808 Murphy St · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,750
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fresh paint and new flooring and blinds showcase this 4 bedroom 2 bathroom beauty nestled in a cul-de-sac off 8th avenue in Gulfport. The large living room room opens to the dining area that is just off the Kitchen. Newer bathtub in hall bath as well as a newer shower in primary bathroom. Spacious primary bedroom and larger 4th bedroom are great amenities. Don't wait long or you'll miss this beauty.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1980
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Near entertainment
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces; Concrete driveway (see remarks)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence, house; One story; Updated/remodeled
- Construction: Brick veneer and siding exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built in public records (year built source)
- Exterior features: Patio/porch (see remarks); Other exterior features (see remarks); Fenced yard; Cleared, rectangular city lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing electric range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level); Bedroom 2 (main level); Bedroom 3 (main level); Bedroom 4 (main level)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Blinds and window screens; ENERGY STAR qualified windows; Deadbolt locks
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $166k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($321/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (17.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $137k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,374/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 1516% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($161k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.69%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $134,721
- List price
- $165,750
- Delta
- 23.03%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 714 Tennessee St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,187 (-1%) | 5mo | $129,900 | $109 | 54 |
| 3003 Pineland Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,266 (+5%) | 12mo | $135,000 | $107 | 46 |
| 2825 7th Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,114 (-8%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $99 | 44 |
| 2903 Audubon Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,350 (+12%) | 6mo | $118,800 | $88 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-17,925
- Equity at exit
- $24,714
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $19,505
- Equity at exit
- $14,331
Cash invested: $46,410 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39501
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,374 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$869
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,447/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $27
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $121 | -5% $74 | +0% $27 | +5% $-20 | +10% $-67 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-82 | -5% $-28 | +0% $27 | +5% $81 | +10% $135 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $110 | -0.5pp $69 | base $27 | +0.5pp $-16 | +1.0pp $-60 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,438
- Closing costs
- $4,972
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2823 6th Ave Unit A Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1400 28th St Gulfport, MS | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,085 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2706 6th Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1217 | $1,300 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2311 5th Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2233 5th Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,300 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 941 22nd St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1605 20th St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1350 | $1,095 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-10status $165,750 Pending 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,750 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,750 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,750 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,750 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,750 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,750 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,750 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,750 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-05$165,750 Active 402-char remark
-
2024-01-20historical $1,500
-
2024-01-18$1,500
-
2024-01-18historical $1,500
-
2024-01-05$1,500
-
2024-01-05historical $1,500
-
2023-12-01$1,500
-
2017-01-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,447 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,447 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,490
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,285
- − Property taxes
- −$1,447
- − Insurance
- −$829
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,319
- − Management
- −$1,319
- − Depreciation
- −$4,822
- Taxable loss
- −$2,530
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$607
- After-tax cash flow
- $928/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gulfport School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,712
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5213
- State rank
- #37 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,565
- Household income
- $34,758
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.16%
- Current HPI
- 208.998
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.49%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+10950.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-05 Listed $165,750 MLSU
- 2024-01-20 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2024-01-18 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2024-01-18 Rental Removed $1,500 MLSU
- 2024-01-05 Listed for Rent $1,500 MLSU
- 2024-01-05 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2023-12-01 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2017-01-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,447 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…