CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1002 Orchid Ave
D Composite 42.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.2/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

1002 Orchid Ave · Andalusia, PA 19020
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,324 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1952 0.37 ac lot Est $389k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

1002 Orchid Ave, Bensalem, PA 19020 Welcome to this single-family home located on a quiet residential street in desirable Bensalem Township. Built in 1952, this property offers approximately 1,324 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, providing a functional layout with flexibility for a variety of needs. The home is situated on a generous lot just under 0.4 acres, offering ample outdoor space for entertaining, gardening, or future expansion. Inside, you’ll find a spacious living area and well-sized bedrooms, presenting an excellent opportunity for buyers looking to renovate or add value. The roof has recently been replaced; however, there is interior damage

Key facts

  • Ample outdoor space
  • Generous lot
  • Conveniently located

Tags

QUIET RESIDENTIAL STREETGENEROUS LOTAMPLE OUTDOOR SPACERECENTLY REPLACED ROOFCONVENIENTLY LOCATEDEASY ACCESS TO PHILADELPHIA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-222 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (14.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (24.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bensalem Township SD (suburban): math 21% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #447 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $208,958 (24.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.42%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$389,256
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
827 Mitchell Ave 0.19mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,404 (+6%) 7mo $435,000 $310 68
1026 Orchid Ave 0.03mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,514 (+14%) 3mo $350,000 $231 67
1202 Clinton Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,480 (+12%) 5mo $455,000 $307 55
1122 Elwood Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,236 (-7%) 19mo $364,000 $294 50
1098 Whittier Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,223 (-8%) 12mo $355,000 $290 50
824 Locust Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,160 (-12%) 19mo $315,000 $272 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-51,876
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-33,515
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19020

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,090 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$250 /mo · $2,995/yr
Insurance
$115
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$-222

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,371
Max offer price $235,786
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-66 -5% $-144 +0% $-222 +5% $-300 +10% $-378
Rent -10% $-387 -5% $-305 +0% $-222 +5% $-139 +10% $-57
Rate -1.0pp $-83 -0.5pp $-152 base $-222 +0.5pp $-293 +1.0pp $-366

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
325 Union Ave Unit C Delanco, NJ 1.0 1.0 1025 $1,600 $1.56 22d 1 1.27mi
135A Federal St Bensalem, PA 2.0 2.0 1460 $2,800 $1.92 2d 1 1.33mi
427 Buttonwood St Delanco, NJ 3.0 2.5 1213 $2,200 $1.81 25d 1 1.39mi
300 Washington St Unit 300B Delanco, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 44d 1 1.40mi
139 Easton St Andalusia, PA 2.0 2.5 1416 $2,700 $1.91 2d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2025-12-31
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-13
    listed $275,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,995 · $250/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,670 · $306/mo
Expected delta
+$675/yr (+$56/mo · 22.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,075
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$2,995
− Insurance
−$2,172
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,006
− Management
−$2,006
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$7,509
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,802
After-tax cash flow
$-862/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bensalem Township SD
NCES district ID
4203330
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$59,936
Composite
25.03/100
National rank
#7554
State rank
#447 of 539 in PA

Livability — Andalusia

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Andalusia, PA
County
Bucks County · 506,477 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
56,809
Household income
$83,223
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
2323.0

Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
630,973 people
By 2030
627,093 · -0.6%
By 2040
609,680 · -3.4%
By 2050
584,225 · -7.4%
By 2075
539,840 · -14.4%
By 2100
483,970 · -23.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 13% Two or more races 8% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Subsaharan African 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Bucks

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -363.70%
Current HPI
284.9207
Rent YoY
▲ 6.14%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-31 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-13 Listed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,995 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…