1002 Orchid Ave · Andalusia, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1002 Orchid Ave, Bensalem, PA 19020 Welcome to this single-family home located on a quiet residential street in desirable Bensalem Township. Built in 1952, this property offers approximately 1,324 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, providing a functional layout with flexibility for a variety of needs. The home is situated on a generous lot just under 0.4 acres, offering ample outdoor space for entertaining, gardening, or future expansion. Inside, you’ll find a spacious living area and well-sized bedrooms, presenting an excellent opportunity for buyers looking to renovate or add value. The roof has recently been replaced; however, there is interior damage
Key facts
- Ample outdoor space
- Generous lot
- Conveniently located
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-222 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (14.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (24.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $209k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bensalem Township SD (suburban): math 21% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #447 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.42%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $389,256
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 827 Mitchell Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,404 (+6%) | 7mo | $435,000 | $310 | 68 |
| 1026 Orchid Ave | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,514 (+14%) | 3mo | $350,000 | $231 | 67 |
| 1202 Clinton Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,480 (+12%) | 5mo | $455,000 | $307 | 55 |
| 1122 Elwood Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,236 (-7%) | 19mo | $364,000 | $294 | 50 |
| 1098 Whittier Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,223 (-8%) | 12mo | $355,000 | $290 | 50 |
| 824 Locust Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (-12%) | 19mo | $315,000 | $272 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-51,876
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-33,515
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19020
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,090 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$250 /mo · $2,995/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $-222
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-66 | -5% $-144 | +0% $-222 | +5% $-300 | +10% $-378 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-387 | -5% $-305 | +0% $-222 | +5% $-139 | +10% $-57 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-83 | -0.5pp $-152 | base $-222 | +0.5pp $-293 | +1.0pp $-366 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 325 Union Ave Unit C Delanco, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,600 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 135A Federal St Bensalem, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 427 Buttonwood St Delanco, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1213 | $2,200 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 300 Washington St Unit 300B Delanco, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 139 Easton St Andalusia, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1416 | $2,700 | $1.91 | 2d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2025-12-31status Pending
-
2025-12-13$275,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,995 · $250/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,670 · $306/mo
- Expected delta
- +$675/yr (+$56/mo · 22.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,075
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$2,995
- − Insurance
- −$2,172
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,006
- − Management
- −$2,006
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$7,509
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,802
- After-tax cash flow
- $-862/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bensalem Township SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203330
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,936
- Composite
- 25.03/100
- National rank
- #7554
- State rank
- #447 of 539 in PA
Livability — Andalusia
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Andalusia, PA
- County
- Bucks County · 506,477 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,809
- Household income
- $83,223
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2323.0
Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 630,973 people
- By 2030
- 627,093 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 609,680 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 584,225 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 539,840 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 483,970 · -23.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 13% Two or more races 8% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Subsaharan African 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Bucks
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -363.70%
- Current HPI
- 284.9207
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-31 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-13 Listed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $2,995 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…