503 Hoboken St · North Carrollton, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in North Carrollton, MS, offering comfortable living with classic charm. Built in 1950, this well-maintained home features approximately 1,508 square feet of living space designed for both functionality and everyday comfort. The exterior showcases durable vinyl siding and a long-lasting metal roof, providing low maintenance and peace of mind. A paved driveway leads directly to the home, offering convenient parking and easy access. Inside, the home offers a spacious layout with four bedrooms and two full bathrooms, making it ideal for families, guests, or a home office setup. Central heat and air ensure year-round comfort throughout the home. With its practical features, generous bedroom count, and small-town setting, this property presents a great opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for value in Carroll County.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Central heat and air
- Paved driveway
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (2.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#169 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Carroll County School District (rural): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #97 of 130 in MS (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Marshall Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #246 of 375 statewide, top 67%, 364 students, 100% FRL); J Z George High School (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #148 of 197 statewide, top 76%, 441 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 84% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Carroll County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.41%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,084
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- 103.10%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $20,556
- Equity at exit
- $53,957
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $64,696
- Equity at exit
- $83,154
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38947
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,171 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $96
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $178 | -5% $137 | +0% $96 | +5% $54 | +10% $13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3 | -5% $49 | +0% $96 | +5% $142 | +10% $188 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $156 | -0.5pp $126 | base $96 | +0.5pp $64 | +1.0pp $33 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-30price $120,000 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Welcome to this inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in North Carrollton, MS, offering comfortable living with classic charm. Built in 1950, this well-maintained home features approximately 1,508 square feet of living space designed for both functionality and everyday comfort. The exterior showcases durable vinyl siding and a long-lasting metal roof, providing low maintenance and peace of mind. A paved driveway leads directly to the home, offering convenient parking and easy access. Inside, the home offers a spacious layout with four bedrooms and two full bathrooms, making it ideal for families, guests, or a home office setup. Central heat and air ensure year-round comfort throughout the home. With its practical features, generous bedroom count, and small-town setting, this property presents a great opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for value in Carroll County.
-
2026-03-07$150,000 Active 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Welcome to this inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in North Carrollton, MS, offering comfortable living with classic charm. Built in 1950, this well-maintained home features approximately 1,508 square feet of living space designed for both functionality and everyday comfort. The exterior showcases durable vinyl siding and a long-lasting metal roof, providing low maintenance and peace of mind. A paved driveway leads directly to the home, offering convenient parking and easy access. Inside, the home offers a spacious layout with four bedrooms and two full bathrooms, making it ideal for families, guests, or a home office setup. Central heat and air ensure year-round comfort throughout the home. With its practical features, generous bedroom count, and small-town setting, this property presents a great opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for value in Carroll County.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,048
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,124
- − Management
- −$1,124
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$813
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$195
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,341/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This 1950s single-family home in North Carrollton, MS, offers a good condition with a good ROI potential through cosmetic updates and energy-efficient improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
- Both Replace blinds with energy-efficient windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics.
- Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers.
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds value for both buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value. ↑
- Both Replace blinds with energy-efficient windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics. ↑
- Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds value for both buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carroll County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2800930
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,947
- Composite
- 13.96/100
- National rank
- #9477
- State rank
- #97 of 130 in MS
Livability — North Carrollton
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #169
- US rank
- #16201
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Carrollton, MS
- City population
- 38
- Population (ZIP)
- 38
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,591 people
- By 2030
- 9,104 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 7,986 · -16.7%
- By 2050
- 6,981 · -27.2%
- By 2075
- 5,244 · -45.3%
- By 2100
- 3,826 · -60.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Black 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.3) · D 27.6% · R 71.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.0pp toward R · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -44.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.3 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+38.9 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-20.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $120,000 MLSU
- 2026-03-07 Listed $150,000 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…