CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1516 Avocado Blvd
B- Composite 66.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

1516 Avocado Blvd · Bunnell, FL 32110
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 934 sqft · Manufactured public records · 116 Days on market
Built 1980 0.93 ac lot Est $122k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large, almost 1 acre corner lot located in Daytona North area of Bunnell. ALL CONTRACTS/OFFERS ARE SUBJECT TO ONEWEST SENIOR MANAGEMENT APPROVAL AND ANY OFFERS OR COUNTER OFFERS BY ONEWEST ARE NOT BINDING UNLESS THE ENTIRE AGREEMENT IS RATIFIED BY ALL PARTIES. Please include proof of funds with all cash offers. ; Paid Sewer:0;

Key facts

  • Well house
  • Corner lot
  • Paved streets

Tags

CORNER LOTPAVED STREETSTWO SEPARATE ENTRANCESWELL HOUSESEPTIC SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Manufactured Home; Zoning: MH-1; Living area reported as 934 square feet; Contains 1 well and 1 septic system; Road surface: Paved
  • Financial info: No lease restrictions; Unfurnished
  • HOA & community: No HOA/association reported; Development: Not Assigned

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security features reported
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available; Water service available
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; East-facing
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Other foundation type; Built on a 0.93-acre lot (approximately 1/2 to less than 1 acre)
  • Exterior features: Sliding doors

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances reported
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Other flooring type
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No notable built-in interior features reported
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.5% in Bunnell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#378 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Flagler (rural): math 53% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #20 of 73 in FL (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bunnell Elementary School (math 42% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 1,080 students, 73% FRL); Buddy Taylor Middle School (math 50% / reading 45%, grade C-, #288 of 571 statewide, top 51%, 1,343 students, 63% FRL); Flagler-Palm Coast High School (math 36% / reading 51%, grade F, #248 of 667 statewide, top 38%, 2,523 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 2,588 units permitted in Flagler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Flagler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $120k implies a 1312% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,200 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
10.06%
Cash-on-cash
13.47%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$122,354
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6008 Mahogany Blvd 0.07mi 3/1.5 (+1) 840 (-10%) 4mo $110,000 $131 69
1817 Water Oak Rd 0.70mi 2/2.0 924 (-1%) 13mo $63,000 $68 55
2089 Guava Ln 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,038 (+11%) 3mo $180,000 $173 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$4,550
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$34,796
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32110

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Active inventory
281
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,435 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $924/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$377

Break-even live

Break-even rent $957
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $445 -5% $411 +0% $377 +5% $343 +10% $309
Rent -10% $264 -5% $320 +0% $377 +5% $434 +10% $490
Rate -1.0pp $438 -0.5pp $408 base $377 +0.5pp $346 +1.0pp $314

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 116 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 113 DOM
  5. 2026-02-25
    status Active
  6. 2026-02-23
    status Pending
  7. 2026-02-04
    listed $120,000 Active
  8. 2013-03-08
    soldstatus $8,500 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Large, almost 1 acre corner lot located in Daytona North area of Bunnell. ALL CONTRACTS/OFFERS ARE SUBJECT TO ONEWEST SENIOR MANAGEMENT APPROVAL AND ANY OFFERS OR COUNTER OFFERS BY ONEWEST ARE NOT BINDING UNLESS THE ENTIRE AGREEMENT IS RATIFIED BY ALL PARTIES. Please include proof of funds with all cash offers. ; Paid Sewer:0;

  9. 2013-01-28
    listed $8,500 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Large, almost 1 acre corner lot located in Daytona North area of Bunnell. ALL CONTRACTS/OFFERS ARE SUBJECT TO ONEWEST SENIOR MANAGEMENT APPROVAL AND ANY OFFERS OR COUNTER OFFERS BY ONEWEST ARE NOT BINDING UNLESS THE ENTIRE AGREEMENT IS RATIFIED BY ALL PARTIES. Please include proof of funds with all cash offers. ; Paid Sewer:0;

  10. 2006-02-16
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$924 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$996 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$72/yr (+$6/mo · 7.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,216
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$924
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,377
− Management
−$1,377
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$2,725
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$654
After-tax cash flow
$3,871/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flagler
NCES district ID
1200540
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,354
Composite
46.35/100
National rank
#2464
State rank
#20 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bunnell

Score
71/100
State rank
#378
US rank
#6714

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,877

Population outlook (Flagler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,474 people
By 2030
131,864 · +6.8%
By 2040
146,176 · +18.4%
By 2050
157,398 · +27.5%
By 2075
177,990 · +44.2%
By 2100
183,381 · +48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Flagler

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.2) · D 35.6% · R 63.8%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: -28.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.2 2020: R+20.8 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.28%
Current HPI
271.446
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+84.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-25 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-23 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $120,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-08 Sold (MLS) $8,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-01-28 Listed $8,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $924 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…