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2012 Princeton Ave
D Composite 41.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$226,000

2012 Princeton Ave · Farmersville, TX 75442
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,706 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 2021 Fair condition 5,576 sqft lot $132/sqft · 22% below area Est $292k · 22% under $35/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2021 single-story in Camden Park, one of Farmersville's most sought-after communities. 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, 1,706 sqft on a quiet street in Collin County. Open floor plan with spacious living area flowing into the kitchen featuring granite counters, walk-in pantry, and center island. Split bedroom design gives the master suite true privacy with its own en-suite bath and walk-in closet. Covered porches front and back, attached 2-car garage, and low-maintenance yard. Needs cosmetic refresh, paint and cleanup, and is priced well below comparable homes in the neighborhood to reflect that. Ideal for buyers wanting instant equity, investors, or anyone who wants a nearly new home at a value p

Key facts

  • 5,576 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2021

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing/funding; Standard listing; exclusive agency agreement
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, USDA, and VA financing
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA (Camden Park); HOA dues cover full use of facilities, grounds maintenance, and management fees; HOA fee paid annually

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered/carport spaces; Garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; Underground utilities; Asphalt roads; Concrete and curbs; Sidewalks; Community mailbox; Utilities easement on property; Energy-efficient windows
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Built in 2021; No accessibility features reported; Deed restrictions; no mobile homes; pet restrictions; Subdivision: Camden Park, Phase 3
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Gutters

Interior

  • Kitchen: Commercial-grade range; Electric range; Gas oven; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (12 x 12) on main level; Bedroom (10 x 10) on main level; Bedroom (10 x 10) on main level; Bedroom (10 x 10) on main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; 9 total rooms; One living area; One dining area; One level
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $226k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-199 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (15.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (8.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $191k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 4.0% in Farmersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#425 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Farmersville ISD (town): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #298 of 826 in TX (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Farmersville Int (math 36% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,514 of 4,322 statewide, top 36%, 598 students, 62% FRL); Farmersville J H (math 42% / reading 46%, grade D, #512 of 1,662 statewide, top 32%, 327 students, 59% FRL); Farmersville H S (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 670 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 42% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 418 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $190,812 (15.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
5.24%
Cash-on-cash
-3.78%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$291,510
List price
$226,000
Delta
-22.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
114 Harvard Blvd 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,688 (-1%) 7mo $258,500 $153 82
1809 Princeton Ave 0.14mi 4/2.0 1,650 (-3%) 8mo $250,000 $152 81
2206 Princeton Ave 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,706 (0%) 16mo $285,000 $167 79
204 University St 0.07mi 4/2.0 1,676 (-2%) 19mo $280,000 $167 78
1907 Yale St 0.09mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,659 (-3%) 10mo $292,000 $176 78
109 Dartmouth Ave 0.13mi 4/2.0 1,706 (0%) 20mo $285,000 $167 77
1810 Yale St 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,676 (-2%) 18mo $289,900 $173 69
109 Columbia St 0.29mi 4/2.0 1,656 (-3%) 22mo $290,000 $175 63
1805 Crimson Ave 0.18mi 4/2.0 1,587 (-7%) 24mo $289,000 $182 60
6803 Welsh Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,896 (+11%) 5mo $258,599 $136 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.5%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-49,105
Equity at exit
$33,697
10-year hold
IRR
-16.5%
Equity multiple
0.08×
Total profit
$-58,272
Equity at exit
$19,540

Cash invested: $63,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75442

Home prices YoY
-8.3%
Active inventory
418
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,078 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,185
Tax from tax record
$526 /mo · $6,317/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$35
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$436
Net cashflow
$-199

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,330
Max offer price $190,812
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-71 -5% $-135 +0% $-199 +5% $-263 +10% $-327
Rent -10% $-363 -5% $-281 +0% $-199 +5% $-117 +10% $-35
Rate -1.0pp $-85 -0.5pp $-142 base $-199 +0.5pp $-258 +1.0pp $-317

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,500
Closing costs
$6,780
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1901 Princeton Ave Farmersville, TX 3.0 2.0 1676 $1,695 $1.01 0d 1 0.10mi
1914 Bluebonnet Ln Farmersville, TX 4.0 2.5 1818 $2,358 $1.30 0d 1 0.10mi
310 Harvard Blvd Farmersville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 975 $2,395 $2.46 0d 72 0.12mi
114 Providence Ave Farmersville, TX 3.0 2.0 1435 $1,700 $1.18 9d 1 0.17mi
1709 Princeton Ave Farmersville, TX 3.0 2.0 1676 $1,679 $1.00 45d 1 0.21mi
121 N Hamilton St Farmersville, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 0d 1 1.49mi
121 N Hamilton St Farmersville, TX 3.0 2.0 1202 $1,800 $1.50 13d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$35 · $420/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $226,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $226,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $226,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $226,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $226,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $226,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $226,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $229,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,000 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    price $239,900 749-char remark
  17. 2026-05-11
    price $249,000 749-char remark
  18. 2026-05-07
    listed $269,900 Active 749-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,317 · $526/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,317 · $526/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,935
− Mortgage interest
−$12,660
− Property taxes
−$6,317
− Insurance
−$1,130
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,995
− Management
−$1,995
− HOA
−$420
− Depreciation
−$6,575
Taxable loss
−$6,156
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,477
After-tax cash flow
$-913/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

A 2012 single-story home in Farmersville's Camden Park neighborhood, priced below comparable homes. Needs a cosmetic refresh, including fresh paint and flooring, to maximize its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Paint — Walls and trim need fresh paint
  • Minor Flooring — Carpeted floors could be replaced with hardwood or tile

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint and freshen interior — Fresh paint and organization can boost both resale and rental value
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring can significantly increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Paint · Walls and trim need fresh paint Major $15,000–50,000
Flooring · Carpeted floors could be replaced with hardwood or tile Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $15,500–53,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint and freshen interior — Fresh paint and organization can boost both resale and rental value
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring can significantly increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Farmersville ISD
NCES district ID
4819080
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$56,626
Composite
37.17/100
National rank
#4479
State rank
#298 of 826 in TX

Livability — Farmersville

Score
69/100
State rank
#425
US rank
#8723

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Farmersville, TX
County
Collin County · 1,159,394 people
City population
10,805
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,805
Household income
$95,250
Rent vs Own
18.4% rent · 81.6% own
Severe rent burden
105.0

Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,210,074 people
By 2030
1,358,201 · +12.2%
By 2040
1,654,061 · +36.7%
By 2050
1,937,359 · +60.1%
By 2075
2,567,039 · +112.1%
By 2100
2,952,048 · +144.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 13% Black 5% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Collin

2024 margin
R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.67%
Current HPI
304.6738
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $226,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $229,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $234,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $239,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $249,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $269,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

+77.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,317 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…