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503 Hoboken St
C- Composite 51.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$120,000

503 Hoboken St · North Carrollton, MS 38947
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,508 sqft · SingleFamily · 106 Days on market
Built 1950 Good condition 7,840 sqft lot $80/sqft · 103% above area ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in North Carrollton, MS, offering comfortable living with classic charm. Built in 1950, this well-maintained home features approximately 1,508 square feet of living space designed for both functionality and everyday comfort. The exterior showcases durable vinyl siding and a long-lasting metal roof, providing low maintenance and peace of mind. A paved driveway leads directly to the home, offering convenient parking and easy access. Inside, the home offers a spacious layout with four bedrooms and two full bathrooms, making it ideal for families, guests, or a home office setup. Central heat and air ensure year-round comfort throughout the home. With its practical features, generous bedroom count, and small-town setting, this property presents a great opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for value in Carroll County.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Central heat and air
  • Paved driveway

Tags

VINYL SIDINGMETAL ROOFPAVED DRIVEWAYCENTRAL HEAT AND AIR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (2.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#169 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Carroll County School District (rural): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #97 of 130 in MS (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Marshall Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #246 of 375 statewide, top 67%, 364 students, 100% FRL); J Z George High School (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #148 of 197 statewide, top 76%, 441 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 84% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Carroll County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,200 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.41%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$59,084
List price
$120,000
Delta
103.10%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$20,556
Equity at exit
$53,957
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$64,696
Equity at exit
$83,154

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38947

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,171 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $178 -5% $137 +0% $96 +5% $54 +10% $13
Rent -10% $3 -5% $49 +0% $96 +5% $142 +10% $188
Rate -1.0pp $156 -0.5pp $126 base $96 +0.5pp $64 +1.0pp $33

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $120,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $120,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $120,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 94 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 93 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 92 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $120,000 Active 88 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 87 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 86 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 85 DOM
  17. 2026-03-30
    price $120,000 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in North Carrollton, MS, offering comfortable living with classic charm. Built in 1950, this well-maintained home features approximately 1,508 square feet of living space designed for both functionality and everyday comfort. The exterior showcases durable vinyl siding and a long-lasting metal roof, providing low maintenance and peace of mind. A paved driveway leads directly to the home, offering convenient parking and easy access. Inside, the home offers a spacious layout with four bedrooms and two full bathrooms, making it ideal for families, guests, or a home office setup. Central heat and air ensure year-round comfort throughout the home. With its practical features, generous bedroom count, and small-town setting, this property presents a great opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for value in Carroll County.

  18. 2026-03-07
    listed $150,000 Active 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in North Carrollton, MS, offering comfortable living with classic charm. Built in 1950, this well-maintained home features approximately 1,508 square feet of living space designed for both functionality and everyday comfort. The exterior showcases durable vinyl siding and a long-lasting metal roof, providing low maintenance and peace of mind. A paved driveway leads directly to the home, offering convenient parking and easy access. Inside, the home offers a spacious layout with four bedrooms and two full bathrooms, making it ideal for families, guests, or a home office setup. Central heat and air ensure year-round comfort throughout the home. With its practical features, generous bedroom count, and small-town setting, this property presents a great opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for value in Carroll County.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,048
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,124
− Management
−$1,124
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$813
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$195
After-tax cash flow
$1,341/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 1950s single-family home in North Carrollton, MS, offers a good condition with a good ROI potential through cosmetic updates and energy-efficient improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
  • Both Replace blinds with energy-efficient windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics.
  • Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds value for both buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
  • Both Replace blinds with energy-efficient windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics.
  • Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds value for both buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carroll County School District
NCES district ID
2800930
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$34,947
Composite
13.96/100
National rank
#9477
State rank
#97 of 130 in MS

Livability — North Carrollton

Score
62/100
State rank
#169
US rank
#16201

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Carrollton, MS
City population
38
Population (ZIP)
38

Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,591 people
By 2030
9,104 · -5.1%
By 2040
7,986 · -16.7%
By 2050
6,981 · -27.2%
By 2075
5,244 · -45.3%
By 2100
3,826 · -60.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Black 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Carroll

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.3) · D 27.6% · R 71.8%
2008→2024 swing
-13.0pp toward R · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -44.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.3 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+38.9 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+31.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-20.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $120,000 MLSU
  • 2026-03-07 Listed $150,000 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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