707 W 5th St · Freeport, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
READY TO MOVE-IN. GREAT PLACE FOR THE FIRST HOME BUYER WITH AFFORDABLE BUDGET OR FOR INVESTMENT PROPERTY. SELL AS-IS.
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,205 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Brazosport ISD (suburban): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #305 of 826 in TX (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Freeport El (579 students, 89% FRL); O'Hara Lanier Middle (math 41% / reading 29%, grade F, #842 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 340 students, 92% FRL); Brazosport H S (math 40% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 948 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 53% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 590 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.37%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $92,820
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 W 5th St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (0%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $71 | 100 |
| 722 W 6th St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 980 (+8%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $87 | 79 |
| 726 W 6th St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 988 (+9%) | 2mo | $99,000 | $100 | 77 |
| 1127 W 4th St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 976 (+7%) | 3mo | $49,900 | $51 | 67 |
| 621 W 7th St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 1,016 (+12%) | 11mo | $134,999 | $133 | 65 |
| 806 W 4th St | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,032 (+13%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $145 | 57 |
| 1118 W 4th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 976 (+7%) | 22mo | $100,000 | $102 | 46 |
| 1110 W 6th St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 966 (+6%) | 22mo | $159,000 | $165 | 45 |
| 302 W 8th St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,028 (+13%) | 20mo | $129,900 | $126 | 38 |
| 1427 W 5th St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,026 (+13%) | 16mo | $109,000 | $106 | 30 |
| 1306 W 7th St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,046 (+15%) | 23mo | $52,400 | $50 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $3,104
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $20,593
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77541
- Home prices YoY
- -29.3%
- Active inventory
- 590
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,051 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,203/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $212
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 531 W 8th St Apt 2 Freeport, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 571 | $595 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 527 W 8th St Freeport, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 102 North Avenue A Unit A Freeport, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $995 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 310 Yaupon St Unit ST402 Freeport, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 310 Yaupon St Unit ST604 Freeport, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $850 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 310 Yaupon St Unit ST101 Freeport, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $715 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 310 Yaupon St Freeport, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1721 W 5th St Freeport, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $749 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2026-03-29status Pending
-
2026-03-16price $65,000
-
2026-03-03price $70,000
-
2026-02-13price $80,000
-
2026-01-11price $88,000
-
2025-12-26$96,000 Active
-
2025-12-25historical
-
2025-12-23$96,000 Active
-
2023-11-27soldstatus
-
2023-11-22soldstatus Sold 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
READY TO MOVE-IN. GREAT PLACE FOR THE FIRST HOME BUYER WITH AFFORDABLE BUDGET OR FOR INVESTMENT PROPERTY. SELL AS-IS.
-
2023-11-14status Pending 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
READY TO MOVE-IN. GREAT PLACE FOR THE FIRST HOME BUYER WITH AFFORDABLE BUDGET OR FOR INVESTMENT PROPERTY. SELL AS-IS.
-
2023-11-03$78,000 Active 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
READY TO MOVE-IN. GREAT PLACE FOR THE FIRST HOME BUYER WITH AFFORDABLE BUDGET OR FOR INVESTMENT PROPERTY. SELL AS-IS.
-
2023-07-24soldstatus
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2023-07-13soldstatus Sold
-
2023-07-08status Pending
-
2023-04-06$69,999 Active
-
2023-04-03historical $69,999
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2014-01-13soldstatus
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2013-09-25$32,500
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1995-05-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,203 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,203 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,611
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$2,203
- − Insurance
- −$1,122
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,009
- − Management
- −$1,009
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $1,736
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$417
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,130/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brazosport ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811190
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,024
- Composite
- 36.84/100
- National rank
- #4557
- State rank
- #305 of 826 in TX
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1205
- US rank
- #21044
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, TX
- County
- Brazoria County · 374,982 people
- City population
- 16,996
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,996
- Household income
- $66,507
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 354.0
Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,414 people
- By 2030
- 457,585 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 532,232 · +26.6%
- By 2050
- 605,399 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 779,358 · +85.4%
- By 2100
- 883,759 · +110.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 38% Two or more races 23% Black 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 29%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.12%
- Current HPI
- 265.9301
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-03-29 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $65,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $70,000 HARMLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $80,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-11 Price Changed $88,000 HARMLS
- 2025-12-26 Listed $96,000 HARMLS
- 2025-12-25 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-12-23 Listed $96,000 HARMLS
- 2023-11-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-11-22 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2023-11-14 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-11-03 Listed $78,000 HARMLS
- 2023-07-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-07-13 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2023-07-08 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-04-06 Listed $69,999 HARMLS
- 2023-04-03 Coming Soon $69,999 HARMLS
- 2014-01-13 Sold (MLS) — BCBR
- 2013-09-25 Listed $32,500 BCBR
- 1995-05-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,203 · -12.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…