210 William ST St · Waverly, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.55%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Cash flow +5.6/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great handyman special opportunity in Waverly. This solid 3-bedroom, 2-full bath property offers endless potential for the right buyer. The first floor features a bedroom, living room, kitchen, dining area, and a full bathroom. The second floor includes two bedrooms and an office with a full bathroom, as well as a finished walk-in attic equipped with a bar setup. Please note that all utilities are currently disconnected. This is a diamond opportunity in the neighborhood for someone ready to bring their tools and vision to life.
Key facts
- Bar setup
- 0.35 acre lot
- Built 1890
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels / 2 stories
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Free-Standing Range; Dishwasher; Exhaust Fan; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Range, Dishwasher, Exhaust Fan, Free-Standing Range, Gas Water Heater, Refrigerator; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-347 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $107k (35.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (20.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $107k (35.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#569 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Waverly Central School District (town): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #480 of 590 in NY (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 139 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Tioga County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.01%
- DSCR
- 0.60
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $203,056
- List price
- $164,900
- Delta
- -18.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 1/2 Providence St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,634 (-3%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $73 | 70 |
| 214 William St | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,780 (+5%) | 16mo | $195,000 | $110 | 67 |
| 6 Ithaca St | 0.13mi | 4/1.0 | 1,824 (+8%) | 16mo | $79,900 | $44 | 65 |
| 88 Spring St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,520 (-10%) | 12mo | $257,000 | $169 | 62 |
| 534 Waverly St St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 1,520 (-10%) | 8mo | $210,000 | $138 | 56 |
| 536 Fulton St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,844 (+9%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $73 | 56 |
| 429 Spaulding St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,464 (-13%) | 5mo | $164,300 | $112 | 50 |
| 679 Walker Hill Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,609 (-5%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $124 | 48 |
| 12 Tioga | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,872 (+11%) | 13mo | $180,000 | $96 | 42 |
| 1 Lyman Ave | 0.67mi | 4/1.5 | 1,932 (+14%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $145 | 39 |
| 487 Fulton St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,484 (-12%) | 14mo | $135,000 | $91 | 38 |
| 431 Loder St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,874 (+11%) | 15mo | $75,000 | $40 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,982
- Equity at exit
- $72,097
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $19,450
- Equity at exit
- $109,542
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14892
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,307 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$446 /mo · $5,354/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $-347
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-253 | -5% $-300 | +0% $-347 | +5% $-393 | +10% $-440 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-450 | -5% $-398 | +0% $-347 | +5% $-295 | +10% $-244 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-264 | -0.5pp $-305 | base $-347 | +0.5pp $-390 | +1.0pp $-433 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $164,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $164,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $164,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13historical
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2026-05-13$164,900 Active 533-char remark
-
2026-05-09historical
-
2026-05-09historical
-
2026-04-22price $164,900
-
2026-03-18price $174,900
-
2026-02-12$189,900 Active
-
2019-06-30historical
-
2019-03-05$139,900
-
2019-03-05$139,900
-
2014-10-20soldstatus $154,000
-
2014-10-10soldstatus $154,000
-
2014-05-03$155,000
-
2007-04-18soldstatus $139,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,354 · $446/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,354 · $446/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,688
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$5,354
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,255
- − Management
- −$1,255
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$7,034
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,688
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,473/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waverly Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630270
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,935
- Composite
- 36.9/100
- National rank
- #4544
- State rank
- #480 of 590 in NY
Livability — Waverly
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #569
- US rank
- #10246
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waverly, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,531
Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,155 people
- By 2030
- 42,801 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 37,960 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 33,071 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 24,144 · -46.5%
- By 2100
- 16,545 · -63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tioga
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.9) · D 38.6% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: -22.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.9 2020: R+20.6 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- Current HPI
- 236.7714
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+18.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $164,900 GBAOR
- 2026-05-09 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-09 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $164,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $174,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $189,900 UNYREIS
- 2019-06-30 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2019-03-05 Listed $139,900 UNYREIS
- 2019-03-05 Listed $139,900 GBAOR
- 2014-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $154,000 Public Records
- 2014-10-10 Sold (MLS) $154,000 NMPA
- 2014-05-03 Listed $155,000 NMPA
- 2007-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,354 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…