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38-40 Silver Ln Duplex
B- Composite 68.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

38-40 Silver Ln · East Hartford, CT 06118
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,456 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1920 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

2 family property

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 11 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $974 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $487/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $210k).
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.2% in East Hartford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#76 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, commute A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • East Hartford School District (urban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #140 of 153 in CT (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Silver Lane School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #490 of 553 statewide, top 90%, 233 students, 84% FRL); East Hartford High School (math 11% / reading 33%, grade F, #156 of 194 statewide, top 82%, 1,698 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 57% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,526/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 820% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $210,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
11.86%
Cash-on-cash
19.87%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$28,256
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$105,569
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06118

Home prices YoY
-33.7%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,526 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$623 /mo · $7,478/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$740
Net cashflow
$974

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,294
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,092 -5% $1,033 +0% $974 +5% $914 +10% $855
Rent -10% $695 -5% $834 +0% $974 +5% $1,113 +10% $1,252
Rate -1.0pp $1,079 -0.5pp $1,027 base $974 +0.5pp $919 +1.0pp $864

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,526

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-02-03
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-02-03
    status Active
  3. 2026-01-30
    historical
  4. 2026-01-13
    listed $210,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,478 · $623/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,478 · $623/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,312
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$7,478
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,385
− Management
−$3,385
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$9,142
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,194
After-tax cash flow
$9,489/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Hartford School District
NCES district ID
0901260
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$49,691
Composite
20.74/100
National rank
#8519
State rank
#140 of 153 in CT

Livability — East Hartford

Score
73/100
State rank
#76
US rank
#5527

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A- Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Hartford, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
50,918
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
27,419
Household income
$79,740
Rent vs Own
27.6% rent · 72.4% own
Severe rent burden
820.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 33% Black 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 22% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -127.16%
Current HPI
250.5647
Rent YoY
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-03 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-02-03 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $210,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,478 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…