1645 D Ave NE · Cedar Rapids, IA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic opportunity for a first time home buyer or investor. Get peace of mind with roof, furnace, central air and water heater all replaced within the last 8 years. Some TLC needed to make it home. Main floor bedroom plus additional room that would make a great office, play room or 4th bedroom. Lots of possibilities.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Brand new kitchen
- Hvac system
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-475/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (4.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (19.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.5% in Cedar Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#134 in IA, #2,474 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
- Cedar Rapids Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #265 of 289 in IA (top 92%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Franklin Middle School (math 49% / reading 59%, grade B-, #206 of 246 statewide, top 84%, 537 students, 56% FRL); George Washington High School (math 44% / reading 62%, grade C-, #296 of 336 statewide, top 88%, 1,291 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.0%/yr); 286 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,023 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Linn County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $165k implies a 359% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.03%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,250
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1645 D Ave NE | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,578 (0%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $108 | 98 |
| 507 19th St NE | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,658 (+5%) | 2mo | $136,600 | $82 | 74 |
| 335 18th St SE | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,529 (-3%) | 1mo | $189,000 | $124 | 70 |
| 526 Longwood Dr NE | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,691 (+7%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $124 | 70 |
| 409 20th St NE | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (-4%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $139 | 65 |
| 1047 Daniels St NE | 0.62mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,568 (-1%) | 2mo | $180,500 | $115 | 63 |
| 419 21st St NE | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,547 (-2%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $133 | 61 |
| 336 21st St NE | 0.64mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,524 (-3%) | 1mo | $191,000 | $125 | 56 |
| 311 22nd St St NE | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,510 (-4%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $136 | 52 |
| 642 Prairie Dr NE | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,469 (-7%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $143 | 52 |
| 2009 Blake Blvd SE | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,720 (+9%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $177 | 50 |
| 1704 Park Ave SE | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,807 (+14%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $69 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-22,238
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $9,352
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52402
- Rents YoY
- 11.0%
- Active inventory
- 286
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,331 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,882/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $-40
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $54 | -5% $7 | +0% $-40 | +5% $-86 | +10% $-133 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-145 | -5% $-92 | +0% $-40 | +5% $13 | +10% $66 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $43 | -0.5pp $2 | base $-40 | +0.5pp $-82 | +1.0pp $-126 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 730 Wellington St SE Cedar Rapids, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1366 | $1,325 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1220 Sierra Dr NE Cedar Rapids, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $1,000 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 906 10th St SE Cedar Rapids, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $1,300 | $1.46 | 14d | 6 | 1.10mi |
| 1127 34th St NE Cedar Rapids, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,385 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 306 29th Street Dr SE Cedar Rapids, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-15status Pending
-
2026-03-27$165,000 Active
-
2015-12-30soldstatus $35,950 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Fantastic opportunity for a first time home buyer or investor. Get peace of mind with roof, furnace, central air and water heater all replaced within the last 8 years. Some TLC needed to make it home. Main floor bedroom plus additional room that would make a great office, play room or 4th bedroom. Lots of possibilities.
-
2015-11-23$39,950 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Fantastic opportunity for a first time home buyer or investor. Get peace of mind with roof, furnace, central air and water heater all replaced within the last 8 years. Some TLC needed to make it home. Main floor bedroom plus additional room that would make a great office, play room or 4th bedroom. Lots of possibilities.
-
2012-01-18soldstatus $60,001
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,882 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,236 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- +$354/yr (+$30/mo · 18.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,968
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,882
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,277
- − Management
- −$1,277
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$3,336
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$801
- After-tax cash flow
- $325/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cedar Rapids Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1906540
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,568
- Composite
- 46.82/100
- National rank
- #2378
- State rank
- #265 of 289 in IA
Livability — Cedar Rapids
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #2474
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- County
- Linn County · 179,860 people
- City population
- 137,154
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,938
- Household income
- $73,439
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 971.0
Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 239,589 people
- By 2030
- 248,587 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 264,817 · +10.5%
- By 2050
- 278,685 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 311,754 · +30.1%
- By 2100
- 336,773 · +40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Linn
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.9) · D 54.2% · R 44.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.5pp · 2024: 9.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.9 2020: D+13.7 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.31%
- Current HPI
- 201.7061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.97%
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+175.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Pending — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $165,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2015-12-30 Sold (MLS) $35,950 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2015-11-23 Listed $39,950 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2012-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $60,001 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,882 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…