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251 Inverness Ln
B+ Composite 76.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

251 Inverness Ln · Toledo, OH 48182
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Other · 301 Days on market
Built 1992 3,200 sqft lot $41/sqft · 25% below area Est $80k · 25% under $460/mo HOA · 34% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom, 2 full baths, with over 1,400 sq. ft. of living area, manufactured home in Inverness II mobile home park, covered deck, carport, appliances included with sale of home, Bedford Schools, current monthly lot rent $460. Home has recently been updated and interior painted. Refrigerator, Range/Oven, Washer & Dryer are new within the last year.

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Interior painted
  • Recently updated

Tags

COVERED DECKCARPORTAPPLIANCES INCLUDEDRECENTLY UPDATEDINTERIOR PAINTEDNEW REFRIGERATOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Bedford Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #150 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 301 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $33k; list at $60k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Recommended offer $52,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 301 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.29%
Cap rate
10.49%
Cash-on-cash
14.99%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$80,252
List price
$59,900
Delta
-25.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$3,942
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$21,848
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,371 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$460
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,106
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6255 S Telegraph Erie, MI 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,288 $1.09 14d 3 0.59mi
1417 Primrose Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1411 $1,625 $1.15 14d 1 0.98mi
927 W Northgate Pkwy Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 896 $1,100 $1.23 14d 1 1.24mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$460 · $5,520/yr

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 301 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 300 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 299 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 298 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 296 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 293 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 292 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 291 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 290 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 286 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 285 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 284 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 283 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 282 DOM
  15. 2025-08-19
    listed $59,900 Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 full baths, with over 1,400 sq. ft. of living area, manufactured home in Inverness II mobile home park, covered deck, carport, appliances included with sale of home, Bedford Schools, current monthly lot rent $460. Home has recently been updated and interior painted. Refrigerator, Range/Oven, Washer & Dryer are new within the last year.

  16. 2025-08-19
    listed $59,900 Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 full baths, with over 1,400 sq. ft. of living area, manufactured home in Inverness II mobile home park, covered deck, carport, appliances included with sale of home, Bedford Schools, current monthly lot rent $460. Home has recently been updated and interior painted. Refrigerator, Range/Oven, Washer & Dryer are new within the last year.

  17. 2024-01-26
    soldstatus $33,000 Sold
  18. 2024-01-26
    soldstatus $33,000 Closed
  19. 2024-01-26
    soldstatus $33,000
  20. 2024-01-25
    status Pending
  21. 2024-01-25
    status Pending
  22. 2023-08-16
    listed $40,000 Active
  23. 2023-08-15
    listed $40,000 Active
  24. 2023-08-15
    listed $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,458
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,317
− Management
−$1,317
− HOA
−$5,520
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$2,009
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$482
After-tax cash flow
$2,032/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bedford Public Schools
NCES district ID
2604470
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$63,784
Composite
38.22/100
National rank
#4252
State rank
#150 of 540 in MI

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Monroe · 13,010 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Monroe, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,705
Household income
$83,155
Rent vs Own
16.9% rent · 83.1% own
Severe rent burden
12.7

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,439 people
By 2030
140,033 · -3.1%
By 2040
128,408 · -11.1%
By 2050
115,024 · -20.4%
By 2075
87,273 · -39.6%
By 2100
63,110 · -56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.99%
Current HPI
158.2484
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+49.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-19 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-19 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-01-26 Sold (MLS) $33,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-01-26 Sold (MLS) $33,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-01-26 Sold (MLS) $33,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-01-25 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-01-25 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-08-16 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-08-15 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-15 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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