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1220 Saint Johns Church Rd
C+ Composite 60.91
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

1220 Saint Johns Church Rd · Hampstead, NC 28443
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,432 sqft · Manufactured public records · 45 Days on market
Built 2003 0.46 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tucked away on a generous 0.46-acre lot, this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers over 2,300 square feet of comfortable living space in highly sought-after Hampstead. Built in 2003 and legally converted to real property, this home delivers the perfect blend of privacy, functionality, and everyday convenience. Step inside to discover a thoughtfully designed floor plan featuring multiple living areas -- ideal for hosting gatherings or simply giving everyone room to spread out. The heart of the home is a large kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace that flows seamlessly into the dining and main living rooms. You will love the desirable split-bedroom layout, which ensures maximum pri

Key facts

  • Split-bedroom layout
  • Walk-in closet
  • Large kitchen

Tags

0.46-ACRE LOTMULTIPLE LIVING AREASLARGE KITCHENSPLIT-BEDROOM LAYOUTWALK-IN CLOSETPRIVATE EN-SUITE BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is residential, zoned RP; Views present; Horses allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: On-site unpaved parking
  • Utilities: No utilities listed
  • Home design: Manufactured home; One level entry; Single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Porch

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Electric heating; Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window coverings; Total of 9 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.1% in Hampstead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#109 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pender County Schools (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #66 of 178 in NC (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: South Topsail Elementary (math 61% / reading 58%, grade B-, #205 of 1,410 statewide, top 16%, 557 students, 34% FRL); Topsail Middle (math 64% / reading 65%, grade A-, #30 of 475 statewide, top 7%, 807 students, 20% FRL); Topsail High (math 67% / reading 72%, grade B, #121 of 535 statewide, top 24%, 1,777 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 47% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Pender County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 509 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 943 units permitted in Pender County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pender County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $242,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
9.06%
Cash-on-cash
9.88%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$429
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$65,556
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28443

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
509
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,678 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,492/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$562
Net cashflow
$577

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,949
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $718 -5% $647 +0% $577 +5% $506 +10% $435
Rent -10% $365 -5% $471 +0% $577 +5% $682 +10% $788
Rate -1.0pp $702 -0.5pp $640 base $577 +0.5pp $512 +1.0pp $446

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
78 Violetear Rdg Hampstead, NC 5.0 3.0 2331 $3,000 $1.29 14d 1 0.84mi
125 Egret Ct Unit 305 Hampstead, NC 3.0 2.5 1628 $2,175 $1.34 22d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $250,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $250,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $250,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-04
    listed $250,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,492 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,050 · $171/mo
Expected delta
+$558/yr (+$47/mo · 37.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,142
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$1,492
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,571
− Management
−$2,571
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$2,981
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$715
After-tax cash flow
$6,203/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pender County Schools
NCES district ID
3703570
Math proficiency
49% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$45,792
Composite
41.97/100
National rank
#3342
State rank
#66 of 178 in NC

Livability — Hampstead

Score
71/100
State rank
#109
US rank
#6880

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hampstead, NC
County
Pender County · 28,416 people
City population
28,416
Metro
Wilmington, NC
Population (ZIP)
28,416
Household income
$90,477
Rent vs Own
19.4% rent · 80.6% own
Severe rent burden
700.0

Population outlook (Pender County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,295 people
By 2030
74,990 · +8.2%
By 2040
85,954 · +24.0%
By 2050
95,925 · +38.4%
By 2075
117,525 · +69.6%
By 2100
129,074 · +86.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pender

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.0) · D 32.1% · R 67.0%
2008→2024 swing
-19.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -35.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.0 2020: R+29.9 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.51%
Current HPI
188.426
Rent YoY
▲ 4.57%
Metro
Wilmington, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $250,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,492 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…