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233 W 3rd
B+ Composite 78.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$85,000

233 W 3rd · Atoka, OK 74525
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,866 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 189 Days on market
Built 1910 9,400 sqft lot Est $166k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming Home in the Heart of Atoka Welcome to 233 W 3rd Street in Atoka, Oklahoma — a warm and inviting property located just moments from downtown. This home offers the perfect blend of small-town charm and everyday convenience, making it ideal for anyone seeking comfort, simplicity, and community. Situated in a quiet neighborhood, this property provides easy access to local shops, dining, schools, and the historic districts that make Atoka such a special place to live. Whether you're looking for your first home, an investment opportunity, or a peaceful place to settle, this location offers wonderful potential. There is a pecan tree in the front yard and the bricks that make up t

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Flexible layout
  • Quiet neighborhood

Tags

QUIET NEIGHBORHOODEASY ACCESS TO LOCAL SHOPSSPACIOUS YARDFLEXIBLE LAYOUTWELL-LOCATED PROPERTY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces east
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Other interior features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 46/100 on livability (#698 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Atoka (rural): math 19% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #154 of 270 in OK (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Atoka County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
11.87%
Cash-on-cash
19.93%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$166,074
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
170 E 2nd 0.23mi 3/2.0 2,052 (+10%) 13mo $166,500 $81 58
687 W 6th 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,929 (+3%) 13mo $283,000 $147 58
377 W 1st 0.18mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,139 (+15%) 12mo $189,900 $89 46
348 W Maple Ln 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,642 (-12%) 4mo $135,000 $82 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.43% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$32,826
Equity at exit
$35,509
10-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
4.56×
Total profit
$84,791
Equity at exit
$52,703

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74525

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
57
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,135 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $240/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $634
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 189 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 188 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 187 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 186 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 184 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,000 Active 183 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 180 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 179 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 178 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 176 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 174 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 173 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 172 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 171 DOM
  15. 2025-12-10
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$240 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$765 · $64/mo
Expected delta
+$525/yr (+$44/mo · 218.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,616
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$240
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,089
− Management
−$1,089
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$3,538
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$849
After-tax cash flow
$3,893/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Atoka
NCES district ID
4003360
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$31,534
Composite
18.61/100
National rank
#8901
State rank
#154 of 270 in OK

Livability — Atoka

Score
46/100
State rank
#698
US rank
#26475

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Atoka, OK
Population (ZIP)
10,420

Population outlook (Atoka County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,004 people
By 2030
12,522 · -3.7%
By 2040
11,595 · -10.8%
By 2050
10,709 · -17.6%
By 2075
8,957 · -31.1%
By 2100
7,452 · -42.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Two or more races 18% Native American 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% European 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Philippines, Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atoka

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.6) · D 13.8% · R 85.3%
2008→2024 swing
-27.7pp toward R · 2008: -43.9pp · 2024: -71.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.6 2020: R+70.4 2016: R+65.4 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+43.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.43%
Current HPI
213.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $85,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $240 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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