565 Ray Cole Rd · Villa Rica, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$274,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 565 Ray Cole Rd in Dallas, GA-a beautifully updated home offering the perfect blend of modern finishes, functional layout, and unbeatable value in one of Paulding County's fastest-growing areas. Step inside to discover a bright, open-concept floor plan featuring new flooring, fresh paint, and designer touches throughout. The kitchen is a true centerpiece with a large island, stainless steel appliances, updated cabinetry, and ample prep space, all flowing seamlessly into the main living areas-ideal for entertaining or everyday living. The home features fully renovated bathrooms with custom tile work, including a sleek tub/shower combo and a stylish walk-in shower option-giving buyers flexibility and a move-in ready feel. The oversized living room with a modern accent wall and fireplace creates a warm, inviting space perfect for relaxing or hosting. Step outside to enjoy your brand new back deck overlooking a private, wooded lot, offering peace, privacy, and plenty of room to expand, entertain, or simply unwind. Aggressively priced to compete - whether you're a first-time buyer, move-up buyer, or investor, this property checks all the boxes for value, condition, and location.
Key facts
- Custom tile work
- Large island
- Updated cabinetry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Paulding County, GA
Exterior
- Parking: Parking at kitchen level
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available
- Home design: One-level home; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Resale condition
- Exterior features: Asphalt road frontage on a county road; Directions verified with Apple and Google Maps
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen located on main level
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Master suite on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level); Master bathroom with additional features
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: High-speed internet; No common walls; Family room; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area with additional/other features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (17.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $226k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.0% in Villa Rica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#224 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Carl Scoggins Sr. Middle School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #196 of 470 statewide, top 42%, 760 students, 47% FRL); South Paulding High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #175 of 424 statewide, top 42%, 1,911 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.8%/yr); 598 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.04%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $373,508
- List price
- $274,900
- Delta
- -22.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 Champions Xing | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,682 (+4%) | 5mo | $334,000 | $199 | 63 |
| 90 Colonial Ter | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 | 1,760 (+9%) | 15mo | $394,900 | $224 | 34 |
| 47 Colonial Ter | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,792 (+11%) | 15mo | $448,990 | $251 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-42,963
- Equity at exit
- $40,988
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-52,760
- Equity at exit
- $23,768
Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30157
- Home prices YoY
- -9.4%
- Rents YoY
- -2.8%
- Active inventory
- 598
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,259 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,178/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$474
- Net cashflow
- $131
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $286 | -5% $208 | +0% $131 | +5% $53 | +10% $-25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-48 | -5% $41 | +0% $131 | +5% $220 | +10% $309 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $269 | -0.5pp $201 | base $131 | +0.5pp $59 | +1.0pp $-13 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,725
- Closing costs
- $8,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Borland Rd Villa Rica, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2132 | $2,249 | $1.05 | 11d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 138 Cotton Tail Ln Villa Rica, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $1,865 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-04status $274,900 Pending 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $274,900 Active 16 DOM
Show marketing remark (1211 chars)
Welcome to 565 Ray Cole Rd in Dallas, GA-a beautifully updated home offering the perfect blend of modern finishes, functional layout, and unbeatable value in one of Paulding County's fastest-growing areas. Step inside to discover a bright, open-concept floor plan featuring new flooring, fresh paint, and designer touches throughout. The kitchen is a true centerpiece with a large island, stainless steel appliances, updated cabinetry, and ample prep space, all flowing seamlessly into the main living areas-ideal for entertaining or everyday living. The home features fully renovated bathrooms with custom tile work, including a sleek tub/shower combo and a stylish walk-in shower option-giving buyers flexibility and a move-in ready feel. The oversized living room with a modern accent wall and fireplace creates a warm, inviting space perfect for relaxing or hosting. Step outside to enjoy your brand new back deck overlooking a private, wooded lot, offering peace, privacy, and plenty of room to expand, entertain, or simply unwind. Aggressively priced to compete - whether you're a first-time buyer, move-up buyer, or investor, this property checks all the boxes for value, condition, and location.
-
2026-06-02days on market $274,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $274,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $274,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $274,900 1211-char remark
Show marketing remark (1211 chars)
Welcome to 565 Ray Cole Rd in Dallas, GA-a beautifully updated home offering the perfect blend of modern finishes, functional layout, and unbeatable value in one of Paulding County's fastest-growing areas. Step inside to discover a bright, open-concept floor plan featuring new flooring, fresh paint, and designer touches throughout. The kitchen is a true centerpiece with a large island, stainless steel appliances, updated cabinetry, and ample prep space, all flowing seamlessly into the main living areas-ideal for entertaining or everyday living. The home features fully renovated bathrooms with custom tile work, including a sleek tub/shower combo and a stylish walk-in shower option-giving buyers flexibility and a move-in ready feel. The oversized living room with a modern accent wall and fireplace creates a warm, inviting space perfect for relaxing or hosting. Step outside to enjoy your brand new back deck overlooking a private, wooded lot, offering peace, privacy, and plenty of room to expand, entertain, or simply unwind. Aggressively priced to compete - whether you're a first-time buyer, move-up buyer, or investor, this property checks all the boxes for value, condition, and location.
-
2026-05-18price $274,900 1211-char remark
Show marketing remark (1211 chars)
Welcome to 565 Ray Cole Rd in Dallas, GA-a beautifully updated home offering the perfect blend of modern finishes, functional layout, and unbeatable value in one of Paulding County's fastest-growing areas. Step inside to discover a bright, open-concept floor plan featuring new flooring, fresh paint, and designer touches throughout. The kitchen is a true centerpiece with a large island, stainless steel appliances, updated cabinetry, and ample prep space, all flowing seamlessly into the main living areas-ideal for entertaining or everyday living. The home features fully renovated bathrooms with custom tile work, including a sleek tub/shower combo and a stylish walk-in shower option-giving buyers flexibility and a move-in ready feel. The oversized living room with a modern accent wall and fireplace creates a warm, inviting space perfect for relaxing or hosting. Step outside to enjoy your brand new back deck overlooking a private, wooded lot, offering peace, privacy, and plenty of room to expand, entertain, or simply unwind. Aggressively priced to compete - whether you're a first-time buyer, move-up buyer, or investor, this property checks all the boxes for value, condition, and location.
-
2026-05-04$290,000 Active 1211-char remark
-
2026-04-28$290,000 New 1211-char remark
Show marketing remark (1211 chars)
Welcome to 565 Ray Cole Rd in Dallas, GA-a beautifully updated home offering the perfect blend of modern finishes, functional layout, and unbeatable value in one of Paulding County's fastest-growing areas. Step inside to discover a bright, open-concept floor plan featuring new flooring, fresh paint, and designer touches throughout. The kitchen is a true centerpiece with a large island, stainless steel appliances, updated cabinetry, and ample prep space, all flowing seamlessly into the main living areas-ideal for entertaining or everyday living. The home features fully renovated bathrooms with custom tile work, including a sleek tub/shower combo and a stylish walk-in shower option-giving buyers flexibility and a move-in ready feel. The oversized living room with a modern accent wall and fireplace creates a warm, inviting space perfect for relaxing or hosting. Step outside to enjoy your brand new back deck overlooking a private, wooded lot, offering peace, privacy, and plenty of room to expand, entertain, or simply unwind. Aggressively priced to compete - whether you're a first-time buyer, move-up buyer, or investor, this property checks all the boxes for value, condition, and location.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,178 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,529 · $211/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,351/yr (+$113/mo · 114.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,114
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,399
- − Property taxes
- −$1,178
- − Insurance
- −$1,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,169
- − Management
- −$2,169
- − Depreciation
- −$7,997
- Taxable loss
- −$3,173
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$762
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,329/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paulding County
- NCES district ID
- 1304020
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,447
- Composite
- 36.0/100
- National rank
- #4784
- State rank
- #33 of 174 in GA
Livability — Villa Rica
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #13182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Paulding County · 134,013 people
- City population
- 43,013
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,445
- Household income
- $93,625
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 375.0
Population outlook (Paulding County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 175,714 people
- By 2030
- 186,082 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 204,414 · +16.3%
- By 2050
- 217,040 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 236,980 · +34.9%
- By 2100
- 238,314 · +35.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Paulding
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -38.5pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+38.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.28%
- Current HPI
- 330.3487
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.83%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-5.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-06-03 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $274,900 FMLS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $274,900 GAMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $290,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $290,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,178 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…