829 W Elkcam Cir Unit 2-208 · Marco Island, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$314,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MOTIVATED SELLER. Bring an offer. Remodeled 2 bedroom 2 bath second floor condo overlooking the pool. Laundry is located within the condo. New AC. Impact windows and sliding glass door. Screened lanai, plenty of parking, Great location, short walk to The Esplanade, Farmers Market, Winn Dixie, restaurants and shopping. The beach is 2 miles away. Perfect for your winter getaway, residence or investment. Can lease 12 times per year, 30 day minimum.
Key facts
- New ac
- $775 HOA
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing
- Financial info: Total annual recurring HOA fees reported; One-time fees reported
- HOA & community: Quarterly condo fee; Condo fee billed quarterly (total annual recurring fees reported); Professional management; Community amenities include BBQ/picnic area and community pool; Association maintenance covers cable, lawn/land maintenance, manager, exterior pest control, trash removal and water
Exterior
- Parking: Information not provided
- Security: Impact resistant doors and windows; Double-hung and sliding windows
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential low-rise building (1-3 stories); Built in 1988; Wood-frame construction; Vinyl siding exterior; Rear exposure to the west; Located in Paradise Village development
- Construction: Metal roof; Wood frame construction; Vinyl siding; Built in 1988
- Exterior features: Pool/Club view; Central irrigation; Regular lot; Deeded property restrictions (limited number of vehicles, no RV)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator/Freezer; Range/stove (not specifically stated but cooking appliances implied)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (split bedroom floor plan)
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with shower only
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Cable prewire; Dining area combined with living; Screened lanai/porch; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $315k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $682 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $315k).
- Recommended offer: $305k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#404 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 687 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,138/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($102k/yr) (locally 314% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($305k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.08%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $12,431
- Equity at exit
- $46,953
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $155,004
- Equity at exit
- $27,227
Cash invested: $88,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34145
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 687
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,138 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,651
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$394 /mo · $4,724/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$775
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,079
- Net cashflow
- $682
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $899 | -5% $790 | +0% $682 | +5% $573 | +10% $464 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $276 | -5% $479 | +0% $682 | +5% $885 | +10% $1,088 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $840 | -0.5pp $762 | base $682 | +0.5pp $600 | +1.0pp $517 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,725
- Closing costs
- $9,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750 W Elkcam Cir #315 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $5,600 | $5.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 761 W Elkcam Cir Unit B110 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1066 | $3,500 | $3.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 731 W Elkcam Cir Unit A109 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1066 | $2,500 | $2.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 694 W Elkcam Cir #1123 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $2,530 | $2.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 651 W Elkcam Cir #815 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 813 | $4,700 | $5.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 457 Tallwood St #106 Marco Island, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 539 | $1,600 | $2.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1215 Edington Pl Unit A6 Marco Island, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $4,500 | $7.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 591 Seaview Ct Unit A306 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 964 | $6,000 | $6.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 601 Seaview Ct Unit C106 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 964 | $5,700 | $5.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 651 Seaview Ct Unit B207 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $6,000 | $5.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 440 Seaview Ct #912 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $6,500 | $5.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 380 Seaview Ct #305 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $6,000 | $5.45 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 260 Seaview Ct #604 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $8,000 | $7.48 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 240 Seaview Ct #413 Marco Island, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $6,500 | $8.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 60 Pelican St W Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $2,875 | $3.06 | 24d | 2 | 1.27mi |
| 240 Seaview Ct #211 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $11,000 | $10.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 167 N Collier Blvd Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 555 | $2,100 | $3.78 | 14d | 2 | 1.29mi |
| 130 N Collier Blvd Unit A6 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,900 | $2.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 180 Seaview Ct Marco Island, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 721 | $4,500 | $6.24 | 24d | 2 | 1.38mi |
| 140 Seaview Ct Unit 902S Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 837 | $9,000 | $10.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 140 Seaview Ct #1504 Marco Island, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 610 | $2,200 | $3.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 87 N Collier Blvd Unit J16 Marco Island, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 787 | $5,550 | $7.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 87 N Collier Blvd Marco Island, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 663 | $5,550 | $8.36 | 24d | 3 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $775 · $9,300/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $314,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $314,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $314,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $314,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 449-char remark
-
2026-06-14days on market $314,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $314,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $314,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $314,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $314,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $314,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $314,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $314,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $314,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $314,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$314,900 Active
-
2026-01-08$2,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $61,662
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,639
- − Property taxes
- −$4,724
- − Insurance
- −$6,693
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,933
- − Management
- −$4,933
- − HOA
- −$9,300
- − Depreciation
- −$9,161
- Taxable income
- $4,279
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,027
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,153/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This remodeled townhouse is in good condition with a fresh paint job and new AC. It offers a great location and is perfect for a winter getaway or investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Replace ceiling fans — Clean and updated fans can improve air circulation and add a modern touch.
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and add value for both buyers and renters.
- Both Add smart locks — Smart locks can enhance security and provide a modern touch for both buyers and renters.
- Both Install smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and provide a modern touch for both buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans — Clean and updated fans can improve air circulation and add a modern touch. ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and add value for both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Add smart locks — Smart locks can enhance security and provide a modern touch for both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Install smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and provide a modern touch for both buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Marco Island
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #404
- US rank
- #7149
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marco Island, FL
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- City population
- 16,205
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,205
- Household income
- $101,523
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 314.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -374.55%
- Current HPI
- 284.7538
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.59%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+13591.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $314,900 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listed for Rent $2,300 FGCMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…