2225 Williams Dr · Aberdeen, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1956
- Listed 3 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable TV available; Phone service available; Natural gas service
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Above-grade finished living space
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Screens on windows
- Exterior features: Front and rear yards; Private, level and cleared lot; Side yards; Porch(es)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with table space
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level; Room list includes Living Room, Dining Room, Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3, Sun/Florida Room
- Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl plank; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Natural gas hot water; Window air conditioning units; Ceiling fans; 100 Amp electric service
- Interior features: Traditional floor plan; Tub with shower; Breakfast area; Ceiling fans; Combination dining and living area; Separate dining area; Entry-level bedroom; Kitchen with table space; Wood floors; Crown moldings; Recessed lighting; Drywall walls and ceilings; Storm door(s)
- Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry with hookups; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.9% in Aberdeen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#42 in MD, #1,545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F.
- Harford County Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 24 in MD (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Roye-Williams Elementary (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #408 of 860 statewide, top 50%, 442 students, 50% FRL); Aberdeen Middle (math 5% / reading 27%, grade F, #183 of 225 statewide, top 84%, 1,082 students, 63% FRL); Aberdeen High (math 47% / reading 56%, grade D+, #105 of 222 statewide, top 47%, 1,495 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 24% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 803 units permitted in Harford County in 2024 (26 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 27% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $114k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.93%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $60,060
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2225 Williams Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,001 (0%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $165 | 100 |
| 37 Pine St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (-0%) | 9mo | $46,000 | $46 | 65 |
| 46 Walnut St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-9%) | 0mo | $55,000 | $60 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $2,503
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $39,795
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21078
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Active inventory
- 174
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,938 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,649/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $459
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-26historical $165,000
-
2014-06-18soldstatus $114,000
-
2014-05-22soldstatus $114,000 Sold 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.
-
2014-05-22soldstatus $114,000 Sold 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.
-
2014-05-22soldstatus $114,000 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.
-
2014-05-06status Contract 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.
-
2014-04-21historical Contingent (Kick Out) 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.
-
2014-04-18historical 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.
-
2014-01-02status Contract 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.
-
2014-01-02price $115,000 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.
-
2013-09-05$130,000 Active 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.
-
2013-09-05$115,000 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.
-
2005-09-29soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,649 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,724 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- +$75/yr (+$6/mo · 4.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,649
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,860
- − Management
- −$1,860
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $3,015
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$724
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,788/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harford County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400390
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,569
- Composite
- 29.38/100
- National rank
- #6527
- State rank
- #9 of 24 in MD
Livability — Aberdeen
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #42
- US rank
- #1545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harford County · 198,512 people
- City population
- 27,168
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,030
- Household income
- $106,667
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 327.0
Population outlook (Harford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 262,292 people
- By 2030
- 266,437 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 269,954 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 265,659 · +1.3%
- By 2075
- 252,886 · -3.6%
- By 2100
- 224,014 · -14.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 12% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harford
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.8) · D 41.9% · R 55.7% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -13.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+18.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.95%
- Current HPI
- 239.1951
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+120.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Coming Soon $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records
- 2014-05-22 Sold (MLS) $114,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-05-22 Sold (MLS) $114,000 MRIS
- 2014-05-22 Sold (MLS) $114,000 MRIS
- 2014-05-06 Pending — MRIS
- 2014-04-21 Contingent — MRIS
- 2014-04-18 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-01-02 Pending — MRIS
- 2014-01-02 Price Changed $115,000 MRIS
- 2013-09-05 Listed $130,000 MRIS
- 2013-09-05 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,649 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…