1602 San Saba St · Bossier City, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 8,843 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1959
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.7% in Bossier City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#47 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Bossier Parish (urban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #17 of 98 in LA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 716 units permitted in Bossier Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bossier County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $100k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.94%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,900
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4209 Lark St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,057 (+2%) | 12mo | $137,000 | $130 | 79 |
| 4213 Van Deeman St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,010 (-2%) | 6mo | $133,900 | $133 | 75 |
| 1610 Cline St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 931 (-10%) | 6mo | $139,900 | $150 | 70 |
| 1710 Shady Grove Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,102 (+6%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $141 | 67 |
| 4211 Van Deeman St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,114 (+8%) | 12mo | $133,900 | $120 | 62 |
| 1920 Alison Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 990 (-4%) | 5mo | $137,500 | $139 | 58 |
| 1706 Oriole St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (+12%) | 13mo | $115,000 | $99 | 56 |
| 4215 Evelyn St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,085 (+5%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $152 | 52 |
| 1205 Gladiolus St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,052 (+2%) | 14mo | $147,500 | $140 | 49 |
| 1318 Pecan Sq | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 953 (-8%) | 14mo | $133,000 | $140 | 44 |
| 4216 Evelyn St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,172 (+13%) | 2mo | $164,900 | $141 | 40 |
| 1815 Fox St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,165 (+13%) | 11mo | $139,900 | $120 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-908
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $27,873
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71112
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,519 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $302
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1711 San Saba St Bossier City, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1119 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 20d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4223 Elaine St Bossier City, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,475 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3979 Stuart Ave Bossier City, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1135 | $1,300 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1401 Gardenia St Bossier City, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,100 | $1.25 | 20d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1000 Riverwalk Blvd Shreveport, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 928 | $2,071 | $2.23 | 13d | 11 | 1.09mi |
| 4708 Longstreet Pl Bossier City, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1108 | $1,500 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4720 Longstreet Pl Bossier City, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3501 Champion Lake Blvd Shreveport, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,415 | $1.67 | 13d | 20 | 1.23mi |
| 1105 Island Park Blvd Shreveport, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,781 | $1.39 | 13d | 9 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-06-07$130,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,229
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,458
- − Management
- −$1,458
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $1,648
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$396
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,224/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bossier Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200270
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -28.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,326
- Composite
- 37.5/100
- National rank
- #4402
- State rank
- #17 of 98 in LA
Livability — Bossier City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #7044
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bossier City, LA
- County
- Bossier Parish · 98,704 people
- City population
- 91,925
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,587
- Household income
- $61,760
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1391.0
Population outlook (Bossier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 143,247 people
- By 2030
- 151,802 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 168,194 · +17.4%
- By 2050
- 183,533 · +28.1%
- By 2075
- 217,009 · +51.5%
- By 2100
- 230,091 · +60.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bossier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.7% · R 71.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.3pp no change · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+45.4 2008: R+43.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.48%
- Current HPI
- 127.9821
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.60%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+58.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-06-03 Listed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2019-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2002-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2023): $143 · -80.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…