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2712 Amelia Ave
D Composite 42.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,900

2712 Amelia Ave · Belvedere Park, GA 30032
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,160 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 157 Days on market
Built 1957 0.39 ac lot $142/sqft · 50% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming ranch home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. This home includes a comfortable living area with a fireplace and a functional kitchen layout. Home sits on a spacious lot and has an attached carport.

Key facts

  • Attached carport
  • Spacious lot
  • Fireplace

Tags

FIREPLACEFUNCTIONAL KITCHEN LAYOUTSPACIOUS LOTATTACHED CARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($380/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in Belvedere Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#153 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Peachcrest Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,160 of 1,228 statewide, top 98%, 677 students, 100% FRL); The Champion Middle Theme School (math 21% / reading 52%, grade F, #167 of 470 statewide, top 38%, 751 students, 100% FRL); Towers High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #385 of 424 statewide, top 92%, 764 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 431 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.82%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$332,493
List price
$164,900
Delta
-50.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2712 Joyce Ave 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,095 (-6%) 2mo $300,000 $274 78
1767 Thomas St 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,042 (-10%) 2mo $167,500 $161 74
2822 Joyce Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-14%) 1mo $185,000 $185 62
2913 Santa Monica Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,209 (+4%) 5mo $321,038 $266 62
2529 Amelia Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,247 (+8%) 2mo $365,000 $293 61
1909 Meadow Ln 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,175 (+1%) 4mo $208,000 $177 60
2545 Saint Patrick St SE 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-7%) 1mo $235,000 $218 56
2769 Glenvalley Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,331 (+15%) 2mo $340,000 $255 54
2628 Northview Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,024 (-12%) 5mo $130,000 $127 54
2502 E Tupelo St SE 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-7%) 5mo $300,000 $278 52
1884 Meadow Ln 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,090 (-6%) 5mo $163,900 $150 51
2812 Mitchell Dr 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,002 (-14%) 5mo $172,000 $172 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.0%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-27,361
Equity at exit
$24,587
10-year hold
IRR
-12.7%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-31,760
Equity at exit
$14,258

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30032

Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
431
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,695 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$374 /mo · $4,485/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$356
Net cashflow
$32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,655
Max offer price $164,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $125 -5% $78 +0% $32 +5% $-15 +10% $-62
Rent -10% $-102 -5% $-35 +0% $32 +5% $99 +10% $166
Rate -1.0pp $115 -0.5pp $74 base $32 +0.5pp $-11 +1.0pp $-55

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,225
Closing costs
$4,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2721 White Oak Dr Decatur, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 975 $1,190 $1.22 45d 3 0.03mi
2706 White Oak Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1274 $2,175 $1.71 22d 1 0.08mi
2706 White Oak Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1274 $2,175 $1.71 1d 1 0.08mi
2758 Amelia Ave Decatur, GA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,500 $1.76 14d 1 0.10mi
2771 White Oak Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1032 $1,524 $1.48 7d 2 0.13mi
2674 Joyce Ave Decatur, GA 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,044 $1.03 22d 1 0.18mi
1627 Line Cir Unit 4 Decatur, GA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 45d 1 0.19mi
1630 Line St Unit 1 Decatur, GA 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 17d 1 0.20mi
1610 Line St Decatur, GA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,350 $1.42 45d 1 0.25mi
1607 Line Cir Apt 2 Decatur, GA 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 19d 1 0.25mi
1596 Line Cir Apt 1 Decatur, GA 2.0 1.0 966 $995 $1.03 3d 1 0.29mi
2577 Eastwood Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1075 $1,700 $1.58 20d 1 0.34mi
2577 Eastwood Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1075 $1,700 $1.58 26d 1 0.34mi
2873 White Oak Dr Decatur, GA 2.0 1.5 816 $1,800 $2.21 45d 1 0.37mi
3529 Robins Landing Way Decatur, GA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1042 $1,443 $1.38 1d 36 0.42mi
3529 Robins Landing Way Decatur, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 982 $1,677 $1.71 45d 26 0.42mi
3106 Memorial Dr Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–2.0 802 $1,850 $2.31 19d 9 0.50mi
3106 Memorial Dr SE Unit G203 Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,850 $1.56 45d 1 0.54mi
3106 Memorial Dr SE Unit N204 Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 915 $1,695 $1.85 45d 1 0.54mi
1689 San Gabriel Ave Decatur, GA 3.0 1.0 989 $1,450 $1.47 45d 1 0.54mi
1693 San Gabriel Ave Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1265 $1,995 $1.58 5d 1 0.55mi
1972 Don Juan Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,799 $1.47 45d 1 0.61mi
1711 Candler Rd Decatur, GA 2.0 1.0 936 $1,860 $1.99 45d 1 0.61mi
1622 Venice Dr SE Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,675 $1.55 45d 1 0.61mi
1598 San Gabriel Ave Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1451 $2,023 $1.39 26d 1 0.66mi
1994 Don Juan Ln Decatur, GA 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 14d 1 0.66mi
1994 Don Juan Ln Decatur, GA 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 1d 1 0.66mi
3010 Santa Monica Dr Decatur, GA 4.0 2.0 1392 $2,095 $1.51 45d 1 0.72mi
2931 Glenwood Ave SE Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 865 $1,750 $2.02 45d 1 0.74mi
2912 Glenwood Ave SE Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 1063 $1,650 $1.55 0d 1 0.75mi
2039 Nettie Ct Unit RT Decatur, GA 3.0 1.0 974 $1,600 $1.64 26d 1 0.76mi
2939 Belvedere Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,595 $1.06 14d 1 0.77mi
2939 Belvedere Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,595 $1.06 12d 1 0.77mi
251 Candler Rd SE Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,305 $1.54 18d 1 0.78mi
3024 Pasadena Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1079 $1,958 $1.81 1d 1 0.80mi
1930 Normal St Decatur, GA 4.0 2.0 1459 $1,850 $1.27 45d 1 0.81mi
2110 Dellwood Pl Decatur, GA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 45d 1 0.97mi
531 Allendale Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 888 $2,100 $2.36 45d 1 1.00mi
1966 Glendale Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1211 $800 $0.66 1d 1 1.10mi
1972 Glendale Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1211 $1,790 $1.48 45d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $164,900 Under Contract 157 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $164,900 Back On Market 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $164,900 Back On Market 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    status $164,900 Back On Market 153 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    status $164,900 Under Contract 153 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $164,900 Active 153 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $164,900 Active 152 DOM
  8. 2026-05-12
    price $164,900 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Charming ranch home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. This home includes a comfortable living area with a fireplace and a functional kitchen layout. Home sits on a spacious lot and has an attached carport.

  9. 2026-03-12
    price $179,900 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Charming ranch home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. This home includes a comfortable living area with a fireplace and a functional kitchen layout. Home sits on a spacious lot and has an attached carport.

  10. 2026-02-25
    price $194,900 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Charming ranch home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. This home includes a comfortable living area with a fireplace and a functional kitchen layout. Home sits on a spacious lot and has an attached carport.

  11. 2025-12-30
    listed $199,900 New 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Charming ranch home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. This home includes a comfortable living area with a fireplace and a functional kitchen layout. Home sits on a spacious lot and has an attached carport.

  12. 2022-02-24
    soldstatus $4,479,001
  13. 2017-07-24
    soldstatus $1,097,900
  14. 2014-10-15
    soldstatus $735,800
  15. 2014-01-14
    soldstatus $58,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,485 · $374/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,485 · $374/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,337
− Mortgage interest
−$9,237
− Property taxes
−$4,485
− Insurance
−$824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,627
− Management
−$1,627
− Depreciation
−$4,797
Taxable loss
−$2,260
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$542
After-tax cash flow
$922/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dekalb County
NCES district ID
1301740
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$51,448
Composite
20.92/100
National rank
#8482
State rank
#125 of 174 in GA

Livability — Belvedere Park

Score
68/100
State rank
#153
US rank
#9886

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belvedere Park, GA
County
Dekalb County · 782,738 people
City population
42,812
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
42,948
Household income
$62,765
Rent vs Own
43.8% rent · 56.2% own
Severe rent burden
2097.0

Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
839,977 people
By 2030
891,768 · +6.2%
By 2040
988,894 · +17.7%
By 2050
1,074,583 · +27.9%
By 2075
1,245,026 · +48.2%
By 2100
1,303,135 · +55.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 70% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Guatemala
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -203.83%
Current HPI
221.0467
Rent YoY
▲ 1.34%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+184.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $164,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $179,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $194,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $199,900 GAMLS
  • 2022-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $4,479,001 Public Records
  • 2017-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $1,097,900 Public Records
  • 2014-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $735,800 Public Records
  • 2014-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,485 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…