317 Burger St · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$108,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful well kept home with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. New furnace 1/31/2025, new central air 8/24/21. Extra refrigerator and gas stove in basement.
Key facts
- 6,600 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1923
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $258 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $108k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $747 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.25%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,921
- List price
- $108,000
- Delta
- 80.24%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2142 Woodford St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,480 (+0%) | 7mo | $71,100 | $48 | 78 |
| 1839 Genesee St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,351 (-8%) | 5mo | $32,000 | $24 | 74 |
| 146 Esther St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,255 (-15%) | 1mo | $71,500 | $57 | 64 |
| 142 Van Buren Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,444 (-2%) | 2mo | $72,000 | $50 | 63 |
| 2315 Caledonia St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,370 (-7%) | 4mo | $12,000 | $9 | 60 |
| 2137 Valentine St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (-14%) | 6mo | $47,500 | $37 | 56 |
| 2220 Genesee St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,362 (-8%) | 6mo | $80,000 | $59 | 56 |
| 310 Whittemore St | 0.27mi | 3/3.0 | 1,296 (-12%) | 4mo | $79,800 | $62 | 56 |
| 204 Paine Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (+3%) | 13mo | $70,000 | $46 | 55 |
| 2125 Valentine St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,265 (-14%) | 12mo | $59,000 | $47 | 52 |
| 2232 Caledonia St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,273 (-14%) | 11mo | $75,000 | $59 | 48 |
| 2336 Caledonia St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,678 (+14%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $54 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,903
- Equity at exit
- $16,103
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $35,566
- Equity at exit
- $9,338
Cash invested: $30,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43605
- Home prices YoY
- -25.6%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,214 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$566
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,076/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $258
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $319 | -5% $289 | +0% $258 | +5% $228 | +10% $197 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $162 | -5% $210 | +0% $258 | +5% $306 | +10% $354 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $313 | -0.5pp $286 | base $258 | +0.5pp $230 | +1.0pp $202 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,000
- Closing costs
- $3,240
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,300 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1964 Burr St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1159 | $1,250 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2453 Caledonia St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1179 | $810 | $0.69 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 128 Carbon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 622 Whitlock Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,195 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 221 Licking St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,099 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 223 Valleywood Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,099 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1306 Mott Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1282 | $1,149 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1305 Mott Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2074 Starr Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,025 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 245 Plymouth St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,125 | $0.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1536 N Erie St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1449 N Huron St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,045 | $0.73 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2129 Nevada St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 653 Oswald St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $800 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1614 Nevada St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,000 | $0.85 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 15d | 2 | 1.29mi |
| 1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,890 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,750 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 630 Mulberry St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 414 Platt St Unit ST-3 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,150 | $0.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 420 Platt St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1499 | $685 | $0.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 722 Coyne Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3148 Corduroy Rd Oregon, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $870 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 413 Sandusky St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $775 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 732 Coyne Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,145 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 724 Mulberry St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1530 | $995 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 625 Riverside Dr Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $1,767 | $2.05 | 15d | 37 | 1.40mi |
| 470 2nd St Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $799 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 29 Garfield Pl Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $108,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $108,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $108,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $108,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $108,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-03-31$120,000 Active 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Beautiful well kept home with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. New furnace 1/31/2025, new central air 8/24/21. Extra refrigerator and gas stove in basement.
-
2026-03-11historical $120,000 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Beautiful well kept home with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. New furnace 1/31/2025, new central air 8/24/21. Extra refrigerator and gas stove in basement.
-
2018-03-22historical
-
2017-12-11$59,900
-
2013-08-21historical
-
2013-06-19$53,500
-
2012-04-26historical
-
2012-03-27$69,900
-
2008-03-08historical
-
2007-09-08$65,897
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,076 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,380 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$304/yr (+$25/mo · 28.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,571
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,050
- − Property taxes
- −$1,076
- − Insurance
- −$540
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,166
- − Management
- −$1,166
- − Depreciation
- −$3,142
- Taxable income
- $1,433
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$344
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,755/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,441
- Household income
- $39,118
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1257.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 14% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.85%
- Current HPI
- 138.6894
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.37%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+82.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $120,000 NORIS
- 2026-03-11 Coming Soon $120,000 NORIS
- 2018-03-22 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2017-12-11 Listed $59,900 NORIS
- 2013-08-21 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2013-06-19 Listed $53,500 NORIS
- 2012-04-26 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2012-03-27 Listed $69,900 NORIS
- 2008-03-08 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2007-09-08 Listed $65,897 NORIS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,076 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…