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48 Palmer Rd Duplex
C Composite 55.23
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$324,900

48 Palmer Rd · Newport, ME 04953
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · MultiFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1993 3.17 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Nice ranch style Duplex each with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, both have open kitchen and living room, with laundry hookup. Recent updates with good tenant history over the years. Sellers have done many updates, including new windows in one unit. Both units heat very well. Sellers are motivated and will pay buyer's closing costs. Additional $500 bonus to the agent who brings an acceptable offer by February 1, 2020.

Key facts

  • Generous acreage
  • Spacious units
  • 3.17 acre lot

Tags

WELL MAINTAINED DUPLEXSPACIOUS UNITSIMMEDIATE INCOME POTENTIALPEACEFUL COUNTRY SETTINGEASY ACCESS TO INTERSTATEGENEROUS ACREAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two-unit property with gross income listed at $33,600; Operating expenses listed at $10,716; Actual rent noted at $1,400 per unit

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved off-street parking with 1–4 spaces
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Circuit breaker electric system; Water heaters: heat pump and off-heating-system configuration
  • Home design: Duplex; Built in 1993; Single-story units
  • Construction: Wood frame with vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Outbuilding / shed(s); Near turnpike/interstate; Near town; Rural setting; Level and wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Both units include a refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Each unit has 2 bedrooms (both units on the first level)
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (2 full bathrooms total)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump (provides heating and cooling); Baseboard heating; Hot water heating
  • Interior features: One-floor living; First-floor bedroom
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level; Each unit has a dedicated water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $52/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $279k (14.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $279k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#118 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • RSU 19 (rural): math 73% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #96 of 112 in ME (top 86%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 440 units permitted in Penobscot County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Penobscot County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $119k; list at $325k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $278,800 (14.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.68%
Cash-on-cash
1.37%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$183,525
Equity at exit
$292,696
10-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
6.88×
Total profit
$535,146
Equity at exit
$631,209

Cash invested: $90,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04953

Home prices YoY
13.2%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
19.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,788 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$259 /mo · $3,112/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$585
Net cashflow
$104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,656
Max offer price $324,900
Occupancy floor 91%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,788

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,225
Closing costs
$9,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $324,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,112 · $259/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,765 · $314/mo
Expected delta
+$653/yr (+$54/mo · 21.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,456
− Mortgage interest
−$18,199
− Property taxes
−$3,112
− Insurance
−$1,624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,676
− Management
−$2,676
− Depreciation
−$9,452
Taxable loss
−$4,285
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,028
After-tax cash flow
$2,276/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
RSU 19
NCES district ID
2314785
Math proficiency
73% ▲ 53.00%
Reading proficiency
81% ▲ 39.00%
Median HH income
$41,866
Composite
64.37/100
National rank
#548
State rank
#96 of 112 in ME

Livability — Newport

Score
61/100
State rank
#118
US rank
#17837

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,145

Population outlook (Penobscot County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
149,928 people
By 2030
146,386 · -2.4%
By 2040
135,952 · -9.3%
By 2050
123,864 · -17.4%
By 2075
97,825 · -34.8%
By 2100
77,196 · -48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 6% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Penobscot

2024 margin
R (+10.9) · D 43.6% · R 54.5% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: -10.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.9 2020: R+8.3 2016: R+10.9 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+5.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 37.37%
Current HPI
320.8626
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+171.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Price Changed $324,900 MREIS
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $349,900 MREIS
  • 2020-03-16 Sold (MLS) $119,000 MREIS
  • 2020-02-03 Pending MREIS
  • 2020-02-03 Pending MREIS
  • 2020-02-01 Delisted MREIS
  • 2020-01-09 Listed $125,000 MREIS
  • 2020-01-09 Listed $125,000 MREIS
  • 2020-01-09 Listed $125,000 MREIS
  • 2010-03-23 Listed $119,900 MREIS

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,112 · +15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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