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10423 Red Oak Dr
D+ Composite 49.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$117,000

10423 Red Oak Dr · Baton Rouge, LA 70815
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 914 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1963 0.57 ac lot $128/sqft · 12% below area Est $135k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Large fenced yard
  • Natural light
  • Half acre lot

Tags

HALF ACRE LOTMATURE TREESNATURAL LIGHTPAINTED HARDWOOD FLOORSLARGE FENCED YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($734/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (10.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
  • East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 17 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $98k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,508 (10.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.24%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,051
List price
$117,000
Delta
-13.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11162 Black Oak Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 886 (-3%) 15mo $139,000 $157 56
10945 Red Oak Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 964 (+6%) 16mo $125,000 $130 55
10466 Red Oak Dr 0.05mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (+15%) 18mo $120,000 $114 53
11385 Catalpa St 0.74mi 3/1.5 976 (+7%) 5mo $147,900 $152 48
11014 Chalice Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,045 (+14%) 18mo $115,000 $110 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-15,076
Equity at exit
$17,445
10-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-8,159
Equity at exit
$10,116

Cash invested: $32,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70815

Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,045 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$614
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,226/yr
Insurance
$49
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$61

Break-even live

Break-even rent $968
Max offer price $117,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,250
Closing costs
$3,510
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
655 Sharp Ln Apt 383 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 800 $829 $1.04 44d 1 0.37mi
655 Sharp Ln Apt 252 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 800 $829 $1.04 14d 1 0.37mi
655 Sharp Ln Apt 245 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 800 $869 $1.09 14d 1 0.37mi
655 Sharp Ln Unit 368 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 800 $815 $1.02 14d 1 0.37mi
655 Sharp Ln Unit 393 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 800 $970 $1.21 14d 1 0.37mi
655 Sharp Ln Unit 003 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.5 800 $985 $1.23 44d 1 0.37mi
655 Sharp Ln Unit 246 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 800 $849 $1.06 14d 1 0.37mi
655 Sharp Ln Unit 102 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 800 $924 $1.16 44d 1 0.37mi
655 Sharp Ln Unit 250 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 800 $889 $1.11 44d 1 0.37mi
567 Sharp Ln Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 914 $1,174 $1.28 14d 18 0.45mi
260 Sharp Rd Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 617 $1,019 $1.65 14d 8 0.59mi
11271 Florida Blvd Unit 208 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 925 $950 $1.03 44d 1 0.60mi
10950 Darryl Dr Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–4.0 1.0–3.0 1090 $1,269 $1.16 14d 86 0.68mi
10241 Cashel Ave Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 21d 1 0.70mi
10241 Cashel Ave Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 23d 1 0.70mi
11440 Bard Ave Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1037 $1,350 $1.30 14d 1 0.84mi
9262 Florida Blvd Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 950 $775 $0.82 44d 1 1.19mi
9228 Florida Blvd Unit 8 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.5 972 $750 $0.77 23d 1 1.24mi
9228 Florida Blvd Apt 16 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 2.0 1000 $800 $0.80 44d 1 1.24mi
9228 Florida Blvd Unit 38 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 2.0 1000 $800 $0.80 14d 1 1.24mi
9228 Florida Blvd Unit 18 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 2.0 1000 $800 $0.80 23d 1 1.25mi
1511 Cristy Dr Apt E Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.5 1000 $825 $0.82 44d 1 1.38mi
1511 Cristy Dr Unit G Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.5 900 $800 $0.89 23d 1 1.38mi
9135 Great Smokey Ave Unit A Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 1083 $850 $0.78 14d 1 1.40mi
9135 Great Smokey Ave Unit C Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $800 $0.80 23d 1 1.40mi
9135 Great Smokey Ave Unit A Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 1083 $850 $0.78 44d 1 1.40mi
12254 La Margie Ave Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1001 $979 $0.98 14d 29 1.44mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $117,000 Pending 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $117,000 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $117,000 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $117,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $117,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $117,000 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $117,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-05-15
    price $117,000 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!

  9. 2026-05-15
    price $117,000 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!

  10. 2026-04-29
    status Active 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!

  11. 2026-04-29
    status Active 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!

  12. 2026-04-08
    status Pending 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!

  13. 2026-04-08
    status Pending 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!

  14. 2026-03-27
    status Active 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!

  15. 2026-03-27
    status Active 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!

  16. 2026-03-18
    status Pending 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!

  17. 2026-03-18
    status Pending 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2026-03-10
    listed $120,000 Active 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2026-03-10
    listed $120,000 Active 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!

  20. 2020-08-10
    soldstatus $97,500
  21. 2020-08-07
    soldstatus Sold
  22. 2020-05-31
    status Pending
  23. 2020-05-21
    price $99,900
  24. 2019-11-20
    price $104,500
  25. 2019-10-03
    status Active
  26. 2019-10-02
    historical
  27. 2019-08-28
    price $105,000
  28. 2019-07-30
    price $112,000
  29. 2019-06-16
    listed $115,000 Active
  30. 2019-06-16
    listed $99,900
  31. 2010-03-27
    listed $110,000
  32. 2010-03-27
    listed $110,000
  33. 2008-08-13
    soldstatus $100,000
  34. 2008-07-31
    soldstatus
  35. 2008-06-04
    listed $100,000
  36. 2008-06-04
    listed $100,000
  37. 2005-10-06
    soldstatus
  38. 2005-06-09
    listed $52,000
  39. 2005-06-09
    listed $52,000
  40. 1998-05-27
    soldstatus
  41. 1998-02-17
    listed $49,850
  42. 1998-02-17
    listed $49,850

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,226 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,226 · $102/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,541
− Mortgage interest
−$6,554
− Property taxes
−$1,226
− Insurance
−$585
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,003
− Management
−$1,003
− Depreciation
−$3,404
Taxable loss
−$1,234
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$296
After-tax cash flow
$1,030/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Baton Rouge Parish
NCES district ID
2200540
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$46,263
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7745
State rank
#47 of 98 in LA

Livability — Baton Rouge

Score
74/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#4535

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baton Rouge, LA
County
East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
City population
351,868
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
Population (ZIP)
31,024
Household income
$59,254
Rent vs Own
36.2% rent · 63.8% own
Severe rent burden
1461.0

Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
464,810 people
By 2030
472,137 · +1.6%
By 2040
480,243 · +3.3%
By 2050
484,422 · +4.2%
By 2075
492,069 · +5.9%
By 2100
476,347 · +2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Estonian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 5% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge

2024 margin
D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.28%
Current HPI
181.3654
Rent YoY
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+134.7% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $117,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $117,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $120,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $120,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2020-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $97,500 Public Records
  • 2020-08-07 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2020-05-31 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2020-05-21 Price Changed $99,900 GBRMLS
  • 2019-11-20 Price Changed $104,500 GBRMLS
  • 2019-10-03 Relisted GBRMLS
  • 2019-10-02 Delisted GBRMLS
  • 2019-08-28 Price Changed $105,000 GBRMLS
  • 2019-07-30 Price Changed $112,000 GBRMLS
  • 2019-06-16 Listed $99,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2019-06-16 Listed $115,000 GBRMLS
  • 2010-03-27 Listed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2010-03-27 Listed $110,000 GBRMLS
  • 2008-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2008-07-31 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2008-06-04 Listed $100,000 GBRMLS
  • 2008-06-04 Listed $100,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2005-10-06 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2005-06-09 Listed $52,000 GBRMLS
  • 2005-06-09 Listed $52,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 1998-05-27 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 1998-02-17 Listed $49,850 AcadianaMLS
  • 1998-02-17 Listed $49,850 GBRMLS

Property tax history

+11.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,226 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…