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1808 27th St
D+ Composite 48.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

1808 27th St · Two Rivers, WI 54241
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,528 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1914 8,276 sqft lot Est $191k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This newly remodeled 4 bedroom home is just waiting for you new carpet maple hardwood floors beautiful woodwork. Large lot. Call today for your private showing.

Key facts

  • Wood floors
  • Large yard
  • Deck

Tags

LOW-MAINTENANCE EXTERIORWOOD FLOORSDECKLARGE YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Estimated finished above-grade living area in the 1501–1750 sq ft range
  • Financial info: Financial details not provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA information provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not provided
  • Security: No specific security features listed
  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: 1.5-story single-family home; Built according to assessor/public record; Zoned R-3
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior
  • Exterior features: Deck; Garden shed; Sidewalks on the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Pantry (kitchen storage)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Upper) — approximately 12 x 11; Bedroom 2 (Main) — approximately 9 x 9; Bedroom 3 (Upper) — approximately 11 x 9; Bedroom 4 (Upper) — approximately 11 x 8; Additional other room (Main) — approximately 9 x 5
  • Flooring: Wood floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bath (tub only / shower over tub); One half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cable/satellite available; High-speed internet available; Pantry; Wood floors; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Utilities information available (see Utilities section)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (3.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (3.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.0% in Two Rivers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#280 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Two Rivers Public School District (town): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #318 of 342 in WI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Magee Elementary (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #662 of 1,041 statewide, top 67%, 313 students, 36% FRL); Clarke Middle (math 17% / reading 28%, grade F, #334 of 383 statewide, top 87%, 462 students, 46% FRL); Two Rivers High (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #400 of 483 statewide, top 85%, 474 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 100 units permitted in Manitowoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manitowoc County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $163,389 (3.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.15%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$191,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1808 27th St 0.00mi 4/1.5 1,528 (0%) 0mo $170,000 $111 98
2605 School St 0.07mi 4/1.0 1,581 (+4%) 1mo $150,000 $95 90
1726 27th St 0.04mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,674 (+10%) 0mo $275,000 $164 75
2324 Forest Ave 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,452 (-5%) 3mo $175,000 $121 69
2812 School St 0.11mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,371 (-10%) 3mo $199,900 $146 68
3504 Monroe St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,478 (-3%) 4mo $150,000 $101 60
2522 Lincoln Ave 0.69mi 4/1.5 1,512 (-1%) 6mo $159,900 $106 59
1024 31st St 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,536 (+0%) 5mo $192,000 $125 57
1013 28th St 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,563 (+2%) 3mo $212,000 $136 56
3405 Mishicot Rd 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,507 (-1%) 5mo $218,000 $145 55
3605 Tannery Rd 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,428 (-6%) 2mo $198,500 $139 52
1313 22nd St 0.52mi 4/1.0 1,738 (+14%) 5mo $135,000 $78 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-22,066
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-12,055
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54241

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,634 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$244 /mo · $2,927/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,526
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $181 -5% $133 +0% $85 +5% $37 +10% $-11
Rent -10% $-44 -5% $21 +0% $85 +5% $150 +10% $214
Rate -1.0pp $171 -0.5pp $128 base $85 +0.5pp $41 +1.0pp $-4

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $169,900 Pending 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Contingent 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Contingent 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Contingent 25 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Contingent 24 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,900 Contingent 23 DOM
  7. 2026-05-10
    historical Contingent
  8. 2026-05-06
    listed $169,900 Active
  9. 2024-11-15
    historical $1,400
  10. 2024-10-17
    listed $1,400
  11. 2013-02-04
    listed $76,499 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    This newly remodeled 4 bedroom home is just waiting for you new carpet maple hardwood floors beautiful woodwork. Large lot. Call today for your private showing.

  12. 2013-02-04
    historical 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    This newly remodeled 4 bedroom home is just waiting for you new carpet maple hardwood floors beautiful woodwork. Large lot. Call today for your private showing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,927 · $244/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,035 · $253/mo
Expected delta
+$108/yr (+$9/mo · 3.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,607
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,927
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,569
− Management
−$1,569
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$1,766
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$424
After-tax cash flow
$1,445/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Two Rivers Public School District
NCES district ID
5515120
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,006
Composite
20.63/100
National rank
#8545
State rank
#318 of 342 in WI

Livability — Two Rivers

Score
71/100
State rank
#280
US rank
#7250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Two Rivers, WI
County
Manitowoc County · 55,069 people
City population
14,120
Metro
Manitowoc, WI
Population (ZIP)
14,120
Household income
$61,014
Rent vs Own
22.3% rent · 77.7% own
Severe rent burden
199.0

Population outlook (Manitowoc County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,561 people
By 2030
74,096 · -3.2%
By 2040
67,752 · -11.5%
By 2050
60,731 · -20.7%
By 2075
48,723 · -36.4%
By 2100
39,250 · -48.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Manitowoc

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.4) · D 37.6% · R 61.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-30.9pp toward R · 2008: 7.5pp · 2024: -23.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.4 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+2.8 2008: D+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.14%
Current HPI
261.6254
Rent YoY
Metro
Manitowoc, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Contingent METROMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $169,900 METROMLS
  • 2024-11-15 Rental Removed $1,400 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-17 Listed for Rent $1,400 APPFOLIO
  • 2013-02-04 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2013-02-04 Listed $76,499 METROMLS

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,927 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…