1040 Neilson St Unit 3D · New York, NY 11691

$139,999

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · Condo · 24 Days on market

Built 1960

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Far Rockaway: Stunning, Fully Renovated Mint Condition Apartment On The Third Floor. This Move-In-Ready Gem Features a Modern Open Floor Plan With A Spacious Living Room, Dining Area, 1 bedroom, Entrance Foyer, And An Eat-In Kitchen Equipped With Energy-Efficient Appliances. The Apartment Boasts a Full Bath And Convenient Access To A Laundry Room Within The Building. Enjoy City Views From The Comfort Of Your Own Home., Additional information: Appearance:EXCELLENT,Interior Features:Lr/Dr

Key facts

• Beautiful city views
• Fully renovated
• Built 1960

Tags

• FULLY RENOVATED
• MODERN OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLAN
• WELCOMING ENTRANCE FOYER
• BRIGHT EAT-IN KITCHEN
• ENERGY-EFFICIENT APPLIANCES
• BEAUTIFUL CITY VIEWS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $140k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
• Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,599/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 4702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $137,899 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.86% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.46%
• Cash-on-cash: 32.76%
• DSCR: 2.46
• GRM: 4.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.16×
• Total profit: $45,516
• Equity at exit: $20,874

10-year hold

• IRR: 35.4%
• Equity multiple: 4.25×
• Total profit: $127,591
• Equity at exit: $12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11691

• Active inventory: 137
• Price-to-rent: 4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,599 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$734
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• HOA est. from 1 same-building comp: −$16
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$546
• Net cashflow: $1,070

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,245

Max offer price $139,999

Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $35,000
• Closing costs: $4,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-01-30
   status Pending
2. 2026-01-05
   listed $139,999 Active
3. 2024-10-03
   soldstatus $135,000 Closed 491-char remark

   Show marketing remark (491 chars)

   Far Rockaway: Stunning, Fully Renovated Mint Condition Apartment On The Third Floor. This Move-In-Ready Gem Features a Modern Open Floor Plan With A Spacious Living Room, Dining Area, 1 bedroom, Entrance Foyer, And An Eat-In Kitchen Equipped With Energy-Efficient Appliances. The Apartment Boasts a Full Bath And Convenient Access To A Laundry Room Within The Building. Enjoy City Views From The Comfort Of Your Own Home., Additional information: Appearance:EXCELLENT,Interior Features:Lr/Dr

4. 2024-09-21
   status Pending 491-char remark

   Show marketing remark (491 chars)

   Far Rockaway: Stunning, Fully Renovated Mint Condition Apartment On The Third Floor. This Move-In-Ready Gem Features a Modern Open Floor Plan With A Spacious Living Room, Dining Area, 1 bedroom, Entrance Foyer, And An Eat-In Kitchen Equipped With Energy-Efficient Appliances. The Apartment Boasts a Full Bath And Convenient Access To A Laundry Room Within The Building. Enjoy City Views From The Comfort Of Your Own Home., Additional information: Appearance:EXCELLENT,Interior Features:Lr/Dr

5. 2024-08-24
   listed $135,000 Active 491-char remark

   Show marketing remark (491 chars)

   Far Rockaway: Stunning, Fully Renovated Mint Condition Apartment On The Third Floor. This Move-In-Ready Gem Features a Modern Open Floor Plan With A Spacious Living Room, Dining Area, 1 bedroom, Entrance Foyer, And An Eat-In Kitchen Equipped With Energy-Efficient Appliances. The Apartment Boasts a Full Bath And Convenient Access To A Laundry Room Within The Building. Enjoy City Views From The Comfort Of Your Own Home., Additional information: Appearance:EXCELLENT,Interior Features:Lr/Dr

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $31,193
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,842
• − Property taxes: −$2,100
• − Insurance: −$700
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,495
• − Management: −$2,495
• − HOA: −$192
• − Depreciation: −$4,073
• Taxable income: $11,296
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,711
• After-tax cash flow: $10,130/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Queens County · 1,914,869 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 69,359
• Household income: $56,135
• Rent vs Own: 72.3% rent · 27.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 4702.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,546,320 people
• By 2030: 2,643,059 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 2,815,563 · +10.6%
• By 2050: 2,944,423 · +15.6%
• By 2075: 3,123,338 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 24% Two or more races 12% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 35% · Canada, China, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 66% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -397.66%
• Current HPI: 281.4044
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+3.7% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-30 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-05 Listed $139,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-10-03 Sold (MLS) $135,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-09-21 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-08-24 Listed $135,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid