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359 S 3rd St
B- Composite 66.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

359 S 3rd St · Sunbury, PA 17801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 952 sqft · Other · 133 Days on market
Built 1900 435 sqft lot $73/sqft · 8% above area Est $65k · 8% over ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable with a tiny tax bill! With some cosmetic attention you'll have yourself a lovely home for cheaper than your current rent!! Or consider this one as a rental investment property. Call Wendy today for a showing 570-847-4773.

Key facts

  • Built 1900
  • Listed 132 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 7.1% in Sunbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#374 in PA, #3,298 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Shikellamy SD (town): math 33% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #362 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.91%
Cap rate
16.94%
Cash-on-cash
38.03%
DSCR
2.69
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$64,885
List price
$69,900
Delta
7.73%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$28,172
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
41.0%
Equity multiple
4.85×
Total profit
$75,365
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17801

Home prices YoY
-18.4%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,334 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $452/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$620

Break-even live

Break-even rent $549
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,900 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 129 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 127 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,900 Active 126 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 123 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 122 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 121 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,900 Active 118 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 116 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 115 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 114 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $69,900 Active 113 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    price $77,500 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Affordable with a tiny tax bill! With some cosmetic attention you'll have yourself a lovely home for cheaper than your current rent!! Or consider this one as a rental investment property. Call Wendy today for a showing 570-847-4773.

  17. 2026-03-26
    price $79,900 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Affordable with a tiny tax bill! With some cosmetic attention you'll have yourself a lovely home for cheaper than your current rent!! Or consider this one as a rental investment property. Call Wendy today for a showing 570-847-4773.

  18. 2026-02-06
    listed $84,900 Active 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Affordable with a tiny tax bill! With some cosmetic attention you'll have yourself a lovely home for cheaper than your current rent!! Or consider this one as a rental investment property. Call Wendy today for a showing 570-847-4773.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$452 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$778 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$326/yr (+$27/mo · 72.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,005
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$452
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,280
− Management
−$1,280
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$6,694
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,607
After-tax cash flow
$5,837/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shikellamy SD
NCES district ID
4221540
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$41,227
Composite
33.6/100
National rank
#5415
State rank
#362 of 539 in PA

Livability — Sunbury

Score
76/100
State rank
#374
US rank
#3298

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sunbury, PA
Population (ZIP)
16,229

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,896 people
By 2030
89,084 · -2.0%
By 2040
84,822 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,521 · -11.4%
By 2075
72,152 · -20.6%
By 2100
62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Polish 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.78%
Current HPI
158.7449
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $77,500 CSVBR
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $79,900 CSVBR
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $84,900 CSVBR

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $452 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…