1609 Whitney Cv · Jonesboro, AR
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- Appreciation +9.7/10.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sellers have been painting this well maintained home. The 3 bedroom 2 bath house is located in a cove close to NEA Baptist Hospital and Arkansas State University. The furnace was replaced in the past 2 years, the roof replaced 4 years ago and HVAC 8 years ago. This woudl be a great start home or investment property.
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- New gutters
- New hot water heater
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (3.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $184k (3.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Nettleton School District (urban): math 21% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #199 of 238 in AR (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
- Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (9.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $147k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.03%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $214,344
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1312 Crepe Myrtle Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,431 (+4%) | 0mo | $179,000 | $125 | 84 |
| 1508 Crepe Myrtle Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,230 (-10%) | 0mo | $179,000 | $146 | 81 |
| 1108 Gregory Ct | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (+3%) | 2mo | $219,000 | $154 | 79 |
| 741 Brody Ct | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-6%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $167 | 69 |
| 745 Brody Ct | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-6%) | 2mo | $203,500 | $158 | 68 |
| 4728 Wildwood Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (-0%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $149 | 64 |
| 5409 Reed Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (-5%) | 1mo | $203,500 | $156 | 64 |
| 5409 Reed Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (-5%) | 1mo | $203,500 | $156 | 64 |
| 5404 Brody Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,429 (+4%) | 1mo | $237,000 | $166 | 60 |
| 4829 Edgemont Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,510 (+10%) | 2mo | $256,000 | $170 | 60 |
| 4765 Wildwood Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,333 (-3%) | 3mo | $204,900 | $154 | 58 |
| 4769 Wildwood Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,473 (+7%) | 1mo | $209,900 | $142 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $115,749
- Equity at exit
- $163,184
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.08×
- Total profit
- $323,341
- Equity at exit
- $343,752
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72405
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,841 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $804/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $312
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $419 | -5% $365 | +0% $312 | +5% $258 | +10% $204 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $166 | -5% $239 | +0% $312 | +5% $384 | +10% $457 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $407 | -0.5pp $360 | base $312 | +0.5pp $262 | +1.0pp $212 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 337 Wolf Den Dr Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 259 Wolf Den Dr Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $190,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $190,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $190,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $190,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $190,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $190,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30$190,000 Active
-
2020-12-30soldstatus $147,000 317-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Move in ready, you do not want to miss out! The 3 bedroom 2 bath house is located in a cove close to NEA Baptist Hospital and Arkansas State University. The Furnace was replaced in the past 2 years, the roof was replaced 4 years ago and the HVAC 8 years ago. Outbuilding does not remain.
-
2020-12-30soldstatus $147,000 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Move in ready, you do not want to miss out! The 3 bedroom 2 bath house is located in a cove close to NEA Baptist Hospital and Arkansas State University. The Furnace was replaced in the past 2 years, the roof was replaced 4 years ago and the HVAC 8 years ago. Outbuilding does not remain.
-
2020-11-19$149,900 317-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Move in ready, you do not want to miss out! The 3 bedroom 2 bath house is located in a cove close to NEA Baptist Hospital and Arkansas State University. The Furnace was replaced in the past 2 years, the roof was replaced 4 years ago and the HVAC 8 years ago. Outbuilding does not remain.
-
2020-11-19$147,900 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Move in ready, you do not want to miss out! The 3 bedroom 2 bath house is located in a cove close to NEA Baptist Hospital and Arkansas State University. The Furnace was replaced in the past 2 years, the roof was replaced 4 years ago and the HVAC 8 years ago. Outbuilding does not remain.
-
1998-10-13soldstatus $83,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $804 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,216 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$412/yr (+$34/mo · 51.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,090
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$804
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,767
- − Management
- −$1,767
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $631
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$151
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,589/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nettleton School District
- NCES district ID
- 0510440
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,754
- Composite
- 19.0/100
- National rank
- #8846
- State rank
- #199 of 238 in AR
Livability — Jonesboro
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #145
- US rank
- #12692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jonesboro, AR
- County
- Craighead County · 97,185 people
- City population
- 91,245
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,675
- Household income
- $92,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 443.0
Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,235 people
- By 2030
- 131,338 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 149,862 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 168,034 · +37.5%
- By 2075
- 208,094 · +70.2%
- By 2100
- 233,251 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 10% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Craighead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.42%
- Current HPI
- 277.37
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+128.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $190,000 FSBO.com
- 2020-12-30 Sold (MLS) $147,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2020-12-30 Sold (MLS) $147,000 CARMLS
- 2020-11-19 Listed $147,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2020-11-19 Listed $149,900 CARMLS
- 1998-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $804 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…