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630 Salem Ave
D Composite 42.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

630 Salem Ave · Hagerstown, MD 21740
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,498 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1904 2,688 sqft lot Est $219k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Add this over/under duplex into your portfolio today! The first floor is currently occupied and the second floor unit just had a turn and will be rented prior to sale (unless a buyer would like it vacant). Tenants pay for their own electric. Heat is currently central. And water is passed on to tenants thru a RUBs program. The units are all City inspected/licensed and LEAD Certified. The Seller is offering 3% seller assistance with an accepted contract. Call today for more information.

Key facts

  • Flat roof
  • Shingle roof
  • Replaced gutters

Tags

TURNKEY INCOME PROPERTYMAJOR EXTERIOR UPGRADESFLAT ROOFSHINGLE ROOFREPLACED GUTTERSPARKING FOR FOUR VEHICLES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: Four total garage/parking spaces; Driveway with four spaces; On-street parking available
  • Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service; Electric service for cooling and hot water; Natural gas for heating
  • Home design: Detached property; Above-grade and below-grade living areas; Below-grade finished and unfinished space
  • Construction: Brick construction; Stone foundation with crawl space; Originally assessed year built by assessor
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Ground rent paid annually; Located inside city limits (Hagerstown)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove
  • Bedrooms: Two one-bedroom units (multi-unit configuration)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units (electric); Electric hot water
  • Interior features: 32"+ wide doors for improved accessibility

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $72 ($862/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (19.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.4% in Hagerstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#83 in MD, #3,170 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Washingtion County Public Schools (suburban): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #13 of 24 in MD (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Ruth Ann Monroe Primary (567 students, 80% FRL); Western Heights Middle (math 6% / reading 30%, grade F, #165 of 225 statewide, top 75%, 903 students, 77% FRL); South Hagerstown High (math 30% / reading 63%, grade D-, #118 of 222 statewide, top 54%, 1,487 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 39% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 232 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask is 16% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $185k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $176,803 (19.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.68%
Cash-on-cash
1.40%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$218,708
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
527 W Church St 0.18mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,456 (-3%) 4mo $200,000 $137 77
320 N Prospect St 0.44mi 4/1.5 1,558 (+4%) 2mo $163,000 $105 71
217 James St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,350 (-10%) 1mo $100,000 $74 69
116 Bethel St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,538 (+3%) 2mo $87,500 $57 63
1321 Marshall St 0.57mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,525 (+2%) 3mo $200,000 $131 63
239 Devonshire Rd NE 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,544 (+3%) 6mo $226,000 $146 63
367 Devonshire Rd 0.42mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,390 (-7%) 2mo $328,000 $236 62
1072 Kasinof Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,572 (+5%) 4mo $328,000 $209 58
14 Avalon Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,398 (-7%) 4mo $180,000 $129 56
70 Nottingham Rd 0.58mi 4/3.5 1,680 (+12%) 2mo $327,000 $195 44
1362 Connecticut Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,352 (-10%) 4mo $300,000 $222 42
1355 Connecticut Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,352 (-10%) 6mo $299,900 $222 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-29,373
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-12,543
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21740

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
383
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,768 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $955/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$72

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,677
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $196 -5% $134 +0% $72 +5% $10 +10% $-53
Rent -10% $-68 -5% $2 +0% $72 +5% $142 +10% $211
Rate -1.0pp $183 -0.5pp $128 base $72 +0.5pp $15 +1.0pp $-43

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
607 Salem Ave Hagerstown, MD 4.0 1.0 1344 $1,775 $1.32 45d 1 0.03mi
616 George St Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.0 1034 $1,600 $1.55 45d 1 0.15mi
421 Salem Ave Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.0 1256 $1,550 $1.23 22d 1 0.23mi
464 Peleton St Hagerstown, MD 3.0 2.0 1253 $2,025 $1.62 15d 1 0.30mi
812 Dale St Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,730 $1.63 45d 1 0.34mi
836 W Washington St Hagerstown, MD 5.0 1.5 1600 $1,950 $1.22 15d 1 0.49mi
62 Bethel St Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.5 1088 $1,700 $1.56 45d 1 0.55mi
92 W Washington St Unit 410 Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.5 1415 $1,795 $1.27 45d 1 0.62mi
104 Buena Vista Ave Unit 104 Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 45d 1 0.67mi
42 E Franklin St Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,350 $1.12 45d 1 0.79mi
307 N Locust St Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,490 $1.31 45d 1 0.82mi
210 N Locust St Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.0 1476 $1,275 $0.86 22d 1 0.83mi
60 E Washington St Apt 1E Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,500 $1.15 22d 1 0.86mi
103 E Washington St Unit 1E Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 15d 1 0.90mi
109 Fairground Ave Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.0 1470 $1,600 $1.09 15d 1 0.93mi
322 N Cannon Ave Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.5 1488 $1,800 $1.21 15d 1 1.00mi
311 Jefferson St Unit 311 Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,550 $1.29 45d 1 1.03mi
805 Mulberry Ave Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.5 1584 $1,830 $1.16 45d 1 1.05mi
338 S Locust St Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.5 1320 $1,600 $1.21 22d 1 1.12mi
124 Ray St Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 22d 1 1.16mi
1319 The Ter Hagerstown, MD 3.0 2.0 1589 $2,500 $1.57 45d 1 1.28mi
313 Frederick St Unit 313 Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.5 1650 $2,500 $1.52 45d 1 1.31mi
313 Frederick St Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.5 1650 $2,500 $1.52 45d 1 1.31mi
1401 Haven Rd Hagerstown, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 925 $1,999 $2.16 15d 11 1.32mi
837 Virginia Ave Hagerstown, MD 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,000 $1.43 15d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $220,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    status $220,000 Active 1 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $220,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$955 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,676 · $140/mo
Expected delta
+$722/yr (+$60/mo · 75.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,216
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$955
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,697
− Management
−$1,697
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$2,956
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$710
After-tax cash flow
$1,571/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washingtion County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400660
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$54,784
Composite
22.87/100
National rank
#8007
State rank
#13 of 24 in MD

Livability — Hagerstown

Score
77/100
State rank
#83
US rank
#3170

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hagerstown, MD
County
Washington County · 98,861 people
City population
64,792
Metro
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
64,792
Household income
$62,873
Rent vs Own
44.7% rent · 55.3% own
Severe rent burden
2832.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
151,614 people
By 2030
151,455 · -0.1%
By 2040
150,097 · -1.0%
By 2050
148,193 · -2.3%
By 2075
146,581 · -3.3%
By 2100
138,025 · -9.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 18% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.3% · R 60.4% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -23.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.0 2020: R+20.9 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -248.38%
Current HPI
264.8018
Rent YoY
▲ 4.00%
Metro
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+279.3% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Coming Soon $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2023-08-31 Sold (MLS) $188,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-07-26 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-07-06 Price Changed $188,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-06-30 Price Changed $188,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-06-16 Listed $189,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-06-06 Coming Soon $189,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2020-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2004-12-31 Sold (MLS) $80,500 MRIS
  • 2004-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $80,500 Public Records
  • 2004-11-11 Delisted MRIS
  • 2004-09-23 Listed $84,900 MRIS
  • 2003-10-30 Delisted MRIS
  • 2003-04-24 Listed MRIS
  • 1991-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $955 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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