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1431 W Chambers St
A Composite 87.28
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$55,000

1431 W Chambers St · Milwaukee, WI 53206
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,366 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1890 3,049 sqft lot $40/sqft · 24% below area Est $72k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bungalow style home on Milwaukee's north side. Large bedrooms and potential for a great rental property or first-time buyer home.

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1890
  • Listed 69 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,334/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $44k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $51,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.43%
Cap rate
18.71%
Cash-on-cash
44.36%
DSCR
2.97
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,130
List price
$55,000
Delta
-23.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2937 N 11th St 0.24mi 4/2.0 1,347 (-1%) 1mo $155,000 $115 82
3003 N 20th St 0.38mi 4/1.0 1,437 (+5%) 2mo $93,000 $65 72
2453 N 15th St 0.67mi 4/2.0 1,329 (-3%) 0mo $135,000 $102 60
3162 N 16th St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-12%) 4mo $56,000 $47 60
1225 W Keefe Ave 0.61mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,294 (-5%) 1mo $90,000 $70 57
3311 N 8th St 0.61mi 4/1.0 1,259 (-8%) 2mo $63,000 $50 56
2748 N 11th St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-12%) 2mo $54,900 $46 55
1508 W Concordia Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,190 (-13%) 3mo $150,000 $126 51
2548 N 18th St 0.59mi 4/1.5 1,510 (+10%) 2mo $130,000 $86 51
3422 N 11th St 0.60mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,249 (-9%) 1mo $159,000 $127 48
3279 N Dr William Finlayson St 0.75mi 4/2.0 1,504 (+10%) 1mo $202,500 $135 44
2513 N Teutonia Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,164 (-15%) 1mo $5,500 $5 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.9%
Equity multiple
5.76×
Total profit
$73,351
Equity at exit
$49,548
10-year hold
IRR
58.7%
Equity multiple
14.32×
Total profit
$205,131
Equity at exit
$106,853

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53206

Rents YoY
8.3%
Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,334 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$174 /mo · $2,083/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$569

Break-even live

Break-even rent $614
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $600 -5% $585 +0% $569 +5% $554 +10% $538
Rent -10% $464 -5% $517 +0% $569 +5% $622 +10% $675
Rate -1.0pp $597 -0.5pp $583 base $569 +0.5pp $555 +1.0pp $541

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3045 N 11th St #3047 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1065 $1,175 $1.10 5d 1 0.24mi
3298 N 13th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 885 $895 $1.01 45d 1 0.43mi
3416 N 17th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 45d 1 0.53mi
2945 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,195 $1.18 45d 1 0.58mi
2741 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 15d 1 0.65mi
2741 N 23rd St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 18d 1 0.65mi
2308 W Clarke St Milwaukee, WI 4.0 2.0 1545 $1,750 $1.13 25d 1 0.75mi
2106A W Keefe Ave Unit 2106 Lower Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 18d 1 0.80mi
2765 N 26th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,200 $1.07 5d 1 0.87mi
2577 N Vel R Phillips Ave Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1048 $1,400 $1.34 18d 1 0.88mi
2704 W Concordia Ave Unit Na Milwaukee, WI 5.0 2.0 1856 $2,500 $1.35 25d 1 0.99mi
2870 N 29th St #2872 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,250 $0.96 45d 1 0.99mi
3388 N 27th St Unit 3388 Front House Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1212 $1,550 $1.28 5d 1 1.02mi
2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.5 1098 $1,595 $1.45 3d 1 1.06mi
3042 N Palmer St #5 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1718 $1,050 $0.61 25d 1 1.06mi
223 E Burleigh St Unit 223 Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1153 $1,395 $1.21 45d 1 1.08mi
2809 W Clarke St Unit 12811 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 18d 1 1.08mi
2724 N Palmer St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 45d 1 1.10mi
3703 N 1st St Unit Upper-3705 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1034 $1,200 $1.16 45d 1 1.22mi
3100 W Center St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 2.0 1174 $1,531 $1.30 3d 1 1.23mi
3029 N Holton St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 980 $1,200 $1.22 45d 1 1.24mi
2119 W Brown St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1754 $995 $0.57 4d 1 1.27mi
312 E Townsend St Unit 312 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,250 $0.89 25d 1 1.27mi
2507 N Buffum St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,375 $1.06 21d 1 1.32mi
2116 W Atkinson Ave Unit A Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1707 $2,000 $1.17 3d 1 1.37mi
400 E Meinecke Ave #402 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,800 $1.06 17d 1 1.41mi
524 E Wright St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,275 $1.42 15d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,000 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $55,000 Active 52 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 51 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 50 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 49 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 48 DOM
  16. 2026-04-13
    listed $55,000 Active 129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    Bungalow style home on Milwaukee's north side. Large bedrooms and potential for a great rental property or first-time buyer home.

  17. 2025-11-27
    historical 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Property being sold as is. Verbal lease and month to month rent.

  18. 2025-08-04
    price $49,900 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Property being sold as is. Verbal lease and month to month rent.

  19. 2025-04-28
    price $69,900 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Property being sold as is. Verbal lease and month to month rent.

  20. 2025-04-12
    status Active 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Property being sold as is. Verbal lease and month to month rent.

  21. 2025-03-21
    historical Contingent 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Property being sold as is. Verbal lease and month to month rent.

  22. 2025-02-24
    listed $79,900 Active 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Property being sold as is. Verbal lease and month to month rent.

  23. 2024-01-28
    historical $1,500
  24. 2023-11-12
    listed $1,500
  25. 2022-12-01
    historical
  26. 2022-11-21
    soldstatus $44,000 Sold
  27. 2022-11-08
    status Pending
  28. 2022-10-29
    listed $45,000 Active
  29. 2022-10-06
    listed $45,000 Active
  30. 2021-02-07
    historical
  31. 2021-01-30
    listed $50,000 Active
  32. 2013-01-30
    listed $25,000
  33. 2013-01-30
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,083 · $174/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,083 · $174/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,014
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$2,083
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,281
− Management
−$1,281
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$6,413
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,539
After-tax cash flow
$5,293/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milwaukee School District
NCES district ID
5509600
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,339
Composite
11.61/100
National rank
#9696
State rank
#337 of 342 in WI

Livability — Milwaukee

Score
81/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#1534

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milwaukee, WI
County
Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
City population
573,768
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
Population (ZIP)
19,887
Household income
$29,336
Rent vs Own
67.8% rent · 32.2% own
Severe rent burden
2061.0

Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
995,758 people
By 2030
1,009,124 · +1.3%
By 2040
1,028,128 · +3.3%
By 2050
1,040,066 · +4.4%
By 2075
1,057,849 · +6.2%
By 2100
1,039,774 · +4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Two or more races 3% White 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Norwegian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 133.03%
Current HPI
397.7151
Rent YoY
▲ 8.28%
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.0% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $55,000 METROMLS
  • 2025-11-27 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2025-08-04 Price Changed $49,900 METROMLS
  • 2025-04-28 Price Changed $69,900 METROMLS
  • 2025-04-12 Relisted METROMLS
  • 2025-03-21 Contingent METROMLS
  • 2025-02-24 Listed $79,900 METROMLS
  • 2024-01-28 Rental Removed $1,500 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-11-12 Listed for Rent $1,500 BUILDIUM
  • 2022-12-01 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2022-11-21 Sold (MLS) $44,000 METROMLS
  • 2022-11-08 Pending METROMLS
  • 2022-10-29 Listed $45,000 METROMLS
  • 2022-10-06 Listed $45,000 METROMLS
  • 2021-02-07 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2021-01-30 Listed $50,000 METROMLS
  • 2013-01-30 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2013-01-30 Listed $25,000 METROMLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,083 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…