501 Hillsboro Ln · Helena, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 50.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Immaculate condition 1 side brick and maintenance free. Private, big, flat backyard. Don't miss this great opportunity. Priced to sell FAST.
Key facts
- Double vanity
- Large walk-in closet
- En suite bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Breckenridge Park
- Financial info: Quarterly garbage fee
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet availability (AT&T)
- Home design: Two-level (main and upper); Existing construction; One-side brick and vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation
- Construction: 1 side brick with vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Open patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Dishwasher (built-in); Microwave (built-in); Electric oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on upper level; Additional bedroom(s) on upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Central heating with gas furnace; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 1 fireplace with a brick, wood-burning hearth in the family room; Ceilings: Other (see remarks); Eating area off the kitchen; Attic present
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on upper level; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-369/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (2.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (20.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.1% in Helena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#39 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Shelby County (suburban): math 30% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #16 of 129 in AL (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Helena Elementary School (868 students, 30% FRL); Helena Middle (math 17% / reading 63%, grade F, #59 of 257 statewide, top 23%, 1,035 students, 30% FRL); Helena High School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #34 of 305 statewide, top 12%, 1,418 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 987 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($118k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shelby County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $133k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.69%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $206,864
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -8.20%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 Hillsboro Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,230 (-0%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $171 | 80 |
| 1505 Hillsboro Ln | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,192 (-4%) | 14mo | $189,900 | $159 | 77 |
| 201 Amy Ln | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 1,211 (-2%) | 9mo | $193,000 | $159 | 74 |
| 1008 Ashley Brook Ln | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,269 (+3%) | 4mo | $228,000 | $180 | 70 |
| 1914 Highway 58 | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 | 1,290 (+4%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $132 | 70 |
| 191 Rocky Ridge Dr | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-9%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $143 | 69 |
| 203 Rocky Ridge Dr | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,095 (-11%) | 11mo | $194,500 | $178 | 63 |
| 1016 Ashley Brook Ln | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,170 (-5%) | 13mo | $200,000 | $171 | 58 |
| 2032 Ashley Brook Way | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 1,180 (-4%) | 12mo | $205,000 | $174 | 55 |
| 7532 Spencer Ln | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 | 1,264 (+2%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $150 | 51 |
| 128 Rocky Ridge Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,386 (+12%) | 18mo | $218,000 | $157 | 49 |
| 7515 Spencer Ln | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 | 1,199 (-3%) | 18mo | $190,000 | $158 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-32,767
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-31,201
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35080
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,503 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,715/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $-31
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $77 | -5% $23 | +0% $-31 | +5% $-85 | +10% $-138 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-149 | -5% $-90 | +0% $-31 | +5% $29 | +10% $88 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $65 | -0.5pp $18 | base $-31 | +0.5pp $-80 | +1.0pp $-130 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302 Hillsboro Ln Helena, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 104 Hillsboro Ln Helena, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 995 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2812 Saint Patrick Pl N Helena, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,790 | $1.35 | 16d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 8028 Rockhampton Cir Helena, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $1,955 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177 Cedar Bend Dr Helena, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1016 Wyndham Ln Helena, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $1,650 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 9014 Brookline Ln Helena, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $1,595 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 102 Frances Ln Helena, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4717 Hollow Ln Helena, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,781 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 453 Tocoa Rd Helena, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $1,475 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $189,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $189,900 964-char remark
-
2026-05-03$199,900 Active 964-char remark
-
2020-11-13soldstatus $133,000 Sold 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
Immaculate condition 1 side brick and maintenance free. Private, big, flat backyard. Don't miss this great opportunity. Priced to sell FAST.
-
2020-10-02historical Contingent 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
Immaculate condition 1 side brick and maintenance free. Private, big, flat backyard. Don't miss this great opportunity. Priced to sell FAST.
-
2020-09-29$134,500 Active 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
Immaculate condition 1 side brick and maintenance free. Private, big, flat backyard. Don't miss this great opportunity. Priced to sell FAST.
-
2018-12-07soldstatus $107,000
-
2018-11-19soldstatus $107,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
2 Bedrooms! 1.5 Baths! * END Unit * HUGE Great Room * Tons of Closet Storage * Wood Burning Fireplace * Large Bedrooms * Tile Backsplash * Fenced-in Backyard * Vinyl Siding * Newly Serviced HVAC * Fenced Back Yard * Carpets Recently Replaced * Roof <10y Old * Utility Storage * Fresh Landscaping * No HOA! * EXCELLENT Condition!
-
2018-11-13historical Contingent
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
2 Bedrooms! 1.5 Baths! * END Unit * HUGE Great Room * Tons of Closet Storage * Wood Burning Fireplace * Large Bedrooms * Tile Backsplash * Fenced-in Backyard * Vinyl Siding * Newly Serviced HVAC * Fenced Back Yard * Carpets Recently Replaced * Roof <10y Old * Utility Storage * Fresh Landscaping * No HOA! * EXCELLENT Condition!
-
2018-11-08status Active
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
2 Bedrooms! 1.5 Baths! * END Unit * HUGE Great Room * Tons of Closet Storage * Wood Burning Fireplace * Large Bedrooms * Tile Backsplash * Fenced-in Backyard * Vinyl Siding * Newly Serviced HVAC * Fenced Back Yard * Carpets Recently Replaced * Roof <10y Old * Utility Storage * Fresh Landscaping * No HOA! * EXCELLENT Condition!
-
2018-10-28historical Contingent
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
2 Bedrooms! 1.5 Baths! * END Unit * HUGE Great Room * Tons of Closet Storage * Wood Burning Fireplace * Large Bedrooms * Tile Backsplash * Fenced-in Backyard * Vinyl Siding * Newly Serviced HVAC * Fenced Back Yard * Carpets Recently Replaced * Roof <10y Old * Utility Storage * Fresh Landscaping * No HOA! * EXCELLENT Condition!
-
2018-08-23$110,000 Active
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
2 Bedrooms! 1.5 Baths! * END Unit * HUGE Great Room * Tons of Closet Storage * Wood Burning Fireplace * Large Bedrooms * Tile Backsplash * Fenced-in Backyard * Vinyl Siding * Newly Serviced HVAC * Fenced Back Yard * Carpets Recently Replaced * Roof <10y Old * Utility Storage * Fresh Landscaping * No HOA! * EXCELLENT Condition!
-
2016-07-24price $105,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,715 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,715 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,032
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$1,715
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,443
- − Management
- −$1,443
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$3,679
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$883
- After-tax cash flow
- $514/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shelby County
- NCES district ID
- 0103030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,672
- Composite
- 39.29/100
- National rank
- #3995
- State rank
- #16 of 129 in AL
Livability — Helena
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #7223
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Helena, AL
- County
- Shelby County · 188,970 people
- City population
- 20,251
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,251
- Household income
- $118,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 174.0
Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 237,024 people
- By 2030
- 249,868 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 272,778 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +22.8%
- By 2075
- 326,049 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 335,870 · +41.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 13% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shelby
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.0% · R 69.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +12.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -40.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.9 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.03%
- Current HPI
- 209.2727
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+80.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $189,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-03 Listed $199,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-11-13 Sold (MLS) $133,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-10-02 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-09-29 Listed $134,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
- 2018-11-19 Sold (MLS) $107,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-11-13 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-11-08 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-10-28 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-08-23 Listed $110,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-07-24 Price Changed $105,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+12.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,715 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…