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1250 S Pinellas Ave #306
C Composite 56.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

1250 S Pinellas Ave #306 · Tarpon Springs, FL 34689
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 669 sqft · Condo public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1974 $460/mo HOA · 32% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Remodeled 1 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom ground floor unit condo.

Key facts

  • New walk in shower
  • Enclosed sunroom
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENENCLOSED SUNROOMPRIVATE ACCESS TO SUNROOMNEW WALK IN SHOWERRESORT STYLE AMENITIESHEATED POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unit is offered furnished
  • Financial info: Monthly condo/HOA fee $460; total annual fees $5,520; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Monthly condo/association fee of $460 (includes cable TV, pool, insurance, internet, structure and grounds maintenance, pest control, recreational facilities, sewer, trash, water); Association required with approval process; Association name: Toucan Property Management; Community features include clubhouse and pool; Community has deed restrictions and sidewalks; Senior community; Pets allowed (max weight 24 lbs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Details not provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Condominium; 2-story building; Unit on floor 1; Faces east; Located within city limits; Paved road access
  • Construction: Block construction; Membrane and shingle roof; Slab foundation; Building/complex identified as Building 300
  • Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Porch; Exterior lighting; Sidewalks; Sliding doors; Tennis courts; Private heated gunite in-ground pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Thermostat; Window treatments; Blinds; Storage rooms
  • Laundry & utility: No in-unit laundry (none listed)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.3% in Tarpon Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#502 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sunset Hills Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #288 of 2,144 statewide, top 15%, 451 students, 52% FRL); Tarpon Springs Middle School (math 59% / reading 61%, grade B, #135 of 571 statewide, top 24%, 644 students, 50% FRL); Tarpon Springs High School (math 30% / reading 47%, grade F, #321 of 667 statewide, top 49%, 1,139 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 404 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
7.86%
Cash-on-cash
5.58%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.7%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-11,041
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-15,158
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34689

Rents YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
404
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,432 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $544/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$460
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$117

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,284
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $168 -5% $143 +0% $117 +5% $92 +10% $66
Rent -10% $4 -5% $61 +0% $117 +5% $174 +10% $230
Rate -1.0pp $162 -0.5pp $140 base $117 +0.5pp $94 +1.0pp $70

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1250 S Pinellas Ave #504 Tarpon Springs, FL 1.0 1.0 565 $1,099 $1.95 26d 1 0.06mi
812 Bayou Ave Unit B Tarpon Springs, FL 1.0 1.0 675 $1,450 $2.15 26d 1 0.26mi
1185 S Pinellas Ave Tarpon Springs, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $1,572 $1.55 0d 20 0.27mi
101 W Lemon St Apt 3 Tarpon Springs, FL 1.0 1.0 650 $1,350 $2.08 23d 1 0.55mi
101 W Lemon St Unit 4 Tarpon Springs, FL 1.0 1.0 650 $1,450 $2.23 16d 1 0.55mi
101 W Lemon St Tarpon Springs, FL 1.0 1.0 650 $1,450 $2.23 6d 1 0.55mi
105 S Spring Blvd Unit 10 Tarpon Springs, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,350 $1.93 26d 1 0.60mi
542 Division St Tarpon Springs, FL 2.0 1.0 629 $1,400 $2.23 13d 1 1.01mi
606 Cross St Tarpon Springs, FL 1.0 1.0 551 $1,450 $2.63 3d 1 1.18mi
825 Cypress St Tarpon Springs, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $1,284 $1.71 0d 6 1.36mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$460 · $5,520/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $89,900 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-05-26
    listed $89,900 Active
  5. 2019-03-01
    soldstatus $70,000
  6. 2019-02-28
    soldstatus $70,000 Sold 56-char remark
    Show marketing remark (56 chars)

    Remodeled 1 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom ground floor unit condo.

  7. 2019-02-18
    listed $74,500 56-char remark
    Show marketing remark (56 chars)

    Remodeled 1 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom ground floor unit condo.

  8. 2019-02-18
    historical 56-char remark
    Show marketing remark (56 chars)

    Remodeled 1 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom ground floor unit condo.

  9. 2016-02-02
    soldstatus $45,500
  10. 2000-06-30
    soldstatus $37,000
  11. 1991-04-02
    soldstatus $31,500
  12. 1990-06-13
    soldstatus $31,500
  13. 1987-10-22
    soldstatus $30,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$544 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$746 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$202/yr (+$17/mo · 37.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,186
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$544
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,375
− Management
−$1,375
− HOA
−$5,520
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$271
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$65
After-tax cash flow
$1,341/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tarpon Springs

Score
68/100
State rank
#502
US rank
#9244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tarpon Springs, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
27,324
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,324
Household income
$74,854
Rent vs Own
18.5% rent · 81.5% own
Severe rent burden
721.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
84% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -300.96%
Current HPI
303.7434
Rent YoY
▼ -1.16%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+193.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2019-02-28 Sold (MLS) $70,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-18 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-18 Listed $74,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records
  • 2000-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 1991-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
  • 1990-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
  • 1987-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $30,600 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $544 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…