1020 Vail View Dr Unit 3411-40 · Vail, CO
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 76°F)
- 14 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 37 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$5
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Just five minutes from Vail Village and Vail Mountain, Sandstone Creek Club is one of the few affordable options to own your own week in a world class mountain resort. Residence 3411 is a popular court-side 2 bedroom/ 3 bathroom plus loft condo and is yours during week 40 every year---October 4-11, 2025, October 3-10, 2026, October 2-9, 2027 and so on. .. .. . A delightful time of year with Autumn in its glory. This residence comes with a full kitchen where you can prepare your meals or just make a quick cup of coffee. You'll enjoy relaxing next to the fireplace in your own separate living room. Sleeps 10 people and has a balcony overlooking Sandstone Creek, internet access, humidifier, sa
Key facts
- Full kitchen
- Sauna
- Steam room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has homeowners association; Quarterly HOA fee; HOA covers cable TV, common area maintenance, electricity, gas, heat, insurance, internet, management, sewer, snow removal, taxes, telephone, trash, water, and furniture replacement; On-site amenities include fitness center, front desk, on-site management, pool, shuttle service and spa/hot tub; Community features include fishing, proximity to public transit, shuttle service and trails
Exterior
- Home design: Condominium / Unit (multi-unit address)
- Construction: Tar & gravel roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Waterfront property; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath timeshare listed at $5.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $5).
- Recommended offer: $4 (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 643483.9% vs local median 0.5% in Vail — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#76 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Eagle County School District No. RE-50 (town): math 22% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #39 of 86 in CO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 387 units permitted in Eagle County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Eagle County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $1 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($4) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 72561.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 643483.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2298134.18%
- DSCR
- 102255.04
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $5,472
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1020 Vail View Dr #3412-8 | 0.00mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,236 (-10%) | 13mo | $9,000 | $7 | 68 |
| 1020 Vail View Dr #3412-13 | 0.00mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,236 (-10%) | 14mo | $3,600 | $3 | 67 |
| 1020 Vail Vw #1313-6 | 0.00mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,212 (-11%) | 11mo | $5,000 | $4 | 67 |
| 1020 Vail View Dr #3408-3 | 0.00mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,218 (-11%) | 14mo | $3,000 | $2 | 65 |
| 1020 Vail Vw #1313-1 | 0.00mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,212 (-11%) | 15mo | $5,000 | $4 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 119103.22×
- Total profit
- $166,743
- Equity at exit
- $4
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 257492.27×
- Total profit
- $360,488
- Equity at exit
- $8
Cash invested: $1 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81657
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 313
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,628 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$0
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$0 /mo · $0/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$185
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$762
- Net cashflow
- $2,615
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1
- Closing costs
- $0
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $185 · $2,220/yr
- Likely covers
- internet
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $5 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $5 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $5 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $5 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $5 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $5 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $5 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $5 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $5 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $5 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $5 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $5 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $5 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $5 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $5 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $5 Active 262 DOM
-
2025-10-17price $5
-
2025-09-10$50 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 14 d/yr ≥76°F today · 37 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,537
- − Mortgage interest
- −$0
- − Property taxes
- −$0
- − Insurance
- −$798
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,483
- − Management
- −$3,483
- − HOA
- −$2,220
- − Depreciation
- −$0
- Taxable income
- $33,553
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,053
- After-tax cash flow
- $23,324/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eagle County School District No. RE-50
- NCES district ID
- 0803540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,322
- Composite
- 30.01/100
- National rank
- #6360
- State rank
- #39 of 86 in CO
Livability — Vail
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #7125
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vail, CO
- County
- Eagle County · 42,178 people
- City population
- 4,835
- Metro
- Edwards, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,835
- Household income
- $100,573
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 262.0
Population outlook (Eagle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,837 people
- By 2030
- 59,258 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 60,698 · +4.9%
- By 2050
- 60,206 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 54,326 · -6.1%
- By 2100
- 47,000 · -18.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Eagle
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.4) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.3pp toward D · 2008: 23.1pp · 2024: 24.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.4 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+19.9 2012: D+14.7 2008: D+23.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.75%
- Current HPI
- 485.2983
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Edwards, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…