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9 Tomahawk Cir
B Composite 70.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

9 Tomahawk Cir · Chillicothe, OH 45601
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily · 38 Days on market
Built 2013 Good condition $54/sqft · 72% below area $588/mo HOA · 34% of rent ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully maintained 2013 mobile home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms at an affordable price point. Bright and open layout perfect for entertaining. This home is in good condition and move-in ready, making it a great option for owner-occupants or anyone looking to simplify without sacrificing space. The kitchen comes fully equipped with an electric stove, refrigerator, and dishwasher, and a washer and dryer are also included--adding everyday convenience right from day one! Comfortable layout with a private primary suite and two additional bedrooms, ideal for guests, a home office, or flexible living. Ideal location location just minutes from scenic trails at Great Seal State Par

Key facts

  • Built 2013
  • Listed 38 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $588; Community amenities include basketball court and outdoor sports area; Association fee covers security, trash, and snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Shared driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Other residential without deeded land; One story; No shared/common walls; Built in 2013
  • Construction: Built in 2013
  • Exterior features: Other foundation

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Living area approximately 1100

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 4.2% in Chillicothe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#909 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Chillicothe City (town): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #535 of 656 in OH (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 24 units permitted in Ross County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ross County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Recommended offer $57,230 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.91%
Cap rate
13.60%
Cash-on-cash
26.09%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$211,948
List price
$59,000
Delta
-72.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15 Tomahawk Circle Cir 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,166 (+6%) 16mo $55,000 $47 75
279 Seney Rd 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (+0%) 3mo $223,500 $202 70
258 Logan View Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,128 (+2%) 5mo $245,000 $217 64
250 Logan View Dr 0.49mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,174 (+7%) 20mo $238,000 $203 40
130 Winona Blvd 0.74mi 3/1.0 969 (-12%) 14mo $120,000 $124 30
232 Maplewood Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 969 (-12%) 23mo $200,000 $206 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$13,699
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
28.7%
Equity multiple
3.60×
Total profit
$42,953
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45601

Active inventory
178
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,715 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax est. 1.5%
$74 /mo · $885/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$588
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$359

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,260
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
767 Hopetown Rd Chillicothe, OH 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 794 $1,715 $2.16 1d 14 1.04mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$588 · $7,056/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    price $59,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    listed $65,000 Active 943-char remark
  17. 2026-05-09
    historical $65,000 943-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,580
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$885
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,646
− Management
−$1,646
− HOA
−$7,056
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$4,030
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$967
After-tax cash flow
$3,342/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 19 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2013 mobile home is in good condition and move-in ready, with a good layout and amenities. It offers a good return on investment with minor updates to enhance curb appeal and comfort.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and reduces maintenance costs

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and reduces maintenance costs

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chillicothe City
NCES district ID
3904374
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,990
Composite
34.55/100
National rank
#5174
State rank
#535 of 656 in OH

Livability — Chillicothe

Score
62/100
State rank
#909
US rank
#17195

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chillicothe, OH
County
Ross · 75,517 people
Population (ZIP)
56,453
Household income
$57,430
Rent vs Own
30.6% rent · 69.4% own
Severe rent burden
10.6

Population outlook (Ross County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,482 people
By 2030
74,035 · -1.9%
By 2040
70,702 · -6.3%
By 2050
66,706 · -11.6%
By 2075
55,398 · -26.6%
By 2100
42,197 · -44.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ross

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.3) · D 29.9% · R 69.2%
2008→2024 swing
-32.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -39.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.3 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+2.4 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -231.40%
Current HPI
205.7051
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $59,000 CBRMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $65,000 CBRMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Coming Soon $65,000 CBRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…