Triplex
2560 S Yavapai Rd · Apache Junction, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$500,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
HISTORY OF ALMOST CONSTANT OCCUPANCY OF UNITS.OWNER ONLY PAYS TRASH - TENANTS PAY OWN UTILITIES. WASHER/DRYER IN EACH UNIT. COVERED PARKING. ONE UNIT JUST REPAINTED, NEW VINYL & GENERAL FIX-UP, THEN RENTED AGAIN. PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS- LISTERS SHOULD BE ABLE TO GAIN ACCESS FOR YOU (OR WRITE OFFER SUBJECT TO INSPECTION). THANKS.
Key facts
- Covered parking
- Individually metered
- Remodeled units
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 11 parking spaces total; 5 covered parking spaces; 6 open parking spaces; Other parking features
- Utilities: SRP electric service; Septic tank sewer; City franchise water
- Home design: Fee simple ownership; Single building on the lot
- Construction: Wood frame and stucco construction; Rolled/hot mop roof
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access; No community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Heat pump; Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Washer/dryer hookup; Tile flooring
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $500k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $35/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $388k (22.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $388k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 354 active listings in the ZIP; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,883/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 305% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($440k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $121k; list at $500k implies a 313% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.89%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-80,125
- Equity at exit
- $74,552
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-84,164
- Equity at exit
- $43,231
Cash invested: $140,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85119
- Home prices YoY
- -33.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 354
- Price-to-rent
- 32.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,883 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,622
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,593/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$815
- Net cashflow
- $104
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $3,882 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,294 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,294 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,294 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,883 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $125,000
- Closing costs
- $15,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $500,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $500,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $500,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $500,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $500,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $500,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $500,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $500,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $500,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $520,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $520,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $520,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $520,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-03-03price $520,000
-
2026-01-19$560,000 Active
-
2002-02-01soldstatus $121,000
-
2000-08-04soldstatus $110,000
-
2000-07-27soldstatus $110,000 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
HISTORY OF ALMOST CONSTANT OCCUPANCY OF UNITS.OWNER ONLY PAYS TRASH - TENANTS PAY OWN UTILITIES. WASHER/DRYER IN EACH UNIT. COVERED PARKING. ONE UNIT JUST REPAINTED, NEW VINYL & GENERAL FIX-UP, THEN RENTED AGAIN. PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS- LISTERS SHOULD BE ABLE TO GAIN ACCESS FOR YOU (OR WRITE OFFER SUBJECT TO INSPECTION). THANKS.
-
2000-07-19historical 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
HISTORY OF ALMOST CONSTANT OCCUPANCY OF UNITS.OWNER ONLY PAYS TRASH - TENANTS PAY OWN UTILITIES. WASHER/DRYER IN EACH UNIT. COVERED PARKING. ONE UNIT JUST REPAINTED, NEW VINYL & GENERAL FIX-UP, THEN RENTED AGAIN. PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS- LISTERS SHOULD BE ABLE TO GAIN ACCESS FOR YOU (OR WRITE OFFER SUBJECT TO INSPECTION). THANKS.
-
2000-02-01$110,000 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
HISTORY OF ALMOST CONSTANT OCCUPANCY OF UNITS.OWNER ONLY PAYS TRASH - TENANTS PAY OWN UTILITIES. WASHER/DRYER IN EACH UNIT. COVERED PARKING. ONE UNIT JUST REPAINTED, NEW VINYL & GENERAL FIX-UP, THEN RENTED AGAIN. PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS- LISTERS SHOULD BE ABLE TO GAIN ACCESS FOR YOU (OR WRITE OFFER SUBJECT TO INSPECTION). THANKS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,593 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,300 · $275/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,707/yr (+$142/mo · 107.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,008
- − Property taxes
- −$1,593
- − Insurance
- −$2,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,728
- − Management
- −$3,728
- − Depreciation
- −$14,545
- Taxable loss
- −$7,506
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,801
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,054/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
- NCES district ID
- 0400790
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,930
- Composite
- 15.34/100
- National rank
- #9325
- State rank
- #195 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Apache Junction
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #11242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 56,611
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,420
- Household income
- $71,585
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 305.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.19%
- Current HPI
- 274.3808
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.57%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+372.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $520,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-19 Listed $560,000 ARMLS
- 2002-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2000-07-27 Sold (MLS) $110,000 ARMLS
- 2000-07-19 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2000-02-01 Listed $110,000 ARMLS
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,593 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…