10423 Red Oak Dr · Baton Rouge, LA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$117,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Large fenced yard
- Natural light
- Half acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($734/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (10.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $105k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 17 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $98k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.24%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,051
- List price
- $117,000
- Delta
- -13.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11162 Black Oak Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 886 (-3%) | 15mo | $139,000 | $157 | 56 |
| 10945 Red Oak Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 964 (+6%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $130 | 55 |
| 10466 Red Oak Dr | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (+15%) | 18mo | $120,000 | $114 | 53 |
| 11385 Catalpa St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 976 (+7%) | 5mo | $147,900 | $152 | 48 |
| 11014 Chalice Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,045 (+14%) | 18mo | $115,000 | $110 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-15,076
- Equity at exit
- $17,445
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-8,159
- Equity at exit
- $10,116
Cash invested: $32,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70815
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,045 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$614
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,226/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $61
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,250
- Closing costs
- $3,510
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655 Sharp Ln Apt 383 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $829 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 655 Sharp Ln Apt 252 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $829 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 655 Sharp Ln Apt 245 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $869 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 655 Sharp Ln Unit 368 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $815 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 655 Sharp Ln Unit 393 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $970 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 655 Sharp Ln Unit 003 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $985 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 655 Sharp Ln Unit 246 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $849 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 655 Sharp Ln Unit 102 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $924 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 655 Sharp Ln Unit 250 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $889 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 567 Sharp Ln Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 914 | $1,174 | $1.28 | 14d | 18 | 0.45mi |
| 260 Sharp Rd Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 617 | $1,019 | $1.65 | 14d | 8 | 0.59mi |
| 11271 Florida Blvd Unit 208 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $950 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 10950 Darryl Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1090 | $1,269 | $1.16 | 14d | 86 | 0.68mi |
| 10241 Cashel Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 10241 Cashel Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 11440 Bard Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 9262 Florida Blvd Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $775 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9228 Florida Blvd Unit 8 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $750 | $0.77 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9228 Florida Blvd Apt 16 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9228 Florida Blvd Unit 38 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9228 Florida Blvd Unit 18 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1511 Cristy Dr Apt E Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $825 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1511 Cristy Dr Unit G Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 9135 Great Smokey Ave Unit A Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1083 | $850 | $0.78 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 9135 Great Smokey Ave Unit C Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 9135 Great Smokey Ave Unit A Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1083 | $850 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 12254 La Margie Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1001 | $979 | $0.98 | 14d | 29 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $117,000 Pending 55 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $117,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $117,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $117,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $117,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $117,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $117,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-05-15price $117,000 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-15price $117,000 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-29status Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-29status Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-08status Pending 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-08status Pending 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-27status Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-27status Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-18status Pending 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-18status Pending 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-10$120,000 Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-10$120,000 Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home on half acre lot with mature trees for shade. Plenty of natural light and painted hardwood floors. New A/C installed March 2025. The back yard is large and fenced in. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-08-10soldstatus $97,500
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2020-08-07soldstatus Sold
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2020-05-31status Pending
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2020-05-21price $99,900
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2019-11-20price $104,500
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2019-10-03status Active
-
2019-10-02historical
-
2019-08-28price $105,000
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2019-07-30price $112,000
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2019-06-16$115,000 Active
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2019-06-16$99,900
-
2010-03-27$110,000
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2010-03-27$110,000
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2008-08-13soldstatus $100,000
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2008-07-31soldstatus
-
2008-06-04$100,000
-
2008-06-04$100,000
-
2005-10-06soldstatus
-
2005-06-09$52,000
-
2005-06-09$52,000
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1998-05-27soldstatus
-
1998-02-17$49,850
-
1998-02-17$49,850
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,226 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,226 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,541
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,554
- − Property taxes
- −$1,226
- − Insurance
- −$585
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,003
- − Management
- −$1,003
- − Depreciation
- −$3,404
- Taxable loss
- −$1,234
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$296
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,030/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Baton Rouge
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #4535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baton Rouge, LA
- County
- East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
- City population
- 351,868
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,024
- Household income
- $59,254
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1461.0
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Estonian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 5% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.28%
- Current HPI
- 181.3654
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+134.7% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $117,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $117,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2026-04-08 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-08 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2026-03-18 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-18 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $120,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $120,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $97,500 Public Records
- 2020-08-07 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2020-05-31 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2020-05-21 Price Changed $99,900 GBRMLS
- 2019-11-20 Price Changed $104,500 GBRMLS
- 2019-10-03 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2019-10-02 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2019-08-28 Price Changed $105,000 GBRMLS
- 2019-07-30 Price Changed $112,000 GBRMLS
- 2019-06-16 Listed $99,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-06-16 Listed $115,000 GBRMLS
- 2010-03-27 Listed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2010-03-27 Listed $110,000 GBRMLS
- 2008-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2008-07-31 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2008-06-04 Listed $100,000 GBRMLS
- 2008-06-04 Listed $100,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2005-10-06 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2005-06-09 Listed $52,000 GBRMLS
- 2005-06-09 Listed $52,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1998-05-27 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 1998-02-17 Listed $49,850 AcadianaMLS
- 1998-02-17 Listed $49,850 GBRMLS
Property tax history
+11.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,226 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…