816 Oak St · Maysville, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property is priced to move! Spacious 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home on a roomy corner lot with a large storage building included. Located directly across the street from the elementary school and a short walk or drive to shops and restaurants in town. Perfect for a first-time home buyer or a great investment opportunity. Reach out for more information or to schedule a tour!
Key facts
- Short walk to shops
- Corner lot
- 7,841 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exemption applied
- Financial info: Loan qualification allowed; Assumable: No
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; East-facing; Residential property
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Metal roof; Combination foundation
- Exterior features: Outbuildings; Storage; Below-ground and outdoor storm shelters; Corner lot; Campus area
Interior
- Kitchen: Free‑standing electric range; Free‑standing electric oven; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: Whirlpool tub; Window treatments
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#302 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Maysville (rural): math 20% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #442 of 513 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Maysville Es (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #652 of 845 statewide, top 79%, 254 students, 0% FRL); Maysville Hs (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #25 of 447 statewide, top 8%, 70 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 61% district-wide (61 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Garvin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (9.6% local appreciation)).
- Garvin County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (9.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $80k implies a 176% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.23%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.04×
- Total profit
- $68,026
- Equity at exit
- $69,987
- IRR
- 35.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.99×
- Total profit
- $179,019
- Equity at exit
- $148,765
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73057
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,156 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $544/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $415
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $80,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-10$89,000 Active
-
2003-08-01soldstatus $29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $544 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $720 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- +$176/yr (+$15/mo · 32.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,871
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$544
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,110
- − Management
- −$1,110
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $3,899
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$936
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,044/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maysville
- NCES district ID
- 4019380
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▲ 10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,652
- Composite
- 18.11/100
- National rank
- #14076
- State rank
- #442 of 513 in OK
Livability — Maysville
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #17823
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maysville, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,210
Population outlook (Garvin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,277 people
- By 2030
- 28,619 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 29,478 · +4.2%
- By 2050
- 30,384 · +7.5%
- By 2075
- 34,074 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 36,099 · +27.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 12% Native American 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% European 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Garvin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.1) · D 16.4% · R 82.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -43.6pp · 2024: -66.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.1 2020: R+64.2 2016: R+60.7 2012: R+46.1 2008: R+43.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.64%
- Current HPI
- 240.7465
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+206.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $89,000 MLSOK
- 2003-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $544 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…