Management
−$1,445
− HOA
−$96
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$3,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$732
After-tax cash flow
$4,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gadsden
NCES district ID
1200600
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,470
Composite
25.75/100
National rank
#7373
State rank
#70 of 73 in FL

Livability — Havana

Score
74/100
State rank
#272
US rank
#4420

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,379

Population outlook (Gadsden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,956 people
By 2030
40,878 · -4.8%
By 2040
36,218 · -15.7%
By 2050
31,502 · -26.7%
By 2075
21,828 · -49.2%
By 2100
14,480 · -66.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Gadsden

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 65.0% · R 34.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.3pp toward R · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+36.6 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+40.6 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.83%
Current HPI
155.9185
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1046.2% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $149,000 CATRS
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $165,000 CATRS
  • 2026-01-04 Listed $165,000 CATRS
  • 2026-01-02 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2025-10-22 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2025-10-21 Listed $175,000 CATRS
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed $184,900 CATRS
  • 2025-09-11 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2025-09-07 Price Changed $189,000 CATRS
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $189,000 CATRS
  • 2025-08-06 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2025-08-01 Listed $189,900 CATRS
  • 2025-06-06 Price Changed $199,900 CATRS
  • 2025-06-06 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2025-06-01 Listed $199,900 CATRS
  • 2025-05-22 Listed $225,000 CATRS
  • 1988-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $761 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…