1431 W Chambers St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bungalow style home on Milwaukee's north side. Large bedrooms and potential for a great rental property or first-time buyer home.
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1890
- Listed 69 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,334/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.36%
- DSCR
- 2.97
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,130
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -23.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2937 N 11th St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 1,347 (-1%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $115 | 82 |
| 3003 N 20th St | 0.38mi | 4/1.0 | 1,437 (+5%) | 2mo | $93,000 | $65 | 72 |
| 2453 N 15th St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,329 (-3%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $102 | 60 |
| 3162 N 16th St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-12%) | 4mo | $56,000 | $47 | 60 |
| 1225 W Keefe Ave | 0.61mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 1,294 (-5%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $70 | 57 |
| 3311 N 8th St | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 | 1,259 (-8%) | 2mo | $63,000 | $50 | 56 |
| 2748 N 11th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-12%) | 2mo | $54,900 | $46 | 55 |
| 1508 W Concordia Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,190 (-13%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $126 | 51 |
| 2548 N 18th St | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 | 1,510 (+10%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $86 | 51 |
| 3422 N 11th St | 0.60mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,249 (-9%) | 1mo | $159,000 | $127 | 48 |
| 3279 N Dr William Finlayson St | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 1,504 (+10%) | 1mo | $202,500 | $135 | 44 |
| 2513 N Teutonia Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,164 (-15%) | 1mo | $5,500 | $5 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.76×
- Total profit
- $73,351
- Equity at exit
- $49,548
- IRR
- 58.7%
- Equity multiple
- 14.32×
- Total profit
- $205,131
- Equity at exit
- $106,853
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53206
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,334 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$174 /mo · $2,083/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $569
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $600 | -5% $585 | +0% $569 | +5% $554 | +10% $538 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $464 | -5% $517 | +0% $569 | +5% $622 | +10% $675 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $597 | -0.5pp $583 | base $569 | +0.5pp $555 | +1.0pp $541 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3045 N 11th St #3047 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 5d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3298 N 13th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $895 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3416 N 17th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2945 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,195 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2741 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2741 N 23rd St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 18d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2308 W Clarke St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2106A W Keefe Ave Unit 2106 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 18d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2765 N 26th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2577 N Vel R Phillips Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 18d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2704 W Concordia Ave Unit Na Milwaukee, WI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $2,500 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2870 N 29th St #2872 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3388 N 27th St Unit 3388 Front House Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3042 N Palmer St #5 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1718 | $1,050 | $0.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 223 E Burleigh St Unit 223 Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1153 | $1,395 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2809 W Clarke St Unit 12811 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 18d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2724 N Palmer St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3703 N 1st St Unit Upper-3705 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3100 W Center St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,531 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3029 N Holton St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2119 W Brown St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1754 | $995 | $0.57 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 312 E Townsend St Unit 312 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,250 | $0.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2507 N Buffum St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,375 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2116 W Atkinson Ave Unit A Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1707 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 400 E Meinecke Ave #402 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 17d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 524 E Wright St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $55,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-04-13$55,000 Active 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Bungalow style home on Milwaukee's north side. Large bedrooms and potential for a great rental property or first-time buyer home.
-
2025-11-27historical 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Property being sold as is. Verbal lease and month to month rent.
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2025-08-04price $49,900 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Property being sold as is. Verbal lease and month to month rent.
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2025-04-28price $69,900 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Property being sold as is. Verbal lease and month to month rent.
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2025-04-12status Active 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Property being sold as is. Verbal lease and month to month rent.
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2025-03-21historical Contingent 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Property being sold as is. Verbal lease and month to month rent.
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2025-02-24$79,900 Active 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Property being sold as is. Verbal lease and month to month rent.
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2024-01-28historical $1,500
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2023-11-12$1,500
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2022-12-01historical
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2022-11-21soldstatus $44,000 Sold
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2022-11-08status Pending
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2022-10-29$45,000 Active
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2022-10-06$45,000 Active
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2021-02-07historical
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2021-01-30$50,000 Active
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2013-01-30$25,000
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2013-01-30historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,083 · $174/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,083 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,014
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$2,083
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,281
- − Management
- −$1,281
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $6,413
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,539
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,293/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,887
- Household income
- $29,336
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2061.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Two or more races 3% White 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Norwegian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 133.03%
- Current HPI
- 397.7151
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.28%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+120.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $55,000 METROMLS
- 2025-11-27 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $49,900 METROMLS
- 2025-04-28 Price Changed $69,900 METROMLS
- 2025-04-12 Relisted — METROMLS
- 2025-03-21 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2025-02-24 Listed $79,900 METROMLS
- 2024-01-28 Rental Removed $1,500 BUILDIUM
- 2023-11-12 Listed for Rent $1,500 BUILDIUM
- 2022-12-01 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2022-11-21 Sold (MLS) $44,000 METROMLS
- 2022-11-08 Pending — METROMLS
- 2022-10-29 Listed $45,000 METROMLS
- 2022-10-06 Listed $45,000 METROMLS
- 2021-02-07 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2021-01-30 Listed $50,000 METROMLS
- 2013-01-30 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-01-30 Listed $25,000 METROMLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2024): $2,083 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…