22821 Dashwood Ln · Athens, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$247,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under Construction-BOOK APPT TODAY! The Newlin is a beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,474 sq. ft. of stylish, single-level living. Its open layout connects the kitchen, dining, and family room, creating a perfect space for entertaining or relaxing. The private owner’s suite features a walk-in closet and en-suite bath, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, work, or hobbies. With a 2-car garage and convenient laundry room, the Newlin blends comfort, functionality, and modern charm—TOUR OUR NEWLIN PLAN TODAY
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2026
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $248k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-154 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (9.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (18.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $202k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.5% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
- Athens City (town): math 27% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 129 in AL (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Julian Newman Elementary School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #121 of 627 statewide, top 21%, 371 students, 43% FRL); Athens Middle School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #121 of 257 statewide, top 50%, 958 students, 59% FRL); Athens High School (math 29% / reading 38%, grade F, #56 of 305 statewide, top 18%, 1,173 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: 821 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.67%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $263,748
- List price
- $247,900
- Delta
- -6.01%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22733 Dashwood Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (0%) | 2mo | $243,400 | $165 | 94 |
| 22623 Dashwood Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (0%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $163 | 88 |
| 16690 Maggie Ct | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (0%) | 9mo | $261,900 | $178 | 86 |
| 16644 Maggie Ct | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (0%) | 10mo | $259,900 | $176 | 85 |
| 22268 Merlot Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,513 (+3%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $172 | 81 |
| 22755 Dashwood Ln | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,667 (+13%) | 1mo | $255,400 | $153 | 69 |
| 22719 Dashwood Ln | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,667 (+13%) | 3mo | $253,650 | $152 | 66 |
| 22685 Dashwood Ln | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-14%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $183 | 66 |
| 22526 Oakdale Ridge Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,486 (+1%) | 7mo | $268,000 | $180 | 64 |
| 16656 Maggie Ct | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,667 (+13%) | 3mo | $264,400 | $159 | 64 |
| 16638 Maggie Ct | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,667 (+13%) | 10mo | $274,900 | $165 | 58 |
| 16358 Oakdale Rd | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,692 (+15%) | 7mo | $330,000 | $195 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-49,943
- Equity at exit
- $36,963
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-55,933
- Equity at exit
- $21,434
Cash invested: $69,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35613
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Active inventory
- 821
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,015 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,300
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$310 /mo · $3,718/yr
- Insurance
- −$103
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $-154
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $17 | -5% $-69 | +0% $-154 | +5% $-240 | +10% $-326 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-313 | -5% $-234 | +0% $-154 | +5% $-75 | +10% $5 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-29 | -0.5pp $-91 | base $-154 | +0.5pp $-218 | +1.0pp $-284 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,975
- Closing costs
- $7,437
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22779 Dashwood Ln Unit 20 Athens, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1753 | $2,100 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 22755 Dashwood Ln Athens, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 22733 Dashwood Ln Athens, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,750 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 22173 Ewell St Athens, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,400 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 22959 Oakdale Ridge Ln Athens, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $1,795 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 16787 Newby Chapel Rd Unit 10 Athens, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 16769 Newby Chapel Rd Athens, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 21424 Old Poseidon Ln Unit 21424 Athens, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1576 | $1,720 | $1.09 | 16d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 16305 Athens-Limestone Blvd Athens, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1046 | $1,700 | $1.62 | 16d | 18 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $247,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $246,150 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $246,150 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $246,150 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $246,150 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $246,150 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $246,150 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $246,150 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $246,150 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $246,150 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $246,150 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $246,150 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $246,150 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $246,150 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $246,150 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $246,150 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $246,150 565-char remark
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
Under Construction-BOOK APPT TODAY! The Newlin is a beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,474 sq. ft. of stylish, single-level living. Its open layout connects the kitchen, dining, and family room, creating a perfect space for entertaining or relaxing. The private owner’s suite features a walk-in closet and en-suite bath, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, work, or hobbies. With a 2-car garage and convenient laundry room, the Newlin blends comfort, functionality, and modern charm—TOUR OUR NEWLIN PLAN TODAY
-
2026-03-31price $245,400 565-char remark
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
Under Construction-BOOK APPT TODAY! The Newlin is a beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,474 sq. ft. of stylish, single-level living. Its open layout connects the kitchen, dining, and family room, creating a perfect space for entertaining or relaxing. The private owner’s suite features a walk-in closet and en-suite bath, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, work, or hobbies. With a 2-car garage and convenient laundry room, the Newlin blends comfort, functionality, and modern charm—TOUR OUR NEWLIN PLAN TODAY
-
2026-03-11$244,150 Active 565-char remark
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
Under Construction-BOOK APPT TODAY! The Newlin is a beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,474 sq. ft. of stylish, single-level living. Its open layout connects the kitchen, dining, and family room, creating a perfect space for entertaining or relaxing. The private owner’s suite features a walk-in closet and en-suite bath, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, work, or hobbies. With a 2-car garage and convenient laundry room, the Newlin blends comfort, functionality, and modern charm—TOUR OUR NEWLIN PLAN TODAY
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,181
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,886
- − Property taxes
- −$3,718
- − Insurance
- −$1,240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,935
- − Management
- −$1,935
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$7,212
- Taxable loss
- −$6,139
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,473
- After-tax cash flow
- $-377/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-family home is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and value
- Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments can improve aesthetics and energy efficiency
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments can improve aesthetics and energy efficiency ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Athens City
- NCES district ID
- 0100120
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,479
- Composite
- 33.14/100
- National rank
- #5555
- State rank
- #29 of 129 in AL
Livability — Athens
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #4019
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Athens, AL
- County
- Limestone County · 80,439 people
- City population
- 55,492
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,523
- Household income
- $100,845
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 118.0
Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,441 people
- By 2030
- 121,272 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 140,705 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 159,069 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 202,231 · +81.5%
- By 2100
- 230,608 · +106.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Limestone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.56%
- Current HPI
- 173.0763
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+0.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $246,150 VMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $245,400 VMLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $244,150 VMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…