19200 Blackmoor St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Seller will review all serious offers. It is a very nice house, good for a couple or single person. Neighborhood has been kept up nicely. There is a deck that can be used for entertaining or just sit outside to relax. Easy access to freeways and shopping. This is a must see!
Key facts
- Deck
- 7,841 sq ft lot
- Built 1941
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.96%
- DSCR
- 2.51
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $78,312
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -10.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19350 Algonac St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 711 (+1%) | 21mo | $25,000 | $35 | 72 |
| 19726 Runyon St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-0%) | 20mo | $31,000 | $44 | 62 |
| 8062 Stockton St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+9%) | 6mo | $18,000 | $23 | 47 |
| 19332 Packard St | 0.72mi | 2/1.5 | 775 (+10%) | 3mo | $25,000 | $32 | 44 |
| 8354 Suzanne St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 783 (+12%) | 20mo | $50,000 | $64 | 44 |
| 19735 Annott St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 780 (+11%) | 4mo | $69,500 | $89 | 44 |
| 8100 Stockton St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+14%) | 3mo | $26,000 | $33 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $29,022
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 42.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.75×
- Total profit
- $93,087
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48234
- Home prices YoY
- -11.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,296 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $872/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $555
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $594 | -5% $574 | +0% $555 | +5% $535 | +10% $515 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $452 | -5% $503 | +0% $555 | +5% $606 | +10% $657 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $590 | -0.5pp $572 | base $555 | +0.5pp $536 | +1.0pp $518 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18667 Algonac St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,999 | $2.94 | 19d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 19d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 7533 Quinn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,165 | $1.94 | 26d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,175 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 7033 Westminster Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $1,050 | $1.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $1,300 | $1.74 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $70,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $70,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-04-06$70,000 Active 276-char remark
Show marketing remark (276 chars)
Seller will review all serious offers. It is a very nice house, good for a couple or single person. Neighborhood has been kept up nicely. There is a deck that can be used for entertaining or just sit outside to relax. Easy access to freeways and shopping. This is a must see!
-
2026-04-06historical
Show marketing remark (276 chars)
Seller will review all serious offers. It is a very nice house, good for a couple or single person. Neighborhood has been kept up nicely. There is a deck that can be used for entertaining or just sit outside to relax. Easy access to freeways and shopping. This is a must see!
-
2026-04-06$70,000 Active
Show marketing remark (276 chars)
Seller will review all serious offers. It is a very nice house, good for a couple or single person. Neighborhood has been kept up nicely. There is a deck that can be used for entertaining or just sit outside to relax. Easy access to freeways and shopping. This is a must see!
-
2026-04-06historical
Show marketing remark (276 chars)
Seller will review all serious offers. It is a very nice house, good for a couple or single person. Neighborhood has been kept up nicely. There is a deck that can be used for entertaining or just sit outside to relax. Easy access to freeways and shopping. This is a must see!
-
2026-01-12$70,000 Active
-
2026-01-12$70,000 Active
-
2025-10-01historical
-
2025-10-01historical
-
2025-05-12$69,900 Active
-
2025-05-12$69,900 Active
-
2024-06-30historical
-
2024-06-30historical
-
2024-01-31price $59,000
-
2024-01-30price $59,000
-
2023-11-08$62,000 Active
-
2023-11-08$62,000 Active
-
2023-11-03historical
-
2023-11-03historical
-
2021-05-26historical
-
2021-05-26historical
-
2021-02-25$35,000 Active
-
2021-02-25$35,000 Active
-
2003-02-14soldstatus $64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $872 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $975 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$103/yr (+$9/mo · 11.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,548
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$872
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,244
- − Management
- −$1,244
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $5,880
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,411
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,244/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,760
- Household income
- $35,322
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2372.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.65%
- Current HPI
- 328.8978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+7.9% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-06 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-12 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-05-12 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-12 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-01-31 Price Changed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-30 Price Changed $59,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-11-08 Listed $62,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-08 Listed $62,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-11-03 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-03 Coming Soon — REALCOMP
- 2021-05-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-05-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-02-25 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-02-25 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $872 · -53.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…