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5000 Auburn Blvd #18
B- Composite 68.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

5000 Auburn Blvd #18 · North Highlands, CA 95841
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 420 sqft · Manufactured · 62 Days on market
Built 2009 Fair condition $83/sqft · at area comps Est $35k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in Sacramento, this 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home features central forced air heating and a cooling system categorized as "Other." The bathroom includes both a shower and tub combination. While the property does not have an informal dining room or a family room, it offers functional living space suited to a variety of needs. There is no garage available with the home. The property is part of the Sacramento City Unified elementary school district. This residence provides an opportunity to live within the city limits of Sacramento with access to local district schools.

Key facts

  • Cooling system
  • Built 2009
  • Listed 62 days

Tags

CENTRAL FORCED AIR HEATINGCOOLING SYSTEMSHOWER AND TUB COMBINATIONFUNCTIONAL LIVING SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $814 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 34.2% vs local median 4.1% in North Highlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#523 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Twin Rivers Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #970 of 1,400 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 25% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $32,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.82%
Cap rate
34.20%
Cash-on-cash
99.66%
DSCR
5.43
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$35,000
List price
$35,000
Delta
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5000 Auburn Blvd #17 0.00mi 1/1.0 408 (-3%) 3mo $35,000 $86 93
5000 Auburn Blvd #41 0.03mi 1/1.0 432 (+3%) 7mo $20,000 $46 88
5000 Auburn Blvd #12 0.00mi 1/1.0 432 (+3%) 11mo $54,000 $125 86

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
97.3%
Equity multiple
5.31×
Total profit
$42,268
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
99.4%
Equity multiple
10.03×
Total profit
$88,499
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95841

Rents YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,336 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $525/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$814

Break-even live

Break-even rent $306
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 44 DOM
  14. 2026-04-28
    price $35,000 588-char remark
    Show marketing remark (588 chars)

    Located in Sacramento, this 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home features central forced air heating and a cooling system categorized as "Other." The bathroom includes both a shower and tub combination. While the property does not have an informal dining room or a family room, it offers functional living space suited to a variety of needs. There is no garage available with the home. The property is part of the Sacramento City Unified elementary school district. This residence provides an opportunity to live within the city limits of Sacramento with access to local district schools.

  15. 2026-04-28
    price $35,000 588-char remark
    Show marketing remark (588 chars)

    Located in Sacramento, this 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home features central forced air heating and a cooling system categorized as "Other." The bathroom includes both a shower and tub combination. While the property does not have an informal dining room or a family room, it offers functional living space suited to a variety of needs. There is no garage available with the home. The property is part of the Sacramento City Unified elementary school district. This residence provides an opportunity to live within the city limits of Sacramento with access to local district schools.

  16. 2026-04-17
    listed $28,000 Active 588-char remark
    Show marketing remark (588 chars)

    Located in Sacramento, this 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home features central forced air heating and a cooling system categorized as "Other." The bathroom includes both a shower and tub combination. While the property does not have an informal dining room or a family room, it offers functional living space suited to a variety of needs. There is no garage available with the home. The property is part of the Sacramento City Unified elementary school district. This residence provides an opportunity to live within the city limits of Sacramento with access to local district schools.

  17. 2026-04-17
    listed $28,000 Active 588-char remark
    Show marketing remark (588 chars)

    Located in Sacramento, this 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home features central forced air heating and a cooling system categorized as "Other." The bathroom includes both a shower and tub combination. While the property does not have an informal dining room or a family room, it offers functional living space suited to a variety of needs. There is no garage available with the home. The property is part of the Sacramento City Unified elementary school district. This residence provides an opportunity to live within the city limits of Sacramento with access to local district schools.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 36 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,037
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$525
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,283
− Management
−$1,283
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$9,792
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,350
After-tax cash flow
$7,416/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

The home is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed, such as painting and flooring replacement, to increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Paint — Paint appears slightly faded in some areas.
  • Minor Flooring — Light scratches and scuffs visible on the wooden flooring.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the interior and exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace flooring — New flooring would improve the home's appearance and add value.
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances would make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Paint · Paint appears slightly faded in some areas. Minor $500–3,000
Flooring · Light scratches and scuffs visible on the wooden flooring. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the interior and exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace flooring — New flooring would improve the home's appearance and add value.
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances would make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Twin Rivers Unified
NCES district ID
0601332
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$42,481
Composite
30.67/100
National rank
#11437
State rank
#970 of 1400 in CA

Livability — North Highlands

Score
61/100
State rank
#523
US rank
#17613

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Highlands, CA
County
Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
City population
56,900
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
20,500
Household income
$61,054
Rent vs Own
65.3% rent · 34.7% own
Severe rent burden
1353.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Black 9% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
70% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 11% Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -227.82%
Current HPI
369.8991
Rent YoY
▼ -1.08%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $35,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $35,000 MLSListings
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $28,000 MLSListings
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $28,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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