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4606 S Hayden St
C Composite 56.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

4606 S Hayden St · Amarillo, TX 79110
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,480 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1953 6,098 sqft lot Est $222k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Adorable and affordable, 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home for sale in Amarillo. Update kitchen with gas stove, farmhouse sink and granite, newer windows, updated plumbing, large basement, and a Class 4 roof less than 1 year old! Beautiful Pear tree in the back yard along with a 12x20 concrete slab. Home has a great layout with 2 living areas just waiting for someone to come and make it their own. Basement could easily be a 4th bedroom or game room. Extra long double driveway allows for plenty of parking.

Key facts

  • Update kitchen
  • Gas stove
  • Farmhouse sink

Tags

UPDATE KITCHENGAS STOVEFARMHOUSE SINKGRANITENEWER WINDOWSUPDATED PLUMBING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Additional parking; RV access/parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Frame construction; Slab and pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ceiling fans for cooling
  • Interior features: Range; Wood-burning stove in the master bedroom; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: South Lawn El (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,769 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 327 students, 86% FRL); Fannin Middle (math 36% / reading 30%, grade F, #930 of 1,662 statewide, top 57%, 657 students, 79% FRL); Caprock H S (math 33% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,090 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 58% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.35%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,000
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4610 Longbird St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,464 (-1%) 9mo $220,000 $150 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-10,652
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$19,017
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79110

Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,407 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$241 /mo · $2,897/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,273
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4620 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,475 $1.42 20d 1 0.05mi
4615 S Lipscomb St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,000 $0.86 13d 1 0.12mi
4316 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.5 1356 $1,650 $1.22 43d 1 0.28mi
4308 S Jackson St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1302 $1,490 $1.14 20d 1 0.38mi
4108 Crockett St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1373 $1,525 $1.11 43d 1 0.75mi
3813 S Washington St Unit B Amarillo, TX 2.0 2.0 954 $1,050 $1.10 43d 1 0.79mi
5315 Allen St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 891 $1,200 $1.35 20d 1 0.84mi
307 Mikeska St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,800 $1.44 20d 1 0.86mi
608 Lochridge Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1455 $1,900 $1.31 43d 1 0.95mi
4003 S Bowie St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 890 $995 $1.12 13d 1 1.01mi
5142 Crockett St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1030 $1,495 $1.45 13d 1 1.02mi
3610 S Austin St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.5 1810 $2,100 $1.16 43d 1 1.05mi
3205 S Tyler St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1381 $1,475 $1.07 13d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 503-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,897 · $241/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,897 · $241/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,880
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,897
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,350
− Management
−$1,350
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$883
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$212
After-tax cash flow
$1,479/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amarillo ISD
NCES district ID
4808130
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,478
Composite
35.96/100
National rank
#4798
State rank
#336 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

Score
66/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amarillo, TX
County
Randall County · 137,351 people
City population
185,802
Metro
Amarillo, TX
Population (ZIP)
16,994
Household income
$66,683
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
208.0

Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,140 people
By 2030
163,107 · +7.2%
By 2040
184,999 · +21.6%
By 2050
206,948 · +36.0%
By 2075
260,204 · +71.0%
By 2100
294,980 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 13% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randall

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.16%
Current HPI
180.2164
Rent YoY
▲ 6.04%
Metro
Amarillo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $135,000 AARMLS

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,897 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…