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715 Hope St
B- Composite 68.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

715 Hope St · St. Paul, MN 55106
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,224 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1900 3,441 sqft lot ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits at 715 Hope Street in St. Paul. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for a complete renovation and offers strong potential for investors, contractors, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. The home requires significant repairs and updates throughout. The heat is currently not functioning, and the seller has no knowledge of the condition of the plumbing or heating systems. Situated on a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a private setting with great potential for the right buyer willing to bring it back to life. This home is being sold strictly "AS IS", and buyers should plan for extensive repairs.

Key facts

  • Complete renovation
  • Private setting
  • 3,441 sq ft lot

Tags

COMPLETE RENOVATIONPRIVATE SETTINGQUIET DEAD-END STREET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $58,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.90%
Cap rate
31.54%
Cash-on-cash
90.15%
DSCR
5.01
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
94.9%
Equity multiple
5.69×
Total profit
$78,599
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
98.4%
Equity multiple
13.35×
Total profit
$207,070
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55106

Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,336 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$246 /mo · $2,954/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$491
Net cashflow
$1,260

Break-even live

Break-even rent $741
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
330 9th St E St Paul, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0 978 $2,495 $2.55 3d 3 1.12mi
250 6th St E St Paul, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 980 $2,868 $2.93 2d 16 1.28mi
240 5th St E St Paul, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 949 $2,770 $2.92 2d 10 1.32mi
333 Sibley St Saint Paul, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1358 $2,577 $1.90 10d 10 1.38mi
180 E Kellogg Blvd St Paul, MN 3.0 1.0–2.5 1436 $3,467 $2.41 1d 22 1.44mi
141 4th St E Saint Paul, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 811 $2,420 $2.98 20d 20 1.48mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $59,900 Pending 59 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Contingent - Inspection 59 DOM
  3. 2026-05-14
    price $59,900 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Opportunity awaits at 715 Hope Street in St. Paul. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for a complete renovation and offers strong potential for investors, contractors, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. The home requires significant repairs and updates throughout. The heat is currently not functioning, and the seller has no knowledge of the condition of the plumbing or heating systems. Situated on a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a private setting with great potential for the right buyer willing to bring it back to life. This home is being sold strictly "AS IS", and buyers should plan for extensive repairs.

  4. 2026-04-17
    price $85,000 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Opportunity awaits at 715 Hope Street in St. Paul. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for a complete renovation and offers strong potential for investors, contractors, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. The home requires significant repairs and updates throughout. The heat is currently not functioning, and the seller has no knowledge of the condition of the plumbing or heating systems. Situated on a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a private setting with great potential for the right buyer willing to bring it back to life. This home is being sold strictly "AS IS", and buyers should plan for extensive repairs.

  5. 2026-04-02
    listed $95,000 Active 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Opportunity awaits at 715 Hope Street in St. Paul. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for a complete renovation and offers strong potential for investors, contractors, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. The home requires significant repairs and updates throughout. The heat is currently not functioning, and the seller has no knowledge of the condition of the plumbing or heating systems. Situated on a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a private setting with great potential for the right buyer willing to bring it back to life. This home is being sold strictly "AS IS", and buyers should plan for extensive repairs.

  6. 2015-09-15
    historical
  7. 2015-07-16
    status Active
  8. 2015-06-24
    historical
  9. 2015-06-01
    price $54,900
  10. 2014-10-08
    status Active
  11. 2014-09-09
    status Pending
  12. 2014-08-14
    status Active
  13. 2014-08-04
    status Pending
  14. 2014-07-15
    listed $59,900 Active
  15. 2014-05-01
    historical
  16. 2013-11-07
    listed $69,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,954 · $246/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,954 · $246/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,030
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$2,954
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,242
− Management
−$2,242
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$15,194
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,646
After-tax cash flow
$11,474/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Paul Public School District
NCES district ID
2733840
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,316
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7868
State rank
#270 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Paul, MN
County
Ramsey County · 542,837 people
City population
280,599
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
56,708
Household income
$70,187
Rent vs Own
38.9% rent · 61.1% own
Severe rent burden
2046.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
603,431 people
By 2030
636,459 · +5.5%
By 2040
700,596 · +16.1%
By 2050
765,819 · +26.9%
By 2075
929,297 · +54.0%
By 2100
1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 34% White 32% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
59% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 27% Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -239.48%
Current HPI
288.7205
Rent YoY
▲ 6.26%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $95,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-15 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-07-16 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-24 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-01 Price Changed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-08 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-09 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-08-14 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-08-04 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-07-15 Listed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-05-01 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-07 Listed $69,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+11.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,954 · +34.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…