861 O St · Alexander City, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3 bedroom 1 bath home situated on an approximately 1/3 acre lot in Alexander City. This property offers a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and plenty of natural light. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered and screened deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining, along with a detached storage building providing additional space for tools or hobbies. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. A great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Check it out!
Key facts
- Natural light
- Functional layout
- 0.34 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment assistance available
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet availability unknown
- Home design: Existing single-family property; All main living spaces on one level; Crawl-space foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation; Covered screened deck
- Exterior features: Covered, screened deck; Storage building; No pool; No patio; No garden view
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Refrigerator; Electric stove
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Smooth ceilings; No additional built-in interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 0.6% in Alexander City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#426 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Alexander City (town): math 18% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #77 of 129 in AL (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Benjamin Russell High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #169 of 305 statewide, top 59%, 812 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 38% FRL vs 54% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 205 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Tallapoosa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tallapoosa County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.63%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $157,640
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1122 K St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,271 (+13%) | 20mo | $28,000 | $22 | 55 |
| 617 11th Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,252 (+11%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $140 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $13,232
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $43,191
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35010
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Active inventory
- 205
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,099 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $385
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $434 | -5% $409 | +0% $385 | +5% $361 | +10% $337 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $298 | -5% $342 | +0% $385 | +5% $429 | +10% $472 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $421 | -0.5pp $403 | base $385 | +0.5pp $367 | +1.0pp $349 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $69,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $74,900
-
2026-02-27price $79,900
-
2026-01-14$89,900 Active
-
2025-11-21price $99,900
-
2025-10-17price $114,900
-
2025-09-09price $124,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,191
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,048
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,055
- − Management
- −$1,055
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $3,733
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$896
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,728/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alexander City
- NCES district ID
- 0100030
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,482
- Composite
- 23.49/100
- National rank
- #7871
- State rank
- #77 of 129 in AL
Livability — Alexander City
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #426
- US rank
- #23127
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alexander City, AL
- City population
- 19,619
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,619
Population outlook (Tallapoosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,909 people
- By 2030
- 37,413 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 33,935 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 30,467 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 22,716 · -41.6%
- By 2100
- 15,167 · -61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tallapoosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.6) · D 24.9% · R 74.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -49.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.6 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+32.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.88%
- Current HPI
- 170.2791
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-40.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $74,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $79,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $89,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $99,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed $114,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-09-09 Price Changed $124,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…