1601 31st Street Ensley · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tons of space in this oversized 4 bedroom & 2.5 bathroom home. Large foyer entryway with original hardwoods throughout. Front living room with decorative fireplace. Sunroom with lots of natural light to your left. Large den with French doors to the back deck. Dining room just off of kitchen with updated cabinets & counter tops. Convienent powder room on the main level. Upstairs features 4 large bedrooms with 2 full bathrooms that have been updated. One bath features a tub/shower combo & the other bathroom features a separate tiled shower. Out back has a great open deck for grilling & over looks a flat back yard. Driveway parking for multiple cars.
Key facts
- Decorative fireplace
- Updated cabinets
- Flat back yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,503/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 573% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $49k; list at $110k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.43%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,953
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- 49.96%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2908 Dawson Ave SW | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 2,546 (-5%) | 1mo | $154,500 | $61 | 79 |
| 3000 Jefferson Ave SW | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 | 2,288 (-14%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $70 | 63 |
| 2304 Mayfield Ave SW | 0.55mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,896 (+8%) | 8mo | $72,450 | $25 | 46 |
| 2729 Parklawn Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,380 (-11%) | 15mo | $75,000 | $32 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $10,886
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $67,968
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35208
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,503 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$221 /mo · $2,649/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $344
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2505 Brookhaven Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1886 | $1,600 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1501 21st St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1758 | $1,250 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2320 Wesley Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1865 | $1,200 | $0.64 | 10d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3533 Jefferson Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1911 | $1,500 | $0.78 | 1d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2548 28th St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1762 | $1,000 | $0.57 | 2d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3728 Hickory Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1869 | $1,450 | $0.78 | 1d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 200 23rd St SW Birmingham, AL | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1858 | $1,400 | $0.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1563 Martin Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $1,495 | $0.81 | 1d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3020 Wenonah Park Pl SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $1,999 | $0.91 | 1d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-19price $109,900 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 125 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 124 DOM
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2026-05-08status Active 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
Tons of space in this oversized 4 bedroom & 2.5 bathroom home. Large foyer entryway with original hardwoods throughout. Front living room with decorative fireplace. Sunroom with lots of natural light to your left. Large den with French doors to the back deck. Dining room just off of kitchen with updated cabinets & counter tops. Convienent powder room on the main level. Upstairs features 4 large bedrooms with 2 full bathrooms that have been updated. One bath features a tub/shower combo & the other bathroom features a separate tiled shower. Out back has a great open deck for grilling & over looks a flat back yard. Driveway parking for multiple cars.
-
2026-04-23historical Contingent 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
Tons of space in this oversized 4 bedroom & 2.5 bathroom home. Large foyer entryway with original hardwoods throughout. Front living room with decorative fireplace. Sunroom with lots of natural light to your left. Large den with French doors to the back deck. Dining room just off of kitchen with updated cabinets & counter tops. Convienent powder room on the main level. Upstairs features 4 large bedrooms with 2 full bathrooms that have been updated. One bath features a tub/shower combo & the other bathroom features a separate tiled shower. Out back has a great open deck for grilling & over looks a flat back yard. Driveway parking for multiple cars.
-
2026-04-21price $119,900 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
Tons of space in this oversized 4 bedroom & 2.5 bathroom home. Large foyer entryway with original hardwoods throughout. Front living room with decorative fireplace. Sunroom with lots of natural light to your left. Large den with French doors to the back deck. Dining room just off of kitchen with updated cabinets & counter tops. Convienent powder room on the main level. Upstairs features 4 large bedrooms with 2 full bathrooms that have been updated. One bath features a tub/shower combo & the other bathroom features a separate tiled shower. Out back has a great open deck for grilling & over looks a flat back yard. Driveway parking for multiple cars.
-
2026-04-12status Active 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
Tons of space in this oversized 4 bedroom & 2.5 bathroom home. Large foyer entryway with original hardwoods throughout. Front living room with decorative fireplace. Sunroom with lots of natural light to your left. Large den with French doors to the back deck. Dining room just off of kitchen with updated cabinets & counter tops. Convienent powder room on the main level. Upstairs features 4 large bedrooms with 2 full bathrooms that have been updated. One bath features a tub/shower combo & the other bathroom features a separate tiled shower. Out back has a great open deck for grilling & over looks a flat back yard. Driveway parking for multiple cars.
-
2026-04-01status Pending 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
Tons of space in this oversized 4 bedroom & 2.5 bathroom home. Large foyer entryway with original hardwoods throughout. Front living room with decorative fireplace. Sunroom with lots of natural light to your left. Large den with French doors to the back deck. Dining room just off of kitchen with updated cabinets & counter tops. Convienent powder room on the main level. Upstairs features 4 large bedrooms with 2 full bathrooms that have been updated. One bath features a tub/shower combo & the other bathroom features a separate tiled shower. Out back has a great open deck for grilling & over looks a flat back yard. Driveway parking for multiple cars.
-
2026-01-26historical Contingent 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
Tons of space in this oversized 4 bedroom & 2.5 bathroom home. Large foyer entryway with original hardwoods throughout. Front living room with decorative fireplace. Sunroom with lots of natural light to your left. Large den with French doors to the back deck. Dining room just off of kitchen with updated cabinets & counter tops. Convienent powder room on the main level. Upstairs features 4 large bedrooms with 2 full bathrooms that have been updated. One bath features a tub/shower combo & the other bathroom features a separate tiled shower. Out back has a great open deck for grilling & over looks a flat back yard. Driveway parking for multiple cars.
-
2026-01-16$129,900 Active 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
Tons of space in this oversized 4 bedroom & 2.5 bathroom home. Large foyer entryway with original hardwoods throughout. Front living room with decorative fireplace. Sunroom with lots of natural light to your left. Large den with French doors to the back deck. Dining room just off of kitchen with updated cabinets & counter tops. Convienent powder room on the main level. Upstairs features 4 large bedrooms with 2 full bathrooms that have been updated. One bath features a tub/shower combo & the other bathroom features a separate tiled shower. Out back has a great open deck for grilling & over looks a flat back yard. Driveway parking for multiple cars.
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2025-05-06price $134,000
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2025-03-12price $139,000
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2025-02-25price $148,000
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1992-04-10soldstatus $49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,649 · $221/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,649 · $221/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,035
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$2,649
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,443
- − Management
- −$1,443
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $2,597
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$623
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,510/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
- Household income
- $38,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 573.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.99%
- Current HPI
- 153.414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.24%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
+144.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-23 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $119,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-12 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-01 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-26 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $129,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-05-06 Price Changed $134,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-03-12 Price Changed $139,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-02-25 Price Changed $148,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1992-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,649 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…