2712 Amelia Ave · Belvedere Park, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming ranch home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. This home includes a comfortable living area with a fireplace and a functional kitchen layout. Home sits on a spacious lot and has an attached carport.
Key facts
- Attached carport
- Spacious lot
- Fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($380/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in Belvedere Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#153 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Peachcrest Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,160 of 1,228 statewide, top 98%, 677 students, 100% FRL); The Champion Middle Theme School (math 21% / reading 52%, grade F, #167 of 470 statewide, top 38%, 751 students, 100% FRL); Towers High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #385 of 424 statewide, top 92%, 764 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 431 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.82%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $332,493
- List price
- $164,900
- Delta
- -50.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2712 Joyce Ave | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,095 (-6%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $274 | 78 |
| 1767 Thomas St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,042 (-10%) | 2mo | $167,500 | $161 | 74 |
| 2822 Joyce Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-14%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $185 | 62 |
| 2913 Santa Monica Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (+4%) | 5mo | $321,038 | $266 | 62 |
| 2529 Amelia Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,247 (+8%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $293 | 61 |
| 1909 Meadow Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,175 (+1%) | 4mo | $208,000 | $177 | 60 |
| 2545 Saint Patrick St SE | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-7%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $218 | 56 |
| 2769 Glenvalley Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,331 (+15%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $255 | 54 |
| 2628 Northview Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-12%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $127 | 54 |
| 2502 E Tupelo St SE | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-7%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $278 | 52 |
| 1884 Meadow Ln | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,090 (-6%) | 5mo | $163,900 | $150 | 51 |
| 2812 Mitchell Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,002 (-14%) | 5mo | $172,000 | $172 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-27,361
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- -12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-31,760
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30032
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 431
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,695 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$374 /mo · $4,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $32
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $125 | -5% $78 | +0% $32 | +5% $-15 | +10% $-62 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-102 | -5% $-35 | +0% $32 | +5% $99 | +10% $166 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $115 | -0.5pp $74 | base $32 | +0.5pp $-11 | +1.0pp $-55 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2721 White Oak Dr Decatur, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 975 | $1,190 | $1.22 | 45d | 3 | 0.03mi |
| 2706 White Oak Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $2,175 | $1.71 | 22d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2706 White Oak Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $2,175 | $1.71 | 1d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2758 Amelia Ave Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,500 | $1.76 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 2771 White Oak Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,524 | $1.48 | 7d | 2 | 0.13mi |
| 2674 Joyce Ave Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,044 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1627 Line Cir Unit 4 Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1630 Line St Unit 1 Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 17d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1610 Line St Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1607 Line Cir Apt 2 Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 19d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1596 Line Cir Apt 1 Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $995 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2577 Eastwood Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $1,700 | $1.58 | 20d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2577 Eastwood Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $1,700 | $1.58 | 26d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2873 White Oak Dr Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 816 | $1,800 | $2.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3529 Robins Landing Way Decatur, GA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1042 | $1,443 | $1.38 | 1d | 36 | 0.42mi |
| 3529 Robins Landing Way Decatur, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $1,677 | $1.71 | 45d | 26 | 0.42mi |
| 3106 Memorial Dr Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 802 | $1,850 | $2.31 | 19d | 9 | 0.50mi |
| 3106 Memorial Dr SE Unit G203 Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,850 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3106 Memorial Dr SE Unit N204 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,695 | $1.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1689 San Gabriel Ave Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,450 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1693 San Gabriel Ave Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,995 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1972 Don Juan Ln Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,799 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1711 Candler Rd Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,860 | $1.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1622 Venice Dr SE Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,675 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1598 San Gabriel Ave Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $2,023 | $1.39 | 26d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1994 Don Juan Ln Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1994 Don Juan Ln Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 1d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3010 Santa Monica Dr Decatur, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,095 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2931 Glenwood Ave SE Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,750 | $2.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2912 Glenwood Ave SE Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1063 | $1,650 | $1.55 | 0d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2039 Nettie Ct Unit RT Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $1,600 | $1.64 | 26d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2939 Belvedere Ln Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,595 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2939 Belvedere Ln Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,595 | $1.06 | 12d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 251 Candler Rd SE Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,305 | $1.54 | 18d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3024 Pasadena Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $1,958 | $1.81 | 1d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1930 Normal St Decatur, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,850 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2110 Dellwood Pl Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 531 Allendale Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $2,100 | $2.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1966 Glendale Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1211 | $800 | $0.66 | 1d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1972 Glendale Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1211 | $1,790 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $164,900 Under Contract 157 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Back On Market 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Back On Market 154 DOM
-
2026-06-16status $164,900 Back On Market 153 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $164,900 Under Contract 153 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $164,900 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
Charming ranch home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. This home includes a comfortable living area with a fireplace and a functional kitchen layout. Home sits on a spacious lot and has an attached carport.
-
2026-03-12price $179,900 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
Charming ranch home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. This home includes a comfortable living area with a fireplace and a functional kitchen layout. Home sits on a spacious lot and has an attached carport.
-
2026-02-25price $194,900 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
Charming ranch home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. This home includes a comfortable living area with a fireplace and a functional kitchen layout. Home sits on a spacious lot and has an attached carport.
-
2025-12-30$199,900 New 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
Charming ranch home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. This home includes a comfortable living area with a fireplace and a functional kitchen layout. Home sits on a spacious lot and has an attached carport.
-
2022-02-24soldstatus $4,479,001
-
2017-07-24soldstatus $1,097,900
-
2014-10-15soldstatus $735,800
-
2014-01-14soldstatus $58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,485 · $374/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,485 · $374/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,337
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$4,485
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,627
- − Management
- −$1,627
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$2,260
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$542
- After-tax cash flow
- $922/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dekalb County
- NCES district ID
- 1301740
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,448
- Composite
- 20.92/100
- National rank
- #8482
- State rank
- #125 of 174 in GA
Livability — Belvedere Park
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #153
- US rank
- #9886
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belvedere Park, GA
- County
- Dekalb County · 782,738 people
- City population
- 42,812
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,948
- Household income
- $62,765
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2097.0
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 839,977 people
- By 2030
- 891,768 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 988,894 · +17.7%
- By 2050
- 1,074,583 · +27.9%
- By 2075
- 1,245,026 · +48.2%
- By 2100
- 1,303,135 · +55.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 70% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -203.83%
- Current HPI
- 221.0467
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.34%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+184.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $164,900 GAMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $179,900 GAMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $194,900 GAMLS
- 2025-12-30 Listed $199,900 GAMLS
- 2022-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $4,479,001 Public Records
- 2017-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $1,097,900 Public Records
- 2014-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $735,800 Public Records
- 2014-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,485 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…