2514 Beals St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
West Village location at East Village pricing! Updated colonial in a highly desirable area offering 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. This home features fresh paint and new flooring throughout, creating a clean, move-in-ready feel. The flexible layout includes two bedrooms on the main floor and three additional bedrooms upstairs - ideal for a variety of living arrangements. The kitchen is nicely updated with stainless steel appliances and quartz countertops, blending style and functionality. A great opportunity to own a spacious, updated home in a sought-after neighborhood.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Flexible layout
- Updated colonial
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water and sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 0.07 acres (approx. 32.05 x 102)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Radiant heating; Steam heating; No central air
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; 7 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $553 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,197/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1364% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 16 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $86k; list at $180k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.17%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $127,022
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- 49.50%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $6,042
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $50,568
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48214
- Active inventory
- 298
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,197 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,977/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$461
- Net cashflow
- $553
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4169 Burns St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1326 | $2,300 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 8843 E Canfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 49 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 573-char remark
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2026-06-02pricedays on market $179,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $189,900 528-char remark
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2026-05-12price $189,900 532-char remark
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2026-04-28$199,900 Active 528-char remark
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2026-04-28$199,900 Active 532-char remark
-
2026-04-09historical $2,200
-
2026-04-09historical
-
2026-04-09historical
-
2026-03-24$2,200
-
2026-03-24historical $2,200
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2026-03-23$2,200
-
2026-03-04price $230,000
-
2026-03-03price $230,000
-
2026-02-05$269,900 Active
-
2026-02-05$269,900 Active
-
2026-01-28historical
-
2026-01-28historical
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2026-01-17price $280,000
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2026-01-16price $280,000
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2025-12-18price $285,000
-
2025-12-18price $285,000
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2025-11-26$295,000 Active
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2025-11-25$295,000 Active
-
2025-08-20soldstatus $86,000
-
2023-08-22historical
-
2023-08-22historical
-
2023-05-22$124,900 Active
-
2023-05-22$124,900 Active
-
2023-02-23historical
-
2023-02-22historical
-
2022-10-31$159,900 Active
-
2022-10-31$159,900 Active
-
2022-09-29historical
-
2022-09-29historical
-
2022-08-24price $129,900
-
2022-08-23price $129,900
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2022-01-28$130,000 Active
-
2022-01-28$130,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,977 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,374 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- +$397/yr (+$33/mo · 20.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,366
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$1,977
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,109
- − Management
- −$2,109
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $3,960
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$950
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,681/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,595
- Household income
- $33,544
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1364.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 79% White 16% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -367.43%
- Current HPI
- 102.0969
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+38.4% since first listed41 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $179,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-01 Listed $179,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $189,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $189,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-28 Listed $199,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $199,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Rental Removed $2,200 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-24 Listed for Rent $2,200 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-24 Rental Removed $2,200 REALSOURCE
- 2026-03-23 Listed for Rent $2,200 REALSOURCE
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $230,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $230,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-05 Listed $269,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-05 Listed $269,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-17 Price Changed $280,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $280,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $285,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $285,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-26 Listed $295,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-25 Listed $295,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-08-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-05-22 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-05-22 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2023-02-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-02-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-10-31 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-31 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-09-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-09-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-08-24 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-23 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-01-28 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-28 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+12.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,977 · -49.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…