1808 27th St · Two Rivers, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This newly remodeled 4 bedroom home is just waiting for you new carpet maple hardwood floors beautiful woodwork. Large lot. Call today for your private showing.
Key facts
- Wood floors
- Large yard
- Deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Estimated finished above-grade living area in the 1501–1750 sq ft range
- Financial info: Financial details not provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Parking details not provided
- Security: No specific security features listed
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: 1.5-story single-family home; Built according to assessor/public record; Zoned R-3
- Construction: Vinyl exterior
- Exterior features: Deck; Garden shed; Sidewalks on the lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Pantry (kitchen storage)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Upper) — approximately 12 x 11; Bedroom 2 (Main) — approximately 9 x 9; Bedroom 3 (Upper) — approximately 11 x 9; Bedroom 4 (Upper) — approximately 11 x 8; Additional other room (Main) — approximately 9 x 5
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bath (tub only / shower over tub); One half bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cable/satellite available; High-speed internet available; Pantry; Wood floors; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Utilities information available (see Utilities section)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (3.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $163k (3.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.0% in Two Rivers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#280 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Two Rivers Public School District (town): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #318 of 342 in WI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Magee Elementary (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #662 of 1,041 statewide, top 67%, 313 students, 36% FRL); Clarke Middle (math 17% / reading 28%, grade F, #334 of 383 statewide, top 87%, 462 students, 46% FRL); Two Rivers High (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #400 of 483 statewide, top 85%, 474 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 100 units permitted in Manitowoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manitowoc County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.15%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1808 27th St | 0.00mi | 4/1.5 | 1,528 (0%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $111 | 98 |
| 2605 School St | 0.07mi | 4/1.0 | 1,581 (+4%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $95 | 90 |
| 1726 27th St | 0.04mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,674 (+10%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $164 | 75 |
| 2324 Forest Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,452 (-5%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $121 | 69 |
| 2812 School St | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,371 (-10%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $146 | 68 |
| 3504 Monroe St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,478 (-3%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $101 | 60 |
| 2522 Lincoln Ave | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 | 1,512 (-1%) | 6mo | $159,900 | $106 | 59 |
| 1024 31st St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,536 (+0%) | 5mo | $192,000 | $125 | 57 |
| 1013 28th St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,563 (+2%) | 3mo | $212,000 | $136 | 56 |
| 3405 Mishicot Rd | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,507 (-1%) | 5mo | $218,000 | $145 | 55 |
| 3605 Tannery Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,428 (-6%) | 2mo | $198,500 | $139 | 52 |
| 1313 22nd St | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 | 1,738 (+14%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $78 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-22,066
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-12,055
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54241
- Home prices YoY
- -28.7%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,634 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$244 /mo · $2,927/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $85
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $181 | -5% $133 | +0% $85 | +5% $37 | +10% $-11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-44 | -5% $21 | +0% $85 | +5% $150 | +10% $214 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $171 | -0.5pp $128 | base $85 | +0.5pp $41 | +1.0pp $-4 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $169,900 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Contingent 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Contingent 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Contingent 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Contingent 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $169,900 Contingent 23 DOM
-
2026-05-10historical Contingent
-
2026-05-06$169,900 Active
-
2024-11-15historical $1,400
-
2024-10-17$1,400
-
2013-02-04$76,499 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
This newly remodeled 4 bedroom home is just waiting for you new carpet maple hardwood floors beautiful woodwork. Large lot. Call today for your private showing.
-
2013-02-04historical 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
This newly remodeled 4 bedroom home is just waiting for you new carpet maple hardwood floors beautiful woodwork. Large lot. Call today for your private showing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,927 · $244/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,035 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- +$108/yr (+$9/mo · 3.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,607
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$2,927
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,569
- − Management
- −$1,569
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$1,766
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$424
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,445/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Two Rivers Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5515120
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,006
- Composite
- 20.63/100
- National rank
- #8545
- State rank
- #318 of 342 in WI
Livability — Two Rivers
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #280
- US rank
- #7250
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Two Rivers, WI
- County
- Manitowoc County · 55,069 people
- City population
- 14,120
- Metro
- Manitowoc, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,120
- Household income
- $61,014
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 199.0
Population outlook (Manitowoc County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,561 people
- By 2030
- 74,096 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 67,752 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 60,731 · -20.7%
- By 2075
- 48,723 · -36.4%
- By 2100
- 39,250 · -48.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Manitowoc
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.4) · D 37.6% · R 61.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.9pp toward R · 2008: 7.5pp · 2024: -23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.4 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+2.8 2008: D+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.14%
- Current HPI
- 261.6254
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Manitowoc, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
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Price history
+122.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $169,900 METROMLS
- 2024-11-15 Rental Removed $1,400 APPFOLIO
- 2024-10-17 Listed for Rent $1,400 APPFOLIO
- 2013-02-04 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-02-04 Listed $76,499 METROMLS
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,927 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…