359 S 3rd St · Sunbury, PA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.0/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable with a tiny tax bill! With some cosmetic attention you'll have yourself a lovely home for cheaper than your current rent!! Or consider this one as a rental investment property. Call Wendy today for a showing 570-847-4773.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 132 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 7.1% in Sunbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#374 in PA, #3,298 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Shikellamy SD (town): math 33% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #362 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.03%
- DSCR
- 2.69
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $64,885
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- 7.73%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $28,172
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 41.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.85×
- Total profit
- $75,365
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17801
- Home prices YoY
- -18.4%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,334 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $452/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $620
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-30pricedays on market $69,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $77,500 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Affordable with a tiny tax bill! With some cosmetic attention you'll have yourself a lovely home for cheaper than your current rent!! Or consider this one as a rental investment property. Call Wendy today for a showing 570-847-4773.
-
2026-03-26price $79,900 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Affordable with a tiny tax bill! With some cosmetic attention you'll have yourself a lovely home for cheaper than your current rent!! Or consider this one as a rental investment property. Call Wendy today for a showing 570-847-4773.
-
2026-02-06$84,900 Active 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Affordable with a tiny tax bill! With some cosmetic attention you'll have yourself a lovely home for cheaper than your current rent!! Or consider this one as a rental investment property. Call Wendy today for a showing 570-847-4773.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $452 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $778 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$326/yr (+$27/mo · 72.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,005
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$452
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,280
- − Management
- −$1,280
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $6,694
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,607
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shikellamy SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221540
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,227
- Composite
- 33.6/100
- National rank
- #5415
- State rank
- #362 of 539 in PA
Livability — Sunbury
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #374
- US rank
- #3298
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sunbury, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,229
Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,896 people
- By 2030
- 89,084 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 84,822 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 80,521 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 72,152 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 62,257 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Polish 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.78%
- Current HPI
- 158.7449
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
-8.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $77,500 CSVBR
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $79,900 CSVBR
- 2026-02-06 Listed $84,900 CSVBR
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $452 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…