224 Madison Ave · Prescott, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HGTV called....they want their pilot episode back. This fully gutted property is down to the studs and ready for someone with vision, grit, and probably a contractor on speed dial. Zoned MF-M multi-family and already framed for a possible duplex, this project has electrical and plumbing in place and is set up for a planned layout of one 3 bedroom, 2 bath unit and one 1 bedroom, 1 bath unit. Whether you're looking to create a primary residence with separate living quarters, accommodate multi generational living, or add a unique income producing property to your portfolio, this one offers multiple paths to value. Complete the project and bring this blank slate opportunity back to life, with possible additional development in the rear, subject to buyer verification.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1956
- Listed 66 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $174k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $693 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $174k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 2.4% in Prescott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities A, schools A-; Watch: cost of living D, commute F.
- Prescott Unified District (4466) (urban): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #70 of 249 in AZ (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 486 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.03%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $382,290
- List price
- $174,500
- Delta
- -54.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 N Virginia St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,310 (+1%) | 6mo | $460,000 | $351 | 55 |
| 310 Jovian Dr | 0.70mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,256 (-3%) | 11mo | $435,000 | $346 | 48 |
| 535 Lincoln Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,464 (+13%) | 17mo | $250,000 | $171 | 46 |
| 734 Lincoln Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,131 (-13%) | 10mo | $378,500 | $335 | 36 |
| 516 E Virginia Pl | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,116 (-14%) | 3mo | $527,500 | $473 | 34 |
| 211 S Pleasant St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,128 (-13%) | 13mo | $750,000 | $665 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.21% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $9,773
- Equity at exit
- $26,019
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $41,651
- Equity at exit
- $15,088
Cash invested: $48,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86301
- Home prices YoY
- -21.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 486
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,216 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$915
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $833/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $693
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $792 | -5% $743 | +0% $693 | +5% $644 | +10% $595 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $518 | -5% $606 | +0% $693 | +5% $781 | +10% $868 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $781 | -0.5pp $738 | base $693 | +0.5pp $648 | +1.0pp $602 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,625
- Closing costs
- $5,235
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 248 Vallejo St Apt B Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 538 Lincoln Ave Unit 1A'VACATION Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 823 Campbell St Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,995 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 202 N Pleasant St Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,700 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 250 Anderson Rd Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $2,500 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 525 Oak St Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,400 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 812 Coronado Ave Unit B Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,895 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1060 Stratus Way Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1363 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 851 Prescott Heights Dr Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,800 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 355 Country Club Cir Prescott, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $1,750 | $1.80 | 14d | 5 | 1.44mi |
| 497 Robinson Dr Unit 1 Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1183 | $2,500 | $2.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1135 Boulder Park Ave Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1800 | $2,150 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1137 Hughes St Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1385 | $1,844 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 38 events
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2026-06-18days on market $174,500 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $174,500 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $174,500 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $174,500 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $174,500 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $174,500 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $174,500 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $174,500 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $174,500 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $174,500 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-05pricedays on market $174,500 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $199,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-05-16$199,900 Active
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2026-05-14status Active 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
HGTV called....they want their pilot episode back. This fully gutted property is down to the studs and ready for someone with vision, grit, and probably a contractor on speed dial. Zoned MF-M multi-family and already framed for a possible duplex, this project has electrical and plumbing in place and is set up for a planned layout of one 3 bedroom, 2 bath unit and one 1 bedroom, 1 bath unit. Whether you're looking to create a primary residence with separate living quarters, accommodate multi generational living, or add a unique income producing property to your portfolio, this one offers multiple paths to value. Complete the project and bring this blank slate opportunity back to life, with possible additional development in the rear, subject to buyer verification.
-
2026-05-12historical Active Under Contract 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
HGTV called....they want their pilot episode back. This fully gutted property is down to the studs and ready for someone with vision, grit, and probably a contractor on speed dial. Zoned MF-M multi-family and already framed for a possible duplex, this project has electrical and plumbing in place and is set up for a planned layout of one 3 bedroom, 2 bath unit and one 1 bedroom, 1 bath unit. Whether you're looking to create a primary residence with separate living quarters, accommodate multi generational living, or add a unique income producing property to your portfolio, this one offers multiple paths to value. Complete the project and bring this blank slate opportunity back to life, with possible additional development in the rear, subject to buyer verification.
-
2026-05-12status Active 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
HGTV called....they want their pilot episode back. This fully gutted property is down to the studs and ready for someone with vision, grit, and probably a contractor on speed dial. Zoned MF-M multi-family and already framed for a possible duplex, this project has electrical and plumbing in place and is set up for a planned layout of one 3 bedroom, 2 bath unit and one 1 bedroom, 1 bath unit. Whether you're looking to create a primary residence with separate living quarters, accommodate multi generational living, or add a unique income producing property to your portfolio, this one offers multiple paths to value. Complete the project and bring this blank slate opportunity back to life, with possible additional development in the rear, subject to buyer verification.
-
2026-05-12status Pending 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
HGTV called....they want their pilot episode back. This fully gutted property is down to the studs and ready for someone with vision, grit, and probably a contractor on speed dial. Zoned MF-M multi-family and already framed for a possible duplex, this project has electrical and plumbing in place and is set up for a planned layout of one 3 bedroom, 2 bath unit and one 1 bedroom, 1 bath unit. Whether you're looking to create a primary residence with separate living quarters, accommodate multi generational living, or add a unique income producing property to your portfolio, this one offers multiple paths to value. Complete the project and bring this blank slate opportunity back to life, with possible additional development in the rear, subject to buyer verification.
-
2026-05-07historical Active Under Contract 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
HGTV called....they want their pilot episode back. This fully gutted property is down to the studs and ready for someone with vision, grit, and probably a contractor on speed dial. Zoned MF-M multi-family and already framed for a possible duplex, this project has electrical and plumbing in place and is set up for a planned layout of one 3 bedroom, 2 bath unit and one 1 bedroom, 1 bath unit. Whether you're looking to create a primary residence with separate living quarters, accommodate multi generational living, or add a unique income producing property to your portfolio, this one offers multiple paths to value. Complete the project and bring this blank slate opportunity back to life, with possible additional development in the rear, subject to buyer verification.
-
2026-04-13$199,900 Active 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
HGTV called....they want their pilot episode back. This fully gutted property is down to the studs and ready for someone with vision, grit, and probably a contractor on speed dial. Zoned MF-M multi-family and already framed for a possible duplex, this project has electrical and plumbing in place and is set up for a planned layout of one 3 bedroom, 2 bath unit and one 1 bedroom, 1 bath unit. Whether you're looking to create a primary residence with separate living quarters, accommodate multi generational living, or add a unique income producing property to your portfolio, this one offers multiple paths to value. Complete the project and bring this blank slate opportunity back to life, with possible additional development in the rear, subject to buyer verification.
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2026-01-05status Active
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2025-11-18status Pending
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2025-11-18status Pending
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2025-11-18historical
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2025-11-18historical
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2025-11-05price $225,000
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2025-11-05price $225,000
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2025-10-27price $250,000
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2025-10-27price $250,000
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2025-10-16price $275,000
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2025-10-16price $275,000
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2025-08-30price $290,000
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2025-08-30price $290,000
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2025-08-02$300,000 Active
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2025-08-02$300,000 Active
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2025-07-31historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $833 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,152 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$319/yr (+$27/mo · 38.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,590
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,775
- − Property taxes
- −$833
- − Insurance
- −$872
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,127
- − Management
- −$2,127
- − Depreciation
- −$5,076
- Taxable income
- $5,780
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,387
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,933/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prescott Unified District (4466)
- NCES district ID
- 0406730
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,354
- Composite
- 33.47/100
- National rank
- #5450
- State rank
- #70 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Prescott
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5579
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prescott, AZ
- County
- Yavapai County · 190,406 people
- City population
- 66,312
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,076
- Household income
- $72,652
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1225.0
Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 241,389 people
- By 2030
- 249,523 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 259,966 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 264,736 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 269,334 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 256,505 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.55%
- Current HPI
- 350.7591
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.21%
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
-33.4% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $199,900 ARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Pending — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Listed $199,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2025-11-18 Pending — ARMLS
- 2025-11-18 Pending — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-18 Listing Removed — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-18 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $225,000 ARMLS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $225,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $250,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $250,000 ARMLS
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $275,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $275,000 ARMLS
- 2025-08-30 Price Changed $290,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-30 Price Changed $290,000 ARMLS
- 2025-08-02 Listed $300,000 ARMLS
- 2025-08-02 Listed $300,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-31 Coming Soon — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $833 · +26.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…