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VY16763A Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 34.91
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -3.0

$92,900

VY16763A Plan · Donna, TX 78537
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,165 sqft · Manufactured · 861 Days on market
Manufactured home Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 Bedroom 2 Bath over 11sq ft. Must see floorplan!! Modern finishes, white cabinets, upgraded flooring, stainless appliances and lots of natural light from all of the windows. Price includes, delivery and set-up, caliche pad, vapor barrier, Central A/C and Heat, (2) 4x4 decks and upgrade vinyl skirting, plus our award winning in house service!

Key facts

  • Stainless appliances
  • Central a/c
  • Modern finishes

Tags

MODERN FINISHESSTAINLESS APPLIANCESLOTS OF NATURAL LIGHTCENTRAL A/CUPGRADE VINYL SKIRTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $92,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $127,202.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $93k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (1.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.3% in Donna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,411 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Donna ISD (suburban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #821 of 826 in TX (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: T Price El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 417 students, 97% FRL); W A Todd Middle (math 9% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,556 of 1,662 statewide, top 94%, 693 students, 92% FRL); Donna H S (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,436 of 1,632 statewide, top 88%, 2,095 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 48% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 507 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 110d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($879 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 861 days — a 12% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $81,752 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 861 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.80%
Cash-on-cash
-5.33%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$127,202
List price
$92,900
Delta
-26.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3098 Briggs Rd #3 1.20mi 3/2.0 1,193 (+2%) 1mo $140,000 $117 60
3098 Briggs Rd #1 1.20mi 3/2.0 1,193 (+2%) 4mo $140,000 $117 57
512 S 24th St 1.17mi 3/2.0 1,116 (-4%) 6mo $115,000 $103 53
523 N 12th St 1.26mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,196 (+3%) 3mo $160,000 $134 53
3098 Briggs Rd #4 1.20mi 3/2.0 1,088 (-7%) 1mo $140,000 $129 53
2020 W Adelita St 1.22mi 3/2.0 1,092 (-6%) 5mo $175,000 $160 50
612 S 21st St 1.28mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,128 (-3%) 4mo $189,900 $168 49
2214 W Taft St 1.23mi 3/2.0 1,299 (+12%) 4mo $185,000 $142 42
3401 Kerps St 1.42mi 3/2.5 1,446 (+24%) 0mo $239,950 $166 38
2321 Cardinal Dr 1.41mi 3/2.0 1,450 (+24%) 5mo $244,900 $169 36
3417 Kerps St 1.18mi 3/2.5 1,446 (+24%) 4mo $259,000 $179 35
212 S 26th St 0.87mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,416 (+22%) 3mo $138,000 $97 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$59,211
Equity at exit
$114,593
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
6.12×
Total profit
$182,321
Equity at exit
$247,125

Cash invested: $35,616 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
10 active
Median asking
$93,900 ($78/sqft)
Median days on market
862 d
This list price
10% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+40.4% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 78537

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
507
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$912 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$667
Tax est. 1.5%
$159 /mo · $1,908/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$192
Net cashflow
$-158

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,113
Max offer price $104,300
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-70 -5% $-114 +0% $-158 +5% $-202 +10% $-246
Rent -10% $-230 -5% $-194 +0% $-158 +5% $-122 +10% $-86
Rate -1.0pp $-94 -0.5pp $-126 base $-158 +0.5pp $-191 +1.0pp $-225

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,800
Closing costs
$3,816
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2607 E North Ave Donna, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 0d 7 0.27mi
602 N Victoria Rd Donna, TX 3.0 2.0 1033 $1,431 $1.39 62d 1 0.47mi
2900 Charlie Rd Unit A Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 860 $1,250 $1.45 6d 1 0.88mi
2813 Bravo Rd Unit B Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 6d 1 0.88mi
3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 333 Donna, TX 3.0 2.0 960 $899 $0.94 139d 1 0.90mi
3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 431 Donna, TX 3.0 2.0 960 $799 $0.83 119d 1 0.90mi
3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 464 Donna, TX 3.0 2.0 960 $799 $0.83 62d 1 0.90mi
3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 419 Donna, TX 3.0 2.0 960 $824 $0.86 6d 1 0.90mi
3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 340 Donna, TX 3.0 2.0 960 $799 $0.83 6d 1 0.90mi
3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 442 Donna, TX 3.0 2.0 960 $799 $0.83 139d 1 0.90mi
2705 Woodpecker Rd Unit 2 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,200 $1.18 119d 1 0.91mi
1430 Mile 6 1/2 W Unit 6 1/2 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $877 $1.03 139d 1 0.94mi
2609 Woodpecker Rd Unit 3 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1068 $1,250 $1.17 6d 1 0.96mi
2609 Woodpecker Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,250 $1.23 119d 1 0.96mi
2604 Woodpecker Rd Unit 2 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1068 $1,200 $1.12 110d 1 0.96mi
2605 Woodpecker Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1068 $1,250 $1.17 0d 1 0.97mi
2605 Woodpecker Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1183 $1,300 $1.10 119d 1 0.97mi
2605 Woodpecker Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1183 $1,350 $1.14 5d 1 0.97mi
503 Sparrow Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 6d 1 0.99mi
503 Sparrow Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 116d 1 0.99mi
2509 Woodpecker Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,350 $1.12 6d 1 1.01mi
2608 Mockingbird Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1183 $1,380 $1.17 116d 1 1.02mi
2613 Mockingbird Rd Unit D Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 973 $1,200 $1.23 139d 1 1.02mi
412 Sparrow Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,250 $1.23 119d 1 1.02mi
408 Sparrow Rd #4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,400 $1.18 110d 1 1.03mi
408 Sparrow Rd #4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,350 $1.14 6d 1 1.03mi
800 Oriole Rd Unit 3 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,200 $1.18 6d 1 1.04mi
800 Oriole Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,350 $1.14 6d 1 1.04mi
700 Oriole Rd #2 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,250 $1.23 139d 1 1.06mi
3099 Briggs Rd Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 995 $1,200 $1.21 62d 1 1.19mi
3208 Briggs Rd #3 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 868 $1,200 $1.38 6d 1 1.19mi
3086 Briggs Rd Unit B Midway South, TX 2.0 3.0 1050 $1,300 $1.24 119d 1 1.19mi
2013 Canyon Dr Unit 4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1111 $1,200 $1.08 119d 1 1.21mi
2103 Taft St Unit 4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1111 $1,095 $0.99 139d 1 1.23mi
3056 Stark Rd Unit 4 WESLACO, TX 3.0 2.0 1137 $1,300 $1.14 6d 1 1.24mi
1721 Harrison St Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1005 $1,025 $1.02 139d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    days on market $92,900 Active 861 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $92,900 Active 860 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $92,900 Active 859 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $92,900 Active 858 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $92,900 Active 857 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $92,900 Active 856 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $92,900 Active 855 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $92,900 Active 854 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $92,900 Active 853 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $92,900 Active 852 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $92,900 Active 851 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $92,900 Active 850 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $92,900 Active 849 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $92,900 Active 843 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $92,900 Active 842 DOM
  16. 2026-09-03
    days on market $92,900 Active 841 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $92,900 Active 838 DOM
  18. 2026-08-30
    days on market $92,900 Active 837 DOM
  19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $92,900 Active 836 DOM
  20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $92,900 Active 835 DOM
  21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $92,900 Active 834 DOM
  22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $92,900 Active 832 DOM
  23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $92,900 Active 831 DOM
  24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $92,900 Active 830 DOM
  25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $92,900 Active 829 DOM
  26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $92,900 Active 828 DOM
  27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $92,900 Active 827 DOM
  28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $92,900 Active 826 DOM
  29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $92,900 Active 825 DOM
  30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $92,900 Active 824 DOM
  31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $92,900 Active 823 DOM
  32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $92,900 Active 822 DOM
  33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $92,900 Active 821 DOM
  34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $92,900 Active 820 DOM
  35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $92,900 Active 819 DOM
  36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $92,900 Active 818 DOM
  37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $92,900 Active 817 DOM
  38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $92,900 Active 816 DOM
  39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $92,900 Active 815 DOM
  40. 2026-08-07
    days on market $92,900 Active 814 DOM
  41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $92,900 Active 813 DOM
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $92,900 Active 812 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $92,900 Active 811 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $92,900 Active 810 DOM
  45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $92,900 Active 807 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $92,900 Active 806 DOM
  47. 2026-07-29
    days on market $92,900 Active 805 DOM
  48. 2026-07-27
    days on market $92,900 Active 803 DOM
  49. 2026-07-25
    days on market $92,900 Active 801 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $92,900 Active 799 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,949
− Mortgage interest
−$7,125
− Property taxes
−$1,908
− Insurance
−$636
− Repairs & maintenance
−$876
− Management
−$876
− Depreciation
−$3,700
Taxable loss
−$4,173
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,001
After-tax cash flow
$-898/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This manufactured home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a good curb appeal. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some landscaping and painting to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping — Aesthetic improvement and increased curb appeal
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can make a home look more inviting and modern
F Composite school gradezoned avg 17/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary T Price El F TX #3,836/4,322 Nat'l #35,191/41,679 Middle W A Todd Middle F TX #1,556/1,662 Nat'l #12,557/14,009 High Donna H S F TX #1,436/1,632 Nat'l #14,713/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Donna ISD
NCES district ID
4817390
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -30.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$27,330
Composite
11.16/100
National rank
#9728
State rank
#821 of 826 in TX
D Composite livability gradescore 54/100

Livability — Donna

Score
54/100
State rank
#1411
US rank
#24172

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hidalgo · 955,232 people
City population
51,346
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Population (ZIP)
51,346
Household income
$36,331
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
9% of renters

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 49% White 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 91%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada
Languages at home
15% English-only · Spanish 84%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2024-06-20 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-06-20 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-14 Listed $92,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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