9 Tomahawk Cir · Chillicothe, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully maintained 2013 mobile home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms at an affordable price point. Bright and open layout perfect for entertaining. This home is in good condition and move-in ready, making it a great option for owner-occupants or anyone looking to simplify without sacrificing space. The kitchen comes fully equipped with an electric stove, refrigerator, and dishwasher, and a washer and dryer are also included--adding everyday convenience right from day one! Comfortable layout with a private primary suite and two additional bedrooms, ideal for guests, a home office, or flexible living. Ideal location location just minutes from scenic trails at Great Seal State Par
Key facts
- Built 2013
- Listed 38 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $588; Community amenities include basketball court and outdoor sports area; Association fee covers security, trash, and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Shared driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Other residential without deeded land; One story; No shared/common walls; Built in 2013
- Construction: Built in 2013
- Exterior features: Other foundation
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Interior features: Living area approximately 1100
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 4.2% in Chillicothe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#909 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Chillicothe City (town): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #535 of 656 in OH (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 24 units permitted in Ross County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ross County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.09%
- DSCR
- 2.16
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $211,948
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- -72.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Tomahawk Circle Cir | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,166 (+6%) | 16mo | $55,000 | $47 | 75 |
| 279 Seney Rd | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (+0%) | 3mo | $223,500 | $202 | 70 |
| 258 Logan View Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (+2%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $217 | 64 |
| 250 Logan View Dr | 0.49mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,174 (+7%) | 20mo | $238,000 | $203 | 40 |
| 130 Winona Blvd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 969 (-12%) | 14mo | $120,000 | $124 | 30 |
| 232 Maplewood Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 969 (-12%) | 23mo | $200,000 | $206 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $13,699
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $42,953
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45601
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,715 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$588
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $359
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 767 Hopetown Rd Chillicothe, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 794 | $1,715 | $2.16 | 1d | 14 | 1.04mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $588 · $7,056/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $59,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $59,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$65,000 Active 943-char remark
-
2026-05-09historical $65,000 943-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,580
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,646
- − Management
- −$1,646
- − HOA
- −$7,056
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $4,030
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$967
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,342/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 19 photos
This 2013 mobile home is in good condition and move-in ready, with a good layout and amenities. It offers a good return on investment with minor updates to enhance curb appeal and comfort.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and reduces maintenance costs
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and reduces maintenance costs ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chillicothe City
- NCES district ID
- 3904374
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,990
- Composite
- 34.55/100
- National rank
- #5174
- State rank
- #535 of 656 in OH
Livability — Chillicothe
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #909
- US rank
- #17195
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chillicothe, OH
- County
- Ross · 75,517 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,453
- Household income
- $57,430
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10.6
Population outlook (Ross County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,482 people
- By 2030
- 74,035 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 70,702 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 66,706 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 55,398 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 42,197 · -44.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ross
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.3) · D 29.9% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -39.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.3 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+2.4 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -231.40%
- Current HPI
- 205.7051
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-9.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $59,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $65,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-05-09 Coming Soon $65,000 CBRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…