1510 Sycamore St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- Appreciation +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a great first property!! Whether you are an owner occupant or investor, this affordable and maintenance free home is the one. This is a low-risk investment with strong rental yield potential in an area with long term rental demand. This move-in ready 2-bedroom rowhome blends modern updates with classic Baltimore character. Step inside to discover stylish wood laminate flooring throughout, providing both durability and a sleek aesthetic. Each room is comfortably equipped with individual heating elements, while window are units nicely cool the property -- giving you full control of your comfort year-round. The main living and dining areas flow seamlessly into a functional and updated kitchen, while the finished basement offers valuable flex space, perfect for a home office, rec room, or guest area. There is in-unit laundry in the basement. Located in a well-established neighborhood, you’re just minutes from Druid Hill Park, Mondawmin Mall, and the Baltimore Zoo. Easy access to public transportation, local schools, and downtown Baltimore makes this a convenient and desirable location for homeowners and investors alike. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking to expand your rental portfolio, 1510 Sycamore St is a smart and affordable opportunity.
Key facts
- In-unit laundry
- Finished basement
- Built 1926
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (7.8% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (7.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $130k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.37%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $103,570
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- 25.52%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1347 Cambria St | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 986 (+3%) | 3mo | $177,000 | $180 | 76 |
| 1150 Monroe Cir | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,024 (+7%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $54 | 72 |
| 3601 9th St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (0%) | 7mo | $35,000 | $36 | 66 |
| 3731 10th St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 1,041 (+8%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $120 | 66 |
| 4523 Pennington Ave | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (+5%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $104 | 64 |
| 4101 Morrison Ct | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-13%) | 6mo | $32,500 | $39 | 63 |
| 4221 Morrison Ct | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 | 832 (-13%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $30 | 62 |
| 4206 Grace Ct | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-13%) | 6mo | $60,500 | $73 | 60 |
| 3712 8th St | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 | 1,088 (+13%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $55 | 48 |
| 1607 Cereal St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-12%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $83 | 44 |
| 4009 8th St | 0.61mi | 2/2.5 | 1,088 (+13%) | 2mo | $223,000 | $205 | 42 |
| 3948 Brooklyn Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,080 (+12%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $83 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $77,302
- Equity at exit
- $96,560
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.63×
- Total profit
- $205,034
- Equity at exit
- $189,606
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21226
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,586 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,334/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $406
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $479 | -5% $442 | +0% $406 | +5% $369 | +10% $332 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $280 | -5% $343 | +0% $406 | +5% $468 | +10% $531 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $471 | -0.5pp $439 | base $406 | +0.5pp $372 | +1.0pp $338 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1353 Cambria St Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 986 | $1,600 | $1.62 | 19d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1305 E Patapsco Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 930 | $1,650 | $1.77 | 5d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1628 Plum St Apt B (CB) Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1049 E Patapsco Ave Unit a Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,257 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3826 10th St Unit Entire House Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,400 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 837 E Jeffrey St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $900 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 837 E Jeffrey St Apt 1 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $900 | $0.81 | 19d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 807 Stoll St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 658 | $1,000 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3840 8th St Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1088 | $1,606 | $1.48 | 5d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3528 6th St Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1060 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $2,500 | $2.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $2,500 | $2.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $2,500 | $2.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4206 Audrey Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1104 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4206 Audrey Ave Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,275 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5215 Wasena Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,650 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 520 Baltic Ave Unit B Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5227 Patrick Henry Dr Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,326 | $1.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3513 Horton Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,600 | $1.57 | 19d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4400 4th St Unit BASEMENT Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,350 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4207 3rd St Unit 3 Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,595 | $1.88 | 6d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1 Ballman Ct Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 205 Arundel Rd W Brooklyn, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,200 | $1.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 217 W Edgevale Rd Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,800 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $130,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $130,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-02-03$130,000 Active 1282-char remark
Show marketing remark (1282 chars)
This is a great first property!! Whether you are an owner occupant or investor, this affordable and maintenance free home is the one. This is a low-risk investment with strong rental yield potential in an area with long term rental demand. This move-in ready 2-bedroom rowhome blends modern updates with classic Baltimore character. Step inside to discover stylish wood laminate flooring throughout, providing both durability and a sleek aesthetic. Each room is comfortably equipped with individual heating elements, while window are units nicely cool the property -- giving you full control of your comfort year-round. The main living and dining areas flow seamlessly into a functional and updated kitchen, while the finished basement offers valuable flex space, perfect for a home office, rec room, or guest area. There is in-unit laundry in the basement. Located in a well-established neighborhood, you’re just minutes from Druid Hill Park, Mondawmin Mall, and the Baltimore Zoo. Easy access to public transportation, local schools, and downtown Baltimore makes this a convenient and desirable location for homeowners and investors alike. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking to expand your rental portfolio, 1510 Sycamore St is a smart and affordable opportunity.
-
2026-02-01historical
-
2025-08-05$140,000 Active
-
2025-03-05historical $1,400
-
2025-02-28$1,400
-
2025-02-28historical $1,400
-
2025-02-14price $1,400
-
2025-01-28$1,650
-
2025-01-26historical $1,650
-
2025-01-22$1,650
-
2025-01-22historical $1,650
-
2024-11-22$1,650
-
2019-09-05soldstatus $13,000 Closed
-
2019-05-21status Pending
-
2019-05-09$11,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,334 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,376 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$41/yr (+$3/mo · 3.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,027
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,334
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,522
- − Management
- −$1,522
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $2,935
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$704
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,162/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- City population
- 588,727
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,593
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 18% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 7% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.75%
- Current HPI
- 318.79
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+1081.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-03 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-05 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-05 Rental Removed $1,400 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-02-28 Listed for Rent $1,400 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-02-28 Rental Removed $1,400 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-02-14 Price Changed $1,400 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-01-28 Listed for Rent $1,650 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-01-26 Rental Removed $1,650 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-01-22 Listed for Rent $1,650 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-01-22 Rental Removed $1,650 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-11-22 Listed for Rent $1,650 TURBOTENANT
- 2019-09-05 Sold (MLS) $13,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-05-21 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-05-09 Listed $11,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,334 · +30.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…