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2225 Williams Dr
C+ Composite 62.49
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

2225 Williams Dr · Aberdeen, MD 21078
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,001 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1956 10,802 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Built 1956
  • Listed 3 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable TV available; Phone service available; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Above-grade finished living space
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Screens on windows
  • Exterior features: Front and rear yards; Private, level and cleared lot; Side yards; Porch(es)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with table space
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level; Room list includes Living Room, Dining Room, Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3, Sun/Florida Room
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl plank; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Natural gas hot water; Window air conditioning units; Ceiling fans; 100 Amp electric service
  • Interior features: Traditional floor plan; Tub with shower; Breakfast area; Ceiling fans; Combination dining and living area; Separate dining area; Entry-level bedroom; Kitchen with table space; Wood floors; Crown moldings; Recessed lighting; Drywall walls and ceilings; Storm door(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry with hookups; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.9% in Aberdeen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#42 in MD, #1,545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Harford County Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 24 in MD (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Roye-Williams Elementary (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #408 of 860 statewide, top 50%, 442 students, 50% FRL); Aberdeen Middle (math 5% / reading 27%, grade F, #183 of 225 statewide, top 84%, 1,082 students, 63% FRL); Aberdeen High (math 47% / reading 56%, grade D+, #105 of 222 statewide, top 47%, 1,495 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 24% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 803 units permitted in Harford County in 2024 (26 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 27% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $114k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $165,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.63%
Cash-on-cash
11.93%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$60,060
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2225 Williams Dr 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,001 (0%) 0mo $165,000 $165 100
37 Pine St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,000 (-0%) 9mo $46,000 $46 65
46 Walnut St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (-9%) 0mo $55,000 $60 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,503
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$39,795
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21078

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,938 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,649/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$407
Net cashflow
$459

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,356
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-26
    historical $165,000
  2. 2014-06-18
    soldstatus $114,000
  3. 2014-05-22
    soldstatus $114,000 Sold 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.

  4. 2014-05-22
    soldstatus $114,000 Sold 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.

  5. 2014-05-22
    soldstatus $114,000 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.

  6. 2014-05-06
    status Contract 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.

  7. 2014-04-21
    historical Contingent (Kick Out) 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.

  8. 2014-04-18
    historical 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.

  9. 2014-01-02
    status Contract 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.

  10. 2014-01-02
    price $115,000 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.

  11. 2013-09-05
    listed $130,000 Active 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.

  12. 2013-09-05
    listed $115,000 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION ! Nice Clean home on great lot across from Elementary school. 3 beds/1 bath home with covered front porch and screened (Sunroom) back porch . New GAS Furnace, new water heater; FIOS, neutral fresh paint ; hardwood floors; alarm system, Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining room. Great quiet neighborhood--Feels like country but close to major travel routes.

  13. 2005-09-29
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,649 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,724 · $144/mo
Expected delta
+$75/yr (+$6/mo · 4.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,252
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,649
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,860
− Management
−$1,860
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$3,015
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$724
After-tax cash flow
$4,788/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harford County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400390
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$79,569
Composite
29.38/100
National rank
#6527
State rank
#9 of 24 in MD

Livability — Aberdeen

Score
81/100
State rank
#42
US rank
#1545

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harford County · 198,512 people
City population
27,168
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
20,030
Household income
$106,667
Rent vs Own
23.0% rent · 77.0% own
Severe rent burden
327.0

Population outlook (Harford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
262,292 people
By 2030
266,437 · +1.6%
By 2040
269,954 · +2.9%
By 2050
265,659 · +1.3%
By 2075
252,886 · -3.6%
By 2100
224,014 · -14.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 12% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harford

2024 margin
R (+13.8) · D 41.9% · R 55.7% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -13.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+18.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.95%
Current HPI
239.1951
Rent YoY
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Coming Soon $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records
  • 2014-05-22 Sold (MLS) $114,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-05-22 Sold (MLS) $114,000 MRIS
  • 2014-05-22 Sold (MLS) $114,000 MRIS
  • 2014-05-06 Pending MRIS
  • 2014-04-21 Contingent MRIS
  • 2014-04-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-01-02 Pending MRIS
  • 2014-01-02 Price Changed $115,000 MRIS
  • 2013-09-05 Listed $130,000 MRIS
  • 2013-09-05 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,649 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…