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22821 Dashwood Ln
D- Composite 39.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.9/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$247,900

22821 Dashwood Ln · Athens, AL 35613
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,474 sqft · SingleFamily · 102 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 7,405 sqft lot $168/sqft · 6% below area Est $264k · 6% under $33/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Under Construction-BOOK APPT TODAY! The Newlin is a beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,474 sq. ft. of stylish, single-level living. Its open layout connects the kitchen, dining, and family room, creating a perfect space for entertaining or relaxing. The private owner’s suite features a walk-in closet and en-suite bath, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, work, or hobbies. With a 2-car garage and convenient laundry room, the Newlin blends comfort, functionality, and modern charm—TOUR OUR NEWLIN PLAN TODAY

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2026

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $248k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-154 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (9.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (18.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.5% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
  • Athens City (town): math 27% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 129 in AL (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Julian Newman Elementary School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #121 of 627 statewide, top 21%, 371 students, 43% FRL); Athens Middle School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #121 of 257 statewide, top 50%, 958 students, 59% FRL); Athens High School (math 29% / reading 38%, grade F, #56 of 305 statewide, top 18%, 1,173 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 821 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,512 (18.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.55%
Cash-on-cash
-2.67%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$263,748
List price
$247,900
Delta
-6.01%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
22733 Dashwood Ln 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,474 (0%) 2mo $243,400 $165 94
22623 Dashwood Ln 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,474 (0%) 6mo $240,000 $163 88
16690 Maggie Ct 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,474 (0%) 9mo $261,900 $178 86
16644 Maggie Ct 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,474 (0%) 10mo $259,900 $176 85
22268 Merlot Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,513 (+3%) 1mo $260,000 $172 81
22755 Dashwood Ln 0.07mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,667 (+13%) 1mo $255,400 $153 69
22719 Dashwood Ln 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,667 (+13%) 3mo $253,650 $152 66
22685 Dashwood Ln 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,260 (-14%) 5mo $230,000 $183 66
22526 Oakdale Ridge Ln 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,486 (+1%) 7mo $268,000 $180 64
16656 Maggie Ct 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,667 (+13%) 3mo $264,400 $159 64
16638 Maggie Ct 0.15mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,667 (+13%) 10mo $274,900 $165 58
16358 Oakdale Rd 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,692 (+15%) 7mo $330,000 $195 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.7%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-49,943
Equity at exit
$36,963
10-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-55,933
Equity at exit
$21,434

Cash invested: $69,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35613

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Active inventory
821
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,015 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,300
Tax est. 1.5%
$310 /mo · $3,718/yr
Insurance
$103
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$423
Net cashflow
$-154

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,210
Max offer price $225,582
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $17 -5% $-69 +0% $-154 +5% $-240 +10% $-326
Rent -10% $-313 -5% $-234 +0% $-154 +5% $-75 +10% $5
Rate -1.0pp $-29 -0.5pp $-91 base $-154 +0.5pp $-218 +1.0pp $-284

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,975
Closing costs
$7,437
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
22779 Dashwood Ln Unit 20 Athens, AL 4.0 2.5 1753 $2,100 $1.20 25d 1 0.06mi
22755 Dashwood Ln Athens, AL 4.0 2.0 1667 $2,100 $1.26 25d 1 0.08mi
22733 Dashwood Ln Athens, AL 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,750 $1.19 25d 1 0.09mi
22173 Ewell St Athens, AL 4.0 1.0 1125 $1,400 $1.24 25d 1 0.84mi
22959 Oakdale Ridge Ln Athens, AL 3.0 2.0 1660 $1,795 $1.08 45d 1 0.88mi
16787 Newby Chapel Rd Unit 10 Athens, AL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 16d 1 1.00mi
16769 Newby Chapel Rd Athens, AL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,450 $1.38 45d 1 1.03mi
21424 Old Poseidon Ln Unit 21424 Athens, AL 3.0 2.5 1576 $1,720 $1.09 16d 1 1.18mi
16305 Athens-Limestone Blvd Athens, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1046 $1,700 $1.62 16d 18 1.37mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $247,900 Active 102 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $246,150 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $246,150 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $246,150 Active 97 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $246,150 Active 96 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $246,150 Active 94 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $246,150 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $246,150 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $246,150 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $246,150 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $246,150 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $246,150 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $246,150 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $246,150 Active 82 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $246,150 Active 81 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $246,150 Active 80 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    price $246,150 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Under Construction-BOOK APPT TODAY! The Newlin is a beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,474 sq. ft. of stylish, single-level living. Its open layout connects the kitchen, dining, and family room, creating a perfect space for entertaining or relaxing. The private owner’s suite features a walk-in closet and en-suite bath, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, work, or hobbies. With a 2-car garage and convenient laundry room, the Newlin blends comfort, functionality, and modern charm—TOUR OUR NEWLIN PLAN TODAY

  18. 2026-03-31
    price $245,400 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Under Construction-BOOK APPT TODAY! The Newlin is a beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,474 sq. ft. of stylish, single-level living. Its open layout connects the kitchen, dining, and family room, creating a perfect space for entertaining or relaxing. The private owner’s suite features a walk-in closet and en-suite bath, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, work, or hobbies. With a 2-car garage and convenient laundry room, the Newlin blends comfort, functionality, and modern charm—TOUR OUR NEWLIN PLAN TODAY

  19. 2026-03-11
    listed $244,150 Active 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Under Construction-BOOK APPT TODAY! The Newlin is a beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,474 sq. ft. of stylish, single-level living. Its open layout connects the kitchen, dining, and family room, creating a perfect space for entertaining or relaxing. The private owner’s suite features a walk-in closet and en-suite bath, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, work, or hobbies. With a 2-car garage and convenient laundry room, the Newlin blends comfort, functionality, and modern charm—TOUR OUR NEWLIN PLAN TODAY

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,181
− Mortgage interest
−$13,886
− Property taxes
−$3,718
− Insurance
−$1,240
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,935
− Management
−$1,935
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$7,212
Taxable loss
−$6,139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,473
After-tax cash flow
$-377/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments can improve aesthetics and energy efficiency
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments can improve aesthetics and energy efficiency
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Athens City
NCES district ID
0100120
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$45,479
Composite
33.14/100
National rank
#5555
State rank
#29 of 129 in AL

Livability — Athens

Score
75/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#4019

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Athens, AL
County
Limestone County · 80,439 people
City population
55,492
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
25,523
Household income
$100,845
Rent vs Own
13.3% rent · 86.7% own
Severe rent burden
118.0

Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,441 people
By 2030
121,272 · +8.8%
By 2040
140,705 · +26.3%
By 2050
159,069 · +42.7%
By 2075
202,231 · +81.5%
By 2100
230,608 · +106.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Limestone

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.56%
Current HPI
173.0763
Rent YoY
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $246,150 VMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $245,400 VMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $244,150 VMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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