2517 W La Rua St · Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home located in Pensacola. This lovely property features a spacious living area, a modern kitchen with updated appliances, and a cozy dining space. The master suite provides a private bath, while the additional bedrooms are generously sized. Enjoy outdoor living with a fenced backyard and patio area. Conveniently situated near local amenities and schools, this home presents a wonderful opportunity for comfortable living in a serene neighborhood.
Key facts
- Updated appliances
- Private bath
- Patio area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $149k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.6% in Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in FL, #924 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,847/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1458% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $66k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $159k implies a 347% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.37%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $191,426
- List price
- $159,000
- Delta
- -16.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3115 W Gadsden St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,670 (+8%) | 2mo | $84,500 | $51 | 62 |
| 3315 Marques St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (-2%) | 5mo | $355,000 | $233 | 61 |
| 1100 N T St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (-2%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $63 | 61 |
| 1009 N U St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,485 (-4%) | 7mo | $172,872 | $116 | 60 |
| 724 N K St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,674 (+8%) | 1mo | $299,900 | $179 | 57 |
| 3123 W Lloyd St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,623 (+5%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $43 | 56 |
| 2705 W Brainerd St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (-11%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $163 | 54 |
| 306 S N St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,610 (+4%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $180 | 52 |
| 1806 W Chase St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,488 (-4%) | 7mo | $324,000 | $218 | 49 |
| 241 S M St | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,606 (+4%) | 10mo | $360,000 | $224 | 47 |
| 2116 W De Soto St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-13%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $193 | 47 |
| 1013 N K St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,337 (-14%) | 11mo | $365,000 | $273 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $48
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $44,212
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32505
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,847 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$211 /mo · $2,533/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $348
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 315 N Pace Blvd Unit b Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 315 N Pace Blvd Unit A Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,850 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 309 N Pace Blvd Unit B Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2802 W Gonzalez St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $1,600 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 419 N Wentworth St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 239 N K St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,950 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 852 Garnet St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 706 N F St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,600 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 106 S G St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 814 N E St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 411 N D St Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1511 | $2,175 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1010 N D St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,850 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 410 N C St Unit 1367374P Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $3,313 | $2.57 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1215 N C St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1203 | $1,775 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 615 N A St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,900 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2108 W Bobe St Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1752 | $2,100 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 13 Elegans Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1835 | $1,895 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3141 Barrancas Ave Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,150 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $159,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $167,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $167,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $167,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $167,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $167,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $173,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $173,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $173,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $173,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $173,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $173,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $173,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $173,000 480-char remark
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home located in Pensacola. This lovely property features a spacious living area, a modern kitchen with updated appliances, and a cozy dining space. The master suite provides a private bath, while the additional bedrooms are generously sized. Enjoy outdoor living with a fenced backyard and patio area. Conveniently situated near local amenities and schools, this home presents a wonderful opportunity for comfortable living in a serene neighborhood.
-
2026-04-29price $187,000 480-char remark
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home located in Pensacola. This lovely property features a spacious living area, a modern kitchen with updated appliances, and a cozy dining space. The master suite provides a private bath, while the additional bedrooms are generously sized. Enjoy outdoor living with a fenced backyard and patio area. Conveniently situated near local amenities and schools, this home presents a wonderful opportunity for comfortable living in a serene neighborhood.
-
2026-04-21price $199,000 480-char remark
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home located in Pensacola. This lovely property features a spacious living area, a modern kitchen with updated appliances, and a cozy dining space. The master suite provides a private bath, while the additional bedrooms are generously sized. Enjoy outdoor living with a fenced backyard and patio area. Conveniently situated near local amenities and schools, this home presents a wonderful opportunity for comfortable living in a serene neighborhood.
-
2026-04-17price $210,000 480-char remark
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home located in Pensacola. This lovely property features a spacious living area, a modern kitchen with updated appliances, and a cozy dining space. The master suite provides a private bath, while the additional bedrooms are generously sized. Enjoy outdoor living with a fenced backyard and patio area. Conveniently situated near local amenities and schools, this home presents a wonderful opportunity for comfortable living in a serene neighborhood.
-
2026-04-10price $213,000 480-char remark
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home located in Pensacola. This lovely property features a spacious living area, a modern kitchen with updated appliances, and a cozy dining space. The master suite provides a private bath, while the additional bedrooms are generously sized. Enjoy outdoor living with a fenced backyard and patio area. Conveniently situated near local amenities and schools, this home presents a wonderful opportunity for comfortable living in a serene neighborhood.
-
2026-04-06price $219,000 480-char remark
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home located in Pensacola. This lovely property features a spacious living area, a modern kitchen with updated appliances, and a cozy dining space. The master suite provides a private bath, while the additional bedrooms are generously sized. Enjoy outdoor living with a fenced backyard and patio area. Conveniently situated near local amenities and schools, this home presents a wonderful opportunity for comfortable living in a serene neighborhood.
-
2026-03-30$225,000 Active 480-char remark
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home located in Pensacola. This lovely property features a spacious living area, a modern kitchen with updated appliances, and a cozy dining space. The master suite provides a private bath, while the additional bedrooms are generously sized. Enjoy outdoor living with a fenced backyard and patio area. Conveniently situated near local amenities and schools, this home presents a wonderful opportunity for comfortable living in a serene neighborhood.
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2025-10-09historical
-
2025-09-17price $160,000
-
2025-09-03$170,000 Active
-
1983-06-01soldstatus $35,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,533 · $211/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,533 · $211/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,159
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$2,533
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,773
- − Management
- −$1,773
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $1,754
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$421
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,751/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pensacola
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- City population
- 237,636
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,877
- Household income
- $44,783
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1458.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 205.45
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.92%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+386.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $173,000 PARMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $187,000 PARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $199,000 PARMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $210,000 PARMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $213,000 PARMLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $219,000 PARMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $225,000 PARMLS
- 2025-10-09 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2025-09-17 Price Changed $160,000 PARMLS
- 2025-09-03 Listed $170,000 PARMLS
- 1983-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,533 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…