215 S Gum St · North Vernon, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This three bedroom home has been recently remodeled. It is not located too far from local parks and the schools. There is a walking trail in front of the home that goes to the county park. New items include: roof, a/c unit, water heater, furnace, flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity, siding, washer & dryer, refrigerator, gas stove for cooking, microwave, and fresh paint. Schedule your appointment today
Key facts
- Recently remodeled
- Walking trail
- New a/c unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($762/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (17.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $148k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.1% in North Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#29 in IN, #2,347 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Jennings County School Corporation (rural): math 32% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #194 of 301 in IN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Vernon Elementary School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #652 of 994 statewide, top 68%, 608 students, 71% FRL); Jennings County Middle School (math 28% / reading 36%, grade F, #190 of 330 statewide, top 59%, 626 students, 62% FRL); Jennings County High School (math 26% / reading 62%, grade F, #189 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 1,184 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 84 units permitted in Jennings County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jennings County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.52%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,594
- List price
- $179,000
- Delta
- -1.97%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Oakwood Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 2,236 (+2%) | 22mo | $200,000 | $89 | 69 |
| 43 W Main St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,014 (-8%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $99 | 63 |
| 216 S State St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 2,462 (+13%) | 1mo | $66,000 | $27 | 62 |
| 442 S Elm St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,950 (-11%) | 15mo | $200,000 | $103 | 58 |
| 30 Oakwood Ave | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,869 (-14%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $112 | 50 |
| 654 N Shady Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 2,278 (+4%) | 13mo | $310,000 | $136 | 44 |
| 651 Avalon (lot #10) Ct | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,378 (+9%) | 10mo | $359,900 | $151 | 39 |
| 335 Long St | 0.68mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 2,072 (-5%) | 17mo | $219,000 | $106 | 32 |
| 615 N Madison Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,872 (-14%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $88 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-25,018
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-16,809
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47265
- Home prices YoY
- -31.5%
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,483 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,134/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $64
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $165 | -5% $114 | +0% $64 | +5% $13 | +10% $-38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-54 | -5% $5 | +0% $64 | +5% $122 | +10% $181 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $154 | -0.5pp $109 | base $64 | +0.5pp $17 | +1.0pp $-30 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-17price $179,000 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
This three bedroom home has been recently remodeled. It is not located too far from local parks and the schools. There is a walking trail in front of the home that goes to the county park. New items include: roof, a/c unit, water heater, furnace, flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity, siding, washer & dryer, refrigerator, gas stove for cooking, microwave, and fresh paint. Schedule your appointment today
-
2026-03-25status Active 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
This three bedroom home has been recently remodeled. It is not located too far from local parks and the schools. There is a walking trail in front of the home that goes to the county park. New items include: roof, a/c unit, water heater, furnace, flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity, siding, washer & dryer, refrigerator, gas stove for cooking, microwave, and fresh paint. Schedule your appointment today
-
2026-03-05status Pending 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
This three bedroom home has been recently remodeled. It is not located too far from local parks and the schools. There is a walking trail in front of the home that goes to the county park. New items include: roof, a/c unit, water heater, furnace, flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity, siding, washer & dryer, refrigerator, gas stove for cooking, microwave, and fresh paint. Schedule your appointment today
-
2026-02-09price $189,000 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
This three bedroom home has been recently remodeled. It is not located too far from local parks and the schools. There is a walking trail in front of the home that goes to the county park. New items include: roof, a/c unit, water heater, furnace, flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity, siding, washer & dryer, refrigerator, gas stove for cooking, microwave, and fresh paint. Schedule your appointment today
-
2025-12-08price $195,000 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
This three bedroom home has been recently remodeled. It is not located too far from local parks and the schools. There is a walking trail in front of the home that goes to the county park. New items include: roof, a/c unit, water heater, furnace, flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity, siding, washer & dryer, refrigerator, gas stove for cooking, microwave, and fresh paint. Schedule your appointment today
-
2025-11-04price $209,900 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
This three bedroom home has been recently remodeled. It is not located too far from local parks and the schools. There is a walking trail in front of the home that goes to the county park. New items include: roof, a/c unit, water heater, furnace, flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity, siding, washer & dryer, refrigerator, gas stove for cooking, microwave, and fresh paint. Schedule your appointment today
-
2025-10-21price $214,900 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
This three bedroom home has been recently remodeled. It is not located too far from local parks and the schools. There is a walking trail in front of the home that goes to the county park. New items include: roof, a/c unit, water heater, furnace, flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity, siding, washer & dryer, refrigerator, gas stove for cooking, microwave, and fresh paint. Schedule your appointment today
-
2025-10-01price $219,900 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
This three bedroom home has been recently remodeled. It is not located too far from local parks and the schools. There is a walking trail in front of the home that goes to the county park. New items include: roof, a/c unit, water heater, furnace, flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity, siding, washer & dryer, refrigerator, gas stove for cooking, microwave, and fresh paint. Schedule your appointment today
-
2025-09-17$225,000 Active 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
This three bedroom home has been recently remodeled. It is not located too far from local parks and the schools. There is a walking trail in front of the home that goes to the county park. New items include: roof, a/c unit, water heater, furnace, flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity, siding, washer & dryer, refrigerator, gas stove for cooking, microwave, and fresh paint. Schedule your appointment today
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,134 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,328 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$194/yr (+$16/mo · 17.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,792
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$1,134
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,423
- − Management
- −$1,423
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$2,318
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$556
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jennings County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1805190
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,418
- Composite
- 29.89/100
- National rank
- #6394
- State rank
- #194 of 301 in IN
Livability — North Vernon
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #2347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Vernon, IN
- City population
- 20,981
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,981
Population outlook (Jennings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,584 people
- By 2030
- 25,591 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 23,423 · -11.9%
- By 2050
- 20,973 · -21.1%
- By 2075
- 15,445 · -41.9%
- By 2100
- 10,714 · -59.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jennings
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.8) · D 19.7% · R 78.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -50.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.0pp · 2024: -58.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.8 2020: R+56.9 2016: R+52.7 2012: R+22.4 2008: R+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.36%
- Current HPI
- 233.0275
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-20.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $179,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $189,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $195,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $209,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $214,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $219,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-17 Listed $225,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+13.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,134 · +15.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…