715 Hope St · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits at 715 Hope Street in St. Paul. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for a complete renovation and offers strong potential for investors, contractors, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. The home requires significant repairs and updates throughout. The heat is currently not functioning, and the seller has no knowledge of the condition of the plumbing or heating systems. Situated on a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a private setting with great potential for the right buyer willing to bring it back to life. This home is being sold strictly "AS IS", and buyers should plan for extensive repairs.
Key facts
- Complete renovation
- Private setting
- 3,441 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 90.15%
- DSCR
- 5.01
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 94.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.69×
- Total profit
- $78,599
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 98.4%
- Equity multiple
- 13.35×
- Total profit
- $207,070
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55106
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,336 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$246 /mo · $2,954/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $1,260
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330 9th St E St Paul, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $2,495 | $2.55 | 3d | 3 | 1.12mi |
| 250 6th St E St Paul, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 980 | $2,868 | $2.93 | 2d | 16 | 1.28mi |
| 240 5th St E St Paul, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $2,770 | $2.92 | 2d | 10 | 1.32mi |
| 333 Sibley St Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1358 | $2,577 | $1.90 | 10d | 10 | 1.38mi |
| 180 E Kellogg Blvd St Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1436 | $3,467 | $2.41 | 1d | 22 | 1.44mi |
| 141 4th St E Saint Paul, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 811 | $2,420 | $2.98 | 20d | 20 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-01status $59,900 Pending 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Contingent - Inspection 59 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $59,900 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (644 chars)
Opportunity awaits at 715 Hope Street in St. Paul. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for a complete renovation and offers strong potential for investors, contractors, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. The home requires significant repairs and updates throughout. The heat is currently not functioning, and the seller has no knowledge of the condition of the plumbing or heating systems. Situated on a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a private setting with great potential for the right buyer willing to bring it back to life. This home is being sold strictly "AS IS", and buyers should plan for extensive repairs.
-
2026-04-17price $85,000 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (644 chars)
Opportunity awaits at 715 Hope Street in St. Paul. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for a complete renovation and offers strong potential for investors, contractors, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. The home requires significant repairs and updates throughout. The heat is currently not functioning, and the seller has no knowledge of the condition of the plumbing or heating systems. Situated on a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a private setting with great potential for the right buyer willing to bring it back to life. This home is being sold strictly "AS IS", and buyers should plan for extensive repairs.
-
2026-04-02$95,000 Active 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (644 chars)
Opportunity awaits at 715 Hope Street in St. Paul. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for a complete renovation and offers strong potential for investors, contractors, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. The home requires significant repairs and updates throughout. The heat is currently not functioning, and the seller has no knowledge of the condition of the plumbing or heating systems. Situated on a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a private setting with great potential for the right buyer willing to bring it back to life. This home is being sold strictly "AS IS", and buyers should plan for extensive repairs.
-
2015-09-15historical
-
2015-07-16status Active
-
2015-06-24historical
-
2015-06-01price $54,900
-
2014-10-08status Active
-
2014-09-09status Pending
-
2014-08-14status Active
-
2014-08-04status Pending
-
2014-07-15$59,900 Active
-
2014-05-01historical
-
2013-11-07$69,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,954 · $246/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,954 · $246/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,030
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$2,954
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,242
- − Management
- −$2,242
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $15,194
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,646
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,474/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 280,599
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,708
- Household income
- $70,187
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2046.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 34% White 32% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 27% Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -239.48%
- Current HPI
- 288.7205
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.26%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
-14.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Listed $95,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-15 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-16 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-24 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-01 Price Changed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-08 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-09 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-14 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-04 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-15 Listed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-01 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-11-07 Listed $69,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,954 · +34.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…