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Roses V A Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 49.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$272,990

Roses V A Plan · Sterlington, LA 71280
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,925 sqft · SingleFamily · 1004 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

- Open Floor Plan - Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms - Two Car Garage - Brick & Stucco Exterior - Recessed Can Lighting in Kitchen - Computer Desk / Niche - Double Master Vanity - Separate Master Shower - Double Master Closets

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 1003 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $272,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $310,888.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $273k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-173 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (8.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $240k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#60 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sterlington Elementary School (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #62 of 646 statewide, top 10%, 820 students, 45% FRL); Sterlington Middle School (math 50% / reading 58%, grade B-, #19 of 218 statewide, top 9%, 423 students, 48% FRL); Sterlington High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #58 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 539 students, 41% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Ouachita Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 215 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 1004 days — a 12% lower offer ($240k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $240,231 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 1004 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.62%
Cash-on-cash
-2.39%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$310,888
List price
$272,990
Delta
-12.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
214 Fairhope Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,848 (-4%) 0mo $209,000 $113 85
301 Southern Grove Rd 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,926 (+0%) 11mo $280,000 $145 84
107 Fairhope Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,988 (+3%) 11mo $275,000 $138 83
304 Southern Grove Rd 0.13mi 3/2.0 2,020 (+5%) 6mo $289,000 $143 81
107 Vieux Carre 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,800 (-6%) 10mo $315,000 $175 72
207 Winkler Way 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,967 (+2%) 5mo $305,000 $155 70
403 Bishop Rd 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,656 (-14%) 2mo $255,000 $154 67
211 Barker Dr 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,838 (-4%) 4mo $290,000 $158 62
202 Thatcher Ln 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,863 (-3%) 4mo $305,000 $164 60
123 Vieux Carre Pl 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,675 (-13%) 13mo $325,000 $194 55
212 Hoover Dr 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,706 (-11%) 12mo $270,000 $158 43
204 Hoover Dr 0.56mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,192 (+14%) 5mo $311,700 $142 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$158,307
Equity at exit
$280,073
10-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
6.46×
Total profit
$474,951
Equity at exit
$603,987

Cash invested: $87,049 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
23 active · 8 under contract
Months of supply
19.7 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$265,990 ($144/sqft)
Median days on market
1004 d
This list price
70% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+12.2% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 71280

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
215
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,630
Tax est. 1.5%
$389 /mo · $4,663/yr
Insurance
$130
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$-173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,720
Max offer price $285,786
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $41 -5% $-66 +0% $-173 +5% $-281 +10% $-388
Rent -10% $-371 -5% $-272 +0% $-173 +5% $-75 +10% $24
Rate -1.0pp $-17 -0.5pp $-94 base $-173 +0.5pp $-254 +1.0pp $-336

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,722
Closing costs
$9,327
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 Lynnhaven St Monroe, LA 3.0 2.0 1710 $2,500 $1.46 93d 1 0.11mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $272,990 Active 1004 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $272,990 Active 1003 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $272,990 Active 1002 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $272,990 Active 1001 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $272,990 Active 1000 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $272,990 Active 999 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $272,990 Active 996 DOM
  8. 2026-07-29
    days on market $272,990 Active 994 DOM
  9. 2026-07-27
    days on market $272,990 Active 992 DOM
  10. 2026-07-25
    days on market $272,990 Active 990 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $272,990 Active 989 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $272,990 Active 988 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $272,990 Active 987 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $272,990 Active 986 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $272,990 Active 983 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on market $272,990 Active 981 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $272,990 Active 980 DOM
  18. 2026-07-14
    days on market $272,990 Active 979 DOM
  19. 2026-07-13
    days on market $272,990 Active 978 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $272,990 Active 977 DOM
  21. 2026-07-11
    days on market $272,990 Active 976 DOM
  22. 2026-07-10
    days on market $272,990 Active 975 DOM
  23. 2026-07-09
    days on market $272,990 Active 974 DOM
  24. 2026-07-08
    days on market $272,990 Active 973 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $272,990 Active 972 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $272,990 Active 971 DOM
  27. 2026-07-05
    days on market $272,990 Active 970 DOM
  28. 2026-07-04
    days on market $272,990 Active 969 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $272,990 Active 968 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $272,990 Active 967 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $272,990 Active 966 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $272,990 Active 965 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $272,990 Active 964 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $272,990 Active 963 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $272,990 Active 962 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $272,990 Active 961 DOM
  37. 2026-06-25
    days on market $272,990 Active 959 DOM
  38. 2026-06-23
    days on market $272,990 Active 957 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $272,990 Active 956 DOM
  40. 2026-06-19
    days on market $272,990 Active 954 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $272,990 Active 953 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $272,990 Active 952 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $272,990 Active 951 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $272,990 Active 950 DOM
  45. 2026-06-14
    days on market $272,990 Active 948 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $272,990 Active 947 DOM
  47. 2026-06-10
    days on market $272,990 Active 945 DOM
  48. 2026-06-09
    days on market $272,990 Active 944 DOM
  49. 2026-06-08
    days on market $272,990 Active 943 DOM
  50. 2026-06-07
    days on market $272,990 Active 942 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,000
− Mortgage interest
−$17,415
− Property taxes
−$4,663
− Insurance
−$1,554
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,400
− Management
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$9,044
Taxable loss
−$7,476
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,794
After-tax cash flow
$-287/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for minor updates to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value
  • Both New flooring — Can improve the look and feel of the home, especially in high-traffic areas
D Composite school gradezoned avg 53/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Sterlington Elementary School B- LA #62/646 Nat'l #7,053/41,679 Middle Sterlington Middle School B- LA #19/218 Nat'l #2,699/14,009 High Sterlington High School F LA #58/265 Nat'l #6,890/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ouachita Parish
NCES district ID
2201200
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$43,316
Composite
32.14/100
National rank
#5791
State rank
#26 of 98 in LA
B Composite livability gradescore 70/100

Livability — Sterlington

Score
70/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#7741

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Union · 163,370 people
Metro
Monroe, LA
Population (ZIP)
4,999
Household income
$75,768
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
6% of renters

Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
163,370 people
By 2030
165,520 · +1.3%
By 2040
167,652 · +2.6%
By 2050
166,699 · +2.0%
By 2075
156,348 · -4.3%
By 2100
134,102 · -17.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Danish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+2.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $272,990 Zillow
  • 2023-11-20 Price Changed $270,990 Zillow
  • 2023-11-08 Listed $265,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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